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100 Scruggs Ln
B- Composite 68.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.6/30.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$69,000

100 Scruggs Ln · Mosheim, TN 37810
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 784 sqft · SingleFamily · 1 Days on market
Built 1986 1.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Reduced to $30,000, Located in the West Greene School district, nice 2BR/1BA singlewide sitting on 1 acre, propane heater and window AC, located on a dead end road conventent to W Andrew Johnson Hwy, great starter home or rental investment

Key facts

  • All appliances stay
  • Washer dryer stay
  • 1 acre

Tags

1 ACREALL APPLIANCES STAYWASHER DRYER STAYEXERCISE EQUIPMENT STAYFURNITURE STAY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Manufactured house (single wide); One level
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Level to steep slope topography

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Window unit cooling; Electric heating; Propane heating
  • Interior features: Microwave; Vinyl flooring; Total of 4 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $184 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($836 rent vs $69k).
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 2.3% in Mosheim — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#314 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Greene County (rural): math 27% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #83 of 139 in TN (top 60%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Mosheim Elementary (math 20% / reading 19%, grade F, #654 of 952 statewide, top 72%, 721 students, 0% FRL); West Greene High School (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #183 of 332 statewide, top 59%, 516 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 58% district-wide (58 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 333 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($477 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (7.3% local appreciation)).
  • Greene County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (7.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $69k implies a 207% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $69,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
9.49%
Cash-on-cash
11.42%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.34% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.6%
Equity multiple
2.93×
Total profit
$37,275
Equity at exit
$49,365
10-year hold
IRR
25.0%
Equity multiple
6.15×
Total profit
$99,492
Equity at exit
$95,211

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37810

Home prices YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
17
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$836 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax est. 1.5%
$86 /mo · $1,035/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$176
Net cashflow
$184

Break-even live

Break-even rent $604
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $232 -5% $208 +0% $184 +5% $160 +10% $136
Rent -10% $118 -5% $151 +0% $184 +5% $217 +10% $250
Rate -1.0pp $219 -0.5pp $201 base $184 +0.5pp $166 +1.0pp $148

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    remarks 270-char remark
  2. 2026-06-12
    listed $69,000 Pending 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,036
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$1,035
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$803
− Management
−$803
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$1,178
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$283
After-tax cash flow
$1,924/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greene County
NCES district ID
4701470
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$37,517
Composite
21.3/100
National rank
#8388
State rank
#83 of 139 in TN

Livability — Mosheim

Score
58/100
State rank
#314
US rank
#21396

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing B Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
5,407
Population (ZIP)
1,991

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,624 people
By 2030
68,114 · -0.7%
By 2040
66,167 · -3.6%
By 2050
63,038 · -8.1%
By 2075
55,274 · -19.5%
By 2100
45,527 · -33.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (99%)
Race & ethnicity
White 99%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
Solid R (+65.7) · D 16.6% · R 82.3% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-25.0pp toward R · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -65.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+65.7 2020: R+60.7 2016: R+61.0 2012: R+46.0 2008: R+40.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.34%
Current HPI
274.4513
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+130.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Pending TVRMLS
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $69,000 TVRMLS
  • 2020-03-13 Sold (MLS) $22,500 LAAR
  • 2020-03-13 Sold (MLS) $22,500 TVRMLS
  • 2019-10-04 Listed $30,000 LAAR
  • 2019-10-04 Listed $30,000 TVRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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