400 Greenfield Dr #18 · Bostonia, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.5/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
!!!!BEAUTIFUL ALL AGE PARK!!!Close to Schools-Well Cared for 3Br/2Ba-Open-Spacious-Floor Plan-Living Room-Dining Room(Built In Hutch)- Family Room-Big Bedrooms-BuiltIns-Good Condition-Central Heat & A/C, Laundry, Appliances Stay, Upgraded Aluminum Siding, Covered Patio, Porch, Fruit Trees, Garden & Backyard Area, Pets OK!
Key facts
- Ample cabinetry
- Private bath
- Wood paneled accents
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Monthly land lease of $1,844
- HOA & community: Part of an association; Community park
Exterior
- Parking: Located in Greenfield Mobile Home Estates
- Utilities: Sewer: unknown (sewer or septic); Water: see remarks
- Home design: Single-story mobile home; Mobile home remains on site; Entry on level 1
- Construction: Mobile home approximately 24 ft by 57 ft; Year built per assessor
- Exterior features: Association pool; Level/flat lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Front door entry
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside the home
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.0% vs local median 6.0% in Bostonia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#383 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing B+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Grossmont Union High (suburban): math 31% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #173 of 517 in CA (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 238 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $51k; list at $135k implies a 165% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 5→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.87%
- DSCR
- 2.86
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $151,848
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 400 Greenfield Dr Spc 122 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-2%) | 5mo | $80,000 | $60 | 88 |
| 400 Greenfield Dr Spc 26 #26 | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+5%) | 5mo | $160,200 | $111 | 85 |
| 255 E Bradley Ave Spc 43 | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-2%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $123 | 84 |
| 400 Greenfield Dr #139 | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-5%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $120 | 83 |
| 400 Greenfield, Dr, space 114 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,227 (-10%) | 10mo | $155,000 | $126 | 75 |
| 351 E Bradley Ave #149 | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-5%) | 1mo | $127,500 | $98 | 74 |
| 450 E Bradley Ave #89 | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+5%) | 0mo | $85,000 | $59 | 62 |
| 255 E Bradley Ave Spc 21 | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (+10%) | 13mo | $143,000 | $95 | 61 |
| 450 E Bradley Ave #127 | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,246 (-9%) | 2mo | $106,000 | $85 | 61 |
| 450 E Bradley Ave #144 | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,280 (-6%) | 3mo | $159,000 | $124 | 58 |
| 450 E Bradley Ave #115 | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+5%) | 7mo | $169,000 | $117 | 57 |
| 450 E Bradley Ave Spc 79 | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+5%) | 14mo | $75,000 | $52 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.43×
- Total profit
- $54,190
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 40.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.30×
- Total profit
- $124,667
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92021
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 238
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,698 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $578/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$567
- Net cashflow
- $1,319
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1237 Graves Ave El Cajon, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $2,565 | $3.31 | 2d | 13 | 0.11mi |
| 375 Broadway El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $2,800 | $2.00 | 2d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 360 E Bradley Ave El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $2,934 | $2.63 | 2d | 3 | 0.49mi |
| 1219 Denver Ln Unit 1465013P El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1194 | $8,558 | $7.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1696 Buckeye Dr El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $2,900 | $3.08 | 2d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 716 Ballantyne St Unit 12 El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,100 | $2.33 | 2d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 700 Ballantyne St El Cajon, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,150 | $2.53 | 2d | 5 | 0.66mi |
| 1314 5 D Dr Unit 1318 El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $2,600 | $2.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 798 McClure St Unit 14 El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 916 | $2,295 | $2.51 | 2d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 989 Peach Ave El Cajon, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 845 | $2,622 | $3.10 | 2d | 11 | 0.75mi |
