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566 Village Dr
D Composite 41.99
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.2/30.0
  • Livability +4.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$230,000

566 Village Dr · Central Point, OR 97502
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,014 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 36 Days on market
Built 1994 1,742 sqft lot $227/sqft · 24% below area Est $303k · 24% under $300/mo HOA · 15% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Step into this remodeled and updated 2 bedroom, 2 full bath, approx 1014 sq ft home that offers comfort, style, and functionality. With its open-concept design, this home lives much larger than its stated square footage and creates the perfect setting for simply enjoying everyday life. This home features abundant lighting, a new heat pump in Dec 2024, new plumbing in Sept 2022, both bathrooms remodeled in Sept 2022, new flooring throughout in Sept 2022, new interior painting in Sept 2022. Great kitchen with appliances and window that overlooks the front of the house and spacious living room attached to the dining area with a glass sliding door that leads out to the awesome covered front por

Key facts

  • Open-concept design
  • Remodeled
  • New heat pump

Tags

REMODELEDUPDATEDOPEN-CONCEPT DESIGNABUNDANT LIGHTINGNEW HEAT PUMPNEW PLUMBING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Property is currently rented
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $300; CC&Rs in place; Association amenities: other

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 1 garage space; Driveway; Concrete parking areas; Garage door opener; On-street parking
  • Security: Carbon monoxide detectors; Smoke detectors; Audio surveillance; Video surveillance
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Public utilities available; Easements for utilities
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Frame construction; Audio and video surveillance on the premises; No short-term rental permit
  • Construction: Built in 1994; Frame construction; Concrete perimeter foundation
  • Exterior features: Composition roof; Double-pane windows with vinyl frames; Landscaped, level lot; Paved road frontage; Shared access; Flood status: unknown

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Oven; Range
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom
  • Flooring: Laminate; Other
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning; Heat pump cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Laminate countertops; Open floor plan; Shower/tub combo; Water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-218 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $191k (16.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $194k (15.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $191k (16.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.1% in Central Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 90/100 on livability (#3 in OR, #92 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Central Point SD 6 (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #42 of 58 in OR (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Central Point Elementary School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #320 of 412 statewide, top 82%, 454 students, 66% FRL); Scenic Middle School (math 19% / reading 41%, grade F, #84 of 128 statewide, top 66%, 844 students, 58% FRL); Crater School of Business Innovation And Science (math 44% / reading 84%, grade B-, #16 of 143 statewide, top 12%, 496 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 213 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 904 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (212 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jackson County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $168k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $191,477 (16.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
5.16%
Cash-on-cash
-4.06%
DSCR
0.82
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$303,480
List price
$230,000
Delta
-24.21%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
992 Glengrove Ave 0.15mi 2/2.0 1,076 (+6%) 3mo $298,000 $277 80
940 Glengrove Ave 0.13mi 2/2.0 1,114 (+10%) 10mo $314,900 $283 70
532 Hopkins Rd 0.48mi 2/2.0 1,008 (-1%) 10mo $322,000 $319 68
840 Ash St 0.53mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,056 (+4%) 6mo $352,000 $333 56
530 Freeman Rd 0.49mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,050 (+4%) 15mo $315,000 $300 50
30 Ashley Pl 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,092 (+8%) 7mo $350,000 $321 48
476 Grand Ave 0.52mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,092 (+8%) 13mo $319,000 $292 47
70 Ashley Pl 0.56mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,092 (+8%) 11mo $349,000 $320 46
520 Grand Ave 0.48mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,092 (+8%) 12mo $355,000 $325 46
610 Freeman Rd 0.46mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,161 (+14%) 9mo $305,762 $263 42
930 Oak St 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,101 (+9%) 11mo $370,000 $336 40
471 Grand Ave 0.53mi 2/1.0 1,141 (+12%) 14mo $250,000 $219 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.4%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-48,398
Equity at exit
$34,294
10-year hold
IRR
-11.8%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-48,406
Equity at exit
$19,886

Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97502

Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
213
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,941 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax from tax record
$150 /mo · $1,796/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$300
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$408
Net cashflow
$-218

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,217
Max offer price $191,477
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-88 -5% $-153 +0% $-218 +5% $-283 +10% $-348
Rent -10% $-371 -5% $-295 +0% $-218 +5% $-141 +10% $-65
Rate -1.0pp $-102 -0.5pp $-160 base $-218 +0.5pp $-278 +1.0pp $-338

