2211 Bayview Rd · Jacksonville, FL 32210

$139,980

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,269 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market

Built 1939 8,276 sqft lot Est $227k · 38% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +28.5/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +8.4/10.0
• Livability +4.2/5.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• Rent growth +3.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Attention investors and house hackers, this is a great blank canvas to pick up and finish. Demo'd and renovation started inside. There are no interior pics. You are required to do all your own due diligence. Property is only available to direct buyers and/or their agents. No contract assignments. No wholesaling. No advertising the contract. Price will not be reduced after inspection. Cash or Hard Money only. All offers will be considered

Key facts

• 8,276 sq ft lot
• Garage
• Built 1939

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $390 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
• Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
• Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 441 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $139,980

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.34% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.21%
• Cash-on-cash: 13.98%
• DSCR: 1.62
• GRM: 6.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $227,151
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2211 Bayview Rd	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,269 (0%)	1mo	$125,000	$99	95
4615 Sunderland Rd	0.07mi	3/1.0	1,222 (-4%)	1mo	$219,000	$179	90
4609 Cambridge Rd	0.26mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,270 (+0%)	1mo	$130,000	$102	78
4567 Palmer Ave	0.27mi	3/1.0	1,114 (-12%)	1mo	$159,000	$143	66
5044 Colonial Ave	0.38mi	3/2.0	1,366 (+8%)	2mo	$250,000	$183	64
4649 Cambridge Rd	0.25mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,118 (-12%)	0mo	$235,000	$210	63
4819 Irvington Ave	0.51mi	3/2.0	1,144 (-10%)	1mo	$197,500	$173	55
5321 Fremont St	0.70mi	3/1.0	1,166 (-8%)	1mo	$231,000	$198	53
2107 Euclid St	0.63mi	3/2.0	1,376 (+8%)	1mo	$430,000	$313	52
5103 Camille Ave	0.69mi	3/1.0	1,092 (-14%)	2mo	$114,000	$104	43
5757 Cedar Park Ln	0.72mi	3/2.0	1,449 (+14%)	1mo	$230,000	$159	38
4436 Melrose Ave	0.72mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,080 (-15%)	0mo	$260,000	$241	32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.11% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 0.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.02×
• Total profit: $607
• Equity at exit: $20,871

10-year hold

• IRR: 9.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.67×
• Total profit: $26,248
• Equity at exit: $12,103

Cash invested: $39,194 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32210

• Rents YoY: 2.1%
• Active inventory: 441
• Price-to-rent: 6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,870 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$734
• Tax from tax record: −$228 /mo · $2,738/yr
• Insurance: −$58
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$393
• Net cashflow: $390