| 390 E Madison Ave Unit E El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1034 | $2,300 | $2.22 | 4d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 534 Jeffree St El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $3,895 | $3.48 | 10d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 534 Jeffree St El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $3,895 | $3.48 | 3d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 303 E Madison Ave El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,995 | $2.28 | 2d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 455 Ballantyne St El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 925 | $2,195 | $2.37 | 2d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 505 E Madison Ave #89 El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 975 | $2,350 | $2.41 | 3d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 589 N Johnson Ave El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 889 | $2,150 | $2.42 | 2d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1221 Oro St El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1020 | $2,575 | $2.52 | 2d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 432 Dominguez Way Unit 13 El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 952 | $2,195 | $2.31 | 20d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 299 Wisconsin Ave Apt T El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 875 | $2,250 | $2.57 | 2d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 339 Chambers St El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $3,500 | $2.19 | 20d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1171 Marline Ave Unit 1171-A El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1141 | $3,100 | $2.72 | 2d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 280 Roanoke Rd El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $2,395 | $2.34 | 2d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 280 Roanoke Rd Unit 1 El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $2,395 | $2.34 | 2d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 816 Oro St El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1235 | $3,400 | $2.75 | 2d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 280 N Mollison Ave El Cajon, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $2,195 | $2.66 | 2d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1110-1140 Petree St El Cajon, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $2,241 | $2.91 | 2d | 7 | 1.20mi |
| 233 N Mollison Ave El Cajon, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 843 | $2,202 | $2.61 | 2d | 10 | 1.27mi |
| 1255 Marline Ave Unit 1255 El Cajon, CA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1730 | $4,200 | $2.43 | 2d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1240 Petree St El Cajon, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 809 | $2,771 | $3.43 | 2d | 20 | 1.34mi |
| 148 Taft Ave Unit 7 El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,895 | $2.17 | 2d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 180 N 1st St El Cajon, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 830 | $2,125 | $2.56 | 2d | 3 | 1.43mi |
| 620 E Lexington Ave #3 El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,900 | $2.90 | 2d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 200 S Mollison Ave El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,995 | $2.10 | 2d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 800 E Lexington Ave El Cajon, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $3,210 | $3.09 | 2d | 5 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $135,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $135,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-03-13price $135,000
-
2026-01-23$150,000 Active
-
2002-08-09soldstatus $50,900 335-char remark
Show marketing remark (335 chars)
!!!!BEAUTIFUL ALL AGE PARK!!!Close to Schools-Well Cared for 3Br/2Ba-Open-Spacious-Floor Plan-Living Room-Dining Room(Built In Hutch)- Family Room-Big Bedrooms-BuiltIns-Good Condition-Central Heat & A/C, Laundry, Appliances Stay, Upgraded Aluminum Siding, Covered Patio, Porch, Fruit Trees, Garden & Backyard Area, Pets OK!
-
2002-06-03$49,900 335-char remark
Show marketing remark (335 chars)
!!!!BEAUTIFUL ALL AGE PARK!!!Close to Schools-Well Cared for 3Br/2Ba-Open-Spacious-Floor Plan-Living Room-Dining Room(Built In Hutch)- Family Room-Big Bedrooms-BuiltIns-Good Condition-Central Heat & A/C, Laundry, Appliances Stay, Upgraded Aluminum Siding, Covered Patio, Porch, Fruit Trees, Garden & Backyard Area, Pets OK!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $578 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,026 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- +$448/yr (+$37/mo · 77.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 5 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,375
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$578
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,590
- − Management
- −$2,590
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $14,452
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,469
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,359/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grossmont Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0616230
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,801
- Composite
- 40.07/100
- National rank
- #3810
- State rank
- #173 of 517 in CA
Livability — Bostonia
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #383
- US rank
- #13065
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bostonia, CA
- County
- San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
- Metro
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 70,501
- Household income
- $74,013
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4178.0
Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,678,185 people
- By 2030
- 3,856,546 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 4,171,407 · +13.4%
- By 2050
- 4,421,607 · +20.2%
- By 2075
- 4,831,599 · +31.4%
- By 2100
- 4,832,502 · +31.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 14% Black 6% Asian 5% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24%
- Common ancestry
- Arab 6% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 18% Arabic 7% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · San Diego
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -654.88%
- Current HPI
- 335.0617
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.83%
- Metro
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+170.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $135,000 CRMLS
- 2026-01-23 Listed $150,000 CRMLS
- 2002-08-09 Sold (MLS) $50,900 CRMLS
- 2002-06-03 Listed $49,900 CRMLS
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2013): $578 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…