566 Village Dr · Central Point, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 31 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 32 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.2/30.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$230,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Step into this remodeled and updated 2 bedroom, 2 full bath, approx 1014 sq ft home that offers comfort, style, and functionality. With its open-concept design, this home lives much larger than its stated square footage and creates the perfect setting for simply enjoying everyday life. This home features abundant lighting, a new heat pump in Dec 2024, new plumbing in Sept 2022, both bathrooms remodeled in Sept 2022, new flooring throughout in Sept 2022, new interior painting in Sept 2022. Great kitchen with appliances and window that overlooks the front of the house and spacious living room attached to the dining area with a glass sliding door that leads out to the awesome covered front por
Key facts
- Open-concept design
- Remodeled
- New heat pump
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Property is currently rented
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $300; CC&Rs in place; Association amenities: other
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 1 garage space; Driveway; Concrete parking areas; Garage door opener; On-street parking
- Security: Carbon monoxide detectors; Smoke detectors; Audio surveillance; Video surveillance
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Public utilities available; Easements for utilities
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Frame construction; Audio and video surveillance on the premises; No short-term rental permit
- Construction: Built in 1994; Frame construction; Concrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features: Composition roof; Double-pane windows with vinyl frames; Landscaped, level lot; Paved road frontage; Shared access; Flood status: unknown
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Oven; Range
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom
- Flooring: Laminate; Other
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning; Heat pump cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Laminate countertops; Open floor plan; Shower/tub combo; Water heater
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-218 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $191k (16.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $194k (15.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $191k (16.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.1% in Central Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 90/100 on livability (#3 in OR, #92 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Central Point SD 6 (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #42 of 58 in OR (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Central Point Elementary School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #320 of 412 statewide, top 82%, 454 students, 66% FRL); Scenic Middle School (math 19% / reading 41%, grade F, #84 of 128 statewide, top 66%, 844 students, 58% FRL); Crater School of Business Innovation And Science (math 44% / reading 84%, grade B-, #16 of 143 statewide, top 12%, 496 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 213 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 904 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (212 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $168k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.06%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $303,480
- List price
- $230,000
- Delta
- -24.21%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 992 Glengrove Ave | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 1,076 (+6%) | 3mo | $298,000 | $277 | 80 |
| 940 Glengrove Ave | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,114 (+10%) | 10mo | $314,900 | $283 | 70 |
| 532 Hopkins Rd | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 | 1,008 (-1%) | 10mo | $322,000 | $319 | 68 |
| 840 Ash St | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,056 (+4%) | 6mo | $352,000 | $333 | 56 |
| 530 Freeman Rd | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,050 (+4%) | 15mo | $315,000 | $300 | 50 |
| 30 Ashley Pl | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,092 (+8%) | 7mo | $350,000 | $321 | 48 |
| 476 Grand Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,092 (+8%) | 13mo | $319,000 | $292 | 47 |
| 70 Ashley Pl | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,092 (+8%) | 11mo | $349,000 | $320 | 46 |
| 520 Grand Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,092 (+8%) | 12mo | $355,000 | $325 | 46 |
| 610 Freeman Rd | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,161 (+14%) | 9mo | $305,762 | $263 | 42 |
| 930 Oak St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,101 (+9%) | 11mo | $370,000 | $336 | 40 |
| 471 Grand Ave | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 1,141 (+12%) | 14mo | $250,000 | $219 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-48,398
- Equity at exit
- $34,294
- IRR
- -11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-48,406
- Equity at exit
- $19,886
Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97502
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 213
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,941 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$150 /mo · $1,796/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$300
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$408
- Net cashflow
- $-218
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-88 | -5% $-153 | +0% $-218 | +5% $-283 | +10% $-348 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-371 | -5% $-295 | +0% $-218 | +5% $-141 | +10% $-65 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-102 | -0.5pp $-160 | base $-218 | +0.5pp $-278 | +1.0pp $-338 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,500
- Closing costs
- $6,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 563 Primrose Dr Central Point, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,300 | $2.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 565 Primrose Dr Central Point, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,300 | $2.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 525 Primrose Dr Central Point, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,300 | $2.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 501 Briarwood Dr Central Point, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,325 | $1.51 | 45d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 501 Briarwood Dr Central Point, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,325 | $1.51 | 15d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 617 Valley Heart Ln Unit 619 Central Point, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1162 | $1,595 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 50 S 9th St #4 Central Point, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,335 | $1.21 | 15d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 324 Cheney Loop Central Point, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1283 | $1,500 | $1.17 | 15d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 549 Glenn Way Central Point, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1078 | $2,100 | $1.95 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 283 Tyler Ave Central Point, OR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1425 | $2,000 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1149 Annalise St Central Point, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1379 | $2,395 | $1.74 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $300 · $3,600/yr
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $230,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $230,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $230,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-17status $230,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-16status $230,000 Pending 32 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $230,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $230,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $230,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $230,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $245,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $245,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $245,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $245,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $245,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $245,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $245,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $245,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-15$245,000 Active 909-char remark
-
2020-04-26historical
-
2005-12-14soldstatus $168,000
-
2005-10-25$168,000
-
2000-12-18soldstatus $77,500
-
2000-12-18soldstatus $77,500
-
2000-06-09$79,900
-
1999-04-01$79,900
-
1995-09-29soldstatus $77,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,796 · $150/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,231 · $186/mo
- Expected delta
- +$435/yr (+$36/mo · 24.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 31 unhealthy d/yr today · 32 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,295
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,884
- − Property taxes
- −$1,796
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,864
- − Management
- −$1,864
- − HOA
- −$3,600
- − Depreciation
- −$6,691
- Taxable loss
- −$6,553
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,573
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,044/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Central Point SD 6
- NCES district ID
- 4102940
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,736
- Composite
- 26.09/100
- National rank
- #7290
- State rank
- #42 of 58 in OR
Livability — Central Point
- Score
- 90/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #92
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Central Point, OR
- County
- Jackson County · 159,661 people
- City population
- 29,067
- Metro
- Medford, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,067
- Household income
- $83,488
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 650.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 234,433 people
- By 2030
- 243,834 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 259,717 · +10.8%
- By 2050
- 273,269 · +16.6%
- By 2075
- 300,624 · +28.2%
- By 2100
- 305,256 · +30.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.4) · D 45.5% · R 51.9% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.5pp toward R · 2008: 0.1pp · 2024: -6.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.4 2020: R+3.5 2016: R+9.2 2012: R+5.0 2008: D+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -446.66%
- Current HPI
- 252.2725
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.33%
- Metro
- Medford, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+196.8% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Relisted — MLSCO
- 2026-06-16 Pending — MLSCO
- 2026-06-10 Price Changed $230,000 MLSCO
- 2026-05-15 Listed $245,000 MLSCO
- 2020-04-26 Listing Removed — MLSCO
- 2005-12-14 Sold (Public Records) $168,000 Public Records
- 2005-10-25 Listed $168,000 MLSCO
- 2000-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $77,500 Public Records
- 2000-12-18 Sold (MLS) $77,500 MLSCO
- 2000-06-09 Listed $79,900 MLSCO
- 1999-04-01 Listed $79,900 MLSCO
- 1995-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $77,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,796 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…