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,500
Closing costs
$6,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
563 Primrose Dr Central Point, OR 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,300 $2.09 45d 1 0.15mi
565 Primrose Dr Central Point, OR 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,300 $2.09 45d 1 0.15mi
525 Primrose Dr Central Point, OR 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,300 $2.09 45d 1 0.16mi
501 Briarwood Dr Central Point, OR 2.0 2.0 880 $1,325 $1.51 45d 1 0.26mi
501 Briarwood Dr Central Point, OR 2.0 2.0 880 $1,325 $1.51 15d 1 0.28mi
617 Valley Heart Ln Unit 619 Central Point, OR 3.0 2.0 1162 $1,595 $1.37 23d 1 0.45mi
50 S 9th St #4 Central Point, OR 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,335 $1.21 15d 1 0.80mi
324 Cheney Loop Central Point, OR 2.0 2.0 1283 $1,500 $1.17 15d 1 0.97mi
549 Glenn Way Central Point, OR 3.0 2.0 1078 $2,100 $1.95 45d 1 1.00mi
283 Tyler Ave Central Point, OR 2.0 2.5 1425 $2,000 $1.40 15d 1 1.05mi
1149 Annalise St Central Point, OR 3.0 2.5 1379 $2,395 $1.74 23d 1 1.10mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$300 · $3,600/yr

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $230,000 Active 36 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $230,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $230,000 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    status $230,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    status $230,000 Pending 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $230,000 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $230,000 Active 31 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $230,000 Active 29 DOM
  9. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $230,000 Active 28 DOM
  10. 2026-06-10
    days on market $245,000 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $245,000 Active 25 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $245,000 Active 24 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $245,000 Active 23 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $245,000 Active 18 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $245,000 Active 17 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $245,000 Active 16 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $245,000 Active 15 DOM
  18. 2026-05-15
    listed $245,000 Active 909-char remark
  19. 2020-04-26
    historical
  20. 2005-12-14
    soldstatus $168,000
  21. 2005-10-25
    listed $168,000
  22. 2000-12-18
    soldstatus $77,500
  23. 2000-12-18
    soldstatus $77,500
  24. 2000-06-09
    listed $79,900
  25. 1999-04-01
    listed $79,900
  26. 1995-09-29
    soldstatus $77,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,796 · $150/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,231 · $186/mo
Expected delta
+$435/yr (+$36/mo · 24.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 31 unhealthy d/yr today · 32 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,295
− Mortgage interest
−$12,884
− Property taxes
−$1,796
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,864
− Management
−$1,864
− HOA
−$3,600
− Depreciation
−$6,691
Taxable loss
−$6,553
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,573
After-tax cash flow
$-1,044/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Central Point SD 6
NCES district ID
4102940
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$49,736
Composite
26.09/100
National rank
#7290
State rank
#42 of 58 in OR

Livability — Central Point

Score
90/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#92

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C Crime A- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Central Point, OR
County
Jackson County · 159,661 people
City population
29,067
Metro
Medford, OR
Population (ZIP)
29,067
Household income
$83,488
Rent vs Own
26.7% rent · 73.3% own
Severe rent burden
650.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
234,433 people
By 2030
243,834 · +4.0%
By 2040
259,717 · +10.8%
By 2050
273,269 · +16.6%
By 2075
300,624 · +28.2%
By 2100
305,256 · +30.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.4) · D 45.5% · R 51.9% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.5pp toward R · 2008: 0.1pp · 2024: -6.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.4 2020: R+3.5 2016: R+9.2 2012: R+5.0 2008: D+0.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -446.66%
Current HPI
252.2725
Rent YoY
▲ 4.33%
Metro
Medford, OR
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+196.8% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Relisted MLSCO
  • 2026-06-16 Pending MLSCO
  • 2026-06-10 Price Changed $230,000 MLSCO
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $245,000 MLSCO
  • 2020-04-26 Listing Removed MLSCO
  • 2005-12-14 Sold (Public Records) $168,000 Public Records
  • 2005-10-25 Listed $168,000 MLSCO
  • 2000-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $77,500 Public Records
  • 2000-12-18 Sold (MLS) $77,500 MLSCO
  • 2000-06-09 Listed $79,900 MLSCO
  • 1999-04-01 Listed $79,900 MLSCO
  • 1995-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $77,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,796 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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