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721 W 3rd St
B Composite 73.44
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$49,500

721 W 3rd St · Littlefield, TX 79339
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 150 Days on market
Built 1960 7,000 sqft lot $50/sqft · 59% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Owner-financing is available for this property!!! Bring $15,000 down and the seller will finance the rest with a 5% interest rate! This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home is conveniently located across a park and down the street from a school. Don't dare miss out on this rare opportunity and make this your first/next project!

Key facts

  • 7,000 sq ft lot
  • Built 1960
  • Listed 150 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $314 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($831 rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#658 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, amenities F.
  • Littlefield ISD (town): math 34% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #527 of 826 in TX (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $83 of equity ($342 loan paydown + $-259 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
  • Lamb County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $43,560 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.68%
Cap rate
13.91%
Cash-on-cash
27.19%
DSCR
2.21
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$121,859
List price
$49,500
Delta
-59.38%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.52% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.5%
Equity multiple
2.25×
Total profit
$17,363
Equity at exit
$13,090
10-year hold
IRR
30.9%
Equity multiple
4.33×
Total profit
$46,093
Equity at exit
$14,745

Cash invested: $13,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79339

Home prices YoY
-0.4%
Active inventory
45
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$831 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$260
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $742/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$174
Net cashflow
$314

Break-even live

Break-even rent $433
Max offer price $49,500
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $348 -5% $331 +0% $314 +5% $297 +10% $280
Rent -10% $248 -5% $281 +0% $314 +5% $347 +10% $380
Rate -1.0pp $339 -0.5pp $327 base $314 +0.5pp $301 +1.0pp $288

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,375
Closing costs
$1,485
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
517 W 5th St Littlefield, TX 3.0 1.0 912 $850 $0.93 44d 1 0.18mi
1100 S Wicker Ave Unit OT-10 Littlefield, TX 2.0 1.0 740 $725 $0.98 44d 1 0.63mi
400 E 22nd St Littlefield, TX 2.0–3.0 1.5 1143 $875 $0.77 44d 2 1.32mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $49,500 Active 150 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,500 Active 148 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,500 Active 147 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,500 Active 146 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,500 Active 145 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,500 Active 143 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $49,500 Active 142 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $49,500 Active 139 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,500 Active 138 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,500 Active 137 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,500 Active 136 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,500 Active 133 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,500 Active 132 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,500 Active 131 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,500 Active 130 DOM
  16. 2026-01-21
    listed $49,500 Active 319-char remark
    Show marketing remark (319 chars)

    Owner-financing is available for this property!!! Bring $15,000 down and the seller will finance the rest with a 5% interest rate! This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home is conveniently located across a park and down the street from a school. Don't dare miss out on this rare opportunity and make this your first/next project!

  17. 2007-10-01
    soldstatus
  18. 2004-06-29
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,967
− Mortgage interest
−$2,773
− Property taxes
−$742
− Insurance
−$248
− Repairs & maintenance
−$797
− Management
−$797
− Depreciation
−$1,440
Taxable income
$3,170
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$761
After-tax cash flow
$3,008/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Littlefield ISD
NCES district ID
4827750
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$36,900
Composite
29.51/100
National rank
#6503
State rank
#527 of 826 in TX

Livability — Littlefield

Score
65/100
State rank
#658
US rank
#12392

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Littlefield, TX
Population (ZIP)
6,707

Population outlook (Lamb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
12,357 people
By 2030
11,878 · -3.9%
By 2040
10,950 · -11.4%
By 2050
9,929 · -19.6%
By 2075
7,355 · -40.5%
By 2100
4,603 · -62.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 53% White 41% Two or more races 17% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 51%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 35%

Political lean MEDSL · Lamb

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.3) · D 17.6% · R 81.9%
2008→2024 swing
-15.9pp toward R · 2008: -48.4pp · 2024: -64.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.3 2020: R+60.8 2016: R+58.1 2012: R+50.3 2008: R+48.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.52%
Current HPI
140.3662
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-21 Listed $49,500 LARMLS
  • 2007-10-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-06-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $58 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…