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,376

Max offer price $139,980

Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $34,995
• Closing costs: $4,199
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2235 Bayview Rd Jacksonville, FL	4.0	2.0	1619	$2,595	$1.60	7d	1	0.08mi
4614 Birkenhead Rd Jacksonville, FL	3.0	2.0	1248	$1,700	$1.36	14d	1	0.16mi
5032 San Juan Ave Jacksonville, FL	4.0	2.0	1760	$1,789	$1.02	23d	1	0.38mi
4776 Cardinal Blvd Jacksonville, FL	3.0	1.0	959	$1,550	$1.62	23d	1	0.55mi
5140 Janice Cir S Jacksonville, FL	3.0	1.0	1215	$1,335	$1.10	21d	1	0.61mi
3434 Blanding Blvd Jacksonville, FL	2.0–3.0	2.0	1101	$1,800	$1.63	3d	2	0.66mi
3434 Blanding Blvd #201 Jacksonville, FL	3.0	2.0	1253	$1,800	$1.44	17d	1	0.67mi
5324 Fremont St Jacksonville, FL	3.0	2.0	1550	$1,495	$0.96	3d	1	0.69mi
5139 Camille Ave Jacksonville, FL	3.0	2.0	1100	$1,625	$1.48	1d	1	0.69mi
4610 Cedarwood Rd Jacksonville, FL	3.0	1.0	1381	$1,950	$1.41	17d	1	0.72mi
1626 Stimson St Jacksonville, FL	3.0	2.5	1368	$1,641	$1.20	21d	1	0.75mi
5253 Janice Cir S Jacksonville, FL	4.0	1.0	1614	$1,471	$0.91	21d	1	0.77mi
4608 Wheeler Ave Jacksonville, FL	3.0	1.0	1025	$2,000	$1.95	23d	1	0.82mi
4523 Merrimac Ave Jacksonville, FL	4.0	2.0	1425	$1,544	$1.08	3d	1	0.83mi
1760 Mayview Rd Jacksonville, FL	3.0	2.0	1721	$2,500	$1.45	17d	1	0.91mi
1648 Euclid St Jacksonville, FL	3.0	2.0	1628	$2,395	$1.47	14d	1	0.92mi
1480 Stimson St Jacksonville, FL	3.0	1.0	1252	$1,445	$1.15	14d	1	1.00mi
5615 San Juan Ave #208 Jacksonville, FL	2.0	2.0	1115	$1,200	$1.08	23d	1	1.00mi
6026 Wilson Blvd Jacksonville, FL	4.0	3.0	1380	$700	$0.51	23d	1	1.03mi
2039 Niblick Dr Jacksonville, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	847	$1,275	$1.51	3d	10	1.03mi
4301 Confederate Point Rd Jacksonville, FL	3.0	1.0–2.0	1042	$1,606	$1.54	3d	39	1.04mi
1554 Geraldine Dr Jacksonville, FL	3.0	2.0	1362	$2,850	$2.09	7d	1	1.05mi
1650 Parrish Pl Jacksonville, FL	3.0	1.0	1387	$2,100	$1.51	23d	1	1.07mi
6066 Wilson Blvd Jacksonville, FL	3.0	3.0	1097	$1,800	$1.64	23d	1	1.09mi
6119 Wilson Blvd Jacksonville, FL	4.0	2.0	1302	$1,395	$1.07	23d	1	1.10mi
4375 Confederate Point Rd Jacksonville, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.5	1125	$1,536	$1.37	2d	22	1.10mi
5821 San Juan Ave Jacksonville, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1056	$1,330	$1.26	3d	7	1.11mi
3946 Saint Johns Ave Jacksonville, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	900	$2,486	$2.76	1d	18	1.19mi
1540 Lake Shore Blvd Jacksonville, FL	3.0	2.0	1180	$1,495	$1.27	7d	1	1.20mi
4455 Confederate Point Rd Jacksonville, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.5	1045	$1,599	$1.53	1d	19	1.20mi
5120 Quan Dr Jacksonville, FL	3.0	1.0	1454	$1,250	$0.86	1d	1	1.23mi
1374 Murray Dr Jacksonville, FL	3.0	2.0	1338	$1,950	$1.46	12d	1	1.25mi
1354 Stimson St Jacksonville, FL	4.0	2.0	1601	$2,100	$1.31	23d	1	1.25mi
5256 Clarendon Rd Jacksonville, FL	3.0	2.0	1278	$2,100	$1.64	23d	1	1.25mi
2730 Harvard Ave Jacksonville, FL	3.0	2.0	1800	$3,300	$1.83	17d	1	1.30mi
2836 Ionic Ave Jacksonville, FL	3.0	2.0	1675	$2,600	$1.55	23d	1	1.30mi
6171 Cedar Hills Blvd Jacksonville, FL	3.0	1.0	1560	$1,550	$0.99	7d	1	1.30mi
3607 Colebrooke Dr Jacksonville, FL	3.0	2.0	1360	$1,590	$1.17	3d	1	1.31mi
4020 Angol Pl Jacksonville, FL	3.0	1.0	1266	$1,845	$1.46	17d	1	1.33mi
4102 Angol Pl Jacksonville, FL	3.0	2.0	1470	$1,650	$1.12	4d	1	1.36mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-04-09
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-02
   listed $139,980 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,738 · $228/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,738 · $228/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,437
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,841
• − Property taxes: −$2,738
• − Insurance: −$1,497
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,795
• − Management: −$1,795
• − Depreciation: −$4,072
• Taxable income: $2,699
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$648
• After-tax cash flow: $4,034/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Duval
• NCES district ID: 1200480
• Math proficiency: 46% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 45% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $48,987
• Composite: 38.97/100
• National rank: #4076
• State rank: #48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

• Score: 83/100
• State rank: #50
• US rank: #911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Jacksonville, FL
• County: Duval County · 1,015,274 people
• City population: 979,034
• Metro: Jacksonville, FL
• Population (ZIP): 65,729
• Household income: $61,050
• Rent vs Own: 42.6% rent · 57.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 3605.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,013,010 people
• By 2030: 1,059,228 · +4.6%
• By 2040: 1,141,439 · +12.7%
• By 2050: 1,205,258 · +19.0%
• By 2075: 1,324,282 · +30.7%
• By 2100: 1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
• Race & ethnicity: White 43% Black 38% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Hispanic 2% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada, Vietnam, China
• Languages at home: 86% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -314.81%
• Current HPI: 281.2688
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.11%
• Metro: Jacksonville, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-09 Pending — realMLS
• 2026-04-02 Listed $139,980 realMLS

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,738 · +12.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.