6055 Louise St · Fayetteville, NC
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 73.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Amazing investment opportunity in the Hollywood Heights neighborhood. Located on a large lot, this brick home has 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, living room, eat-in kitchen and single carport. Short distance to Cross Creek Mall, entertainment and other venues. Please be aware this sale is subject to NCGS Chapter 1 Article 29A and the procedures for private partition sales. An accepted offer will be treated as a starting bid and will begin the 10 day upset bid period. The buyers due diligence period will not begin until the upset bid period expires. If the buyers bid is upset, all due diligence and earnest money will be refunded. CURRENT UPSET PERIOD DATE IS OCTOBER 7, 2024. UPSET BIDS ARE REQUIRE
Key facts
- 0.82 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1964
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $203 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.9% vs local median 4.9% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#45 in NC, #4,031 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lewis Chapel Middle (math 15% / reading 27%, grade F, #424 of 475 statewide, top 90%, 578 students, 100% FRL); Seventy-First High (math 45% / reading 44%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 1,366 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 55% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 429 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.53%
- DSCR
- 2.85
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $143,988
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6110 Conaway Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,014 (0%) | 1mo | $186,500 | $184 | 78 |
| 943 Louise Cir | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,082 (+7%) | 11mo | $180,000 | $166 | 67 |
| 1026 Revere St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,045 (+3%) | 16mo | $148,000 | $142 | 66 |
| 334 Richmond Dr | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,047 (+3%) | 0mo | $140,400 | $134 | 60 |
| 1020 Revere St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (+10%) | 12mo | $152,000 | $136 | 58 |
| 6319 Lynette Cir | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,092 (+8%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $105 | 56 |
| 1028 Crayton Cir | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,092 (+8%) | 9mo | $159,700 | $146 | 51 |
| 5405 Williamsburgh Dr | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 930 (-8%) | 7mo | $67,000 | $72 | 50 |
| 339 Richmond Dr | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,053 (+4%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $142 | 50 |
| 5486 Maplewood Ct | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (+4%) | 21mo | $190,000 | $180 | 43 |
| 5320 Williamsburgh Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,134 (+12%) | 10mo | $159,900 | $141 | 36 |
| 6116 Tiree Dr | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,161 (+14%) | 14mo | $189,900 | $164 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.11% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $2,845
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $20,892
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28314
- Home prices YoY
- -15.7%
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 429
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,352 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $846/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $203
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6132 Dandy Loop Rd Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1456 | $1,325 | $0.91 | 23d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 3119 Wisteria Ln Unit 102 Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1415 | $1,550 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1070 Rulnick St Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,200 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 6340 Ginger Cir Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1052 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 6309 Lynette Cir Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1014 | $1,300 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 600 Scotia Ln Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1070 | $1,380 | $1.29 | 14d | 29 | 0.58mi |
| 4809 Belford Rd Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1459 | $1,300 | $0.89 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1216 Weeping Willow Way Unit 229 Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $969 | $1.01 | 14d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 425 Woodstream Trl Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 810 | $1,330 | $1.64 | 23d | 12 | 0.80mi |
| 812 Crescent Commons Way Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 963 | $1,385 | $1.44 | 14d | 10 | 0.83mi |
| 5876 Aftonshire Dr Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $1,015 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 855 King Arthur Dr Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 810 | $1,182 | $1.46 | 14d | 9 | 0.83mi |
| 5864 Aftonshire Dr Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 944 Lark Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,395 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1406 Tangora Ln Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1192 | $1,015 | $0.85 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 5713 Aftonshire Dr Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1025 | $995 | $0.97 | 14d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 600 Ashbrook Ct Fayetteville, NC | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,299 | $1.24 | 21d | 6 | 0.87mi |
| 613 Ashbrook Ct Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1103 | $1,299 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1413 Tangora Ln Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 945 | $979 | $1.04 | 14d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3325 Oak Forest Dr Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1112 | $1,745 | $1.57 | 14d | 66 | 0.89mi |
| 5842 Aftonshire Dr Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1010 | $1,000 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 609 Ashbrook Ct Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 997 | $1,049 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 5744 Aftonshire Dr Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 945 | $999 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 6324 Marykirk Dr Unit A Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 792 | $900 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 6332 Marykirk Dr Unit A Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 925 | $1,150 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4547 Chambersburg Rd Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1198 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 6400 Starbrook Dr #1 Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 860 | $1,000 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 6408 Starbrook Dr #5 Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 860 | $995 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 5713 Waterwood Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,650 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 6333 Marykirk Dr Unit A Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,075 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 6517 Portsmouth Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1125 | $1,250 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1437 Artesian Ct Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 850 | $1,000 | $1.18 | 14d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1401 Carnsmore Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1450 | $1,575 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 5761 Waterwood Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $1,600 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1222 Southwood Dr Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 801 | $875 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3500 Carlson Bay Ct Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $1,350 | $1.59 | 14d | 4 | 1.11mi |
| 425 Windermere Dr Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 420 Mangum Ct Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1127 | $1,550 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 5200 Cypress Rd Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1210 | $1,250 | $1.03 | 23d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1443 Larkhall Dr Fayetteville, NC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1382 | $1,600 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2024-11-02status Pending
-
2024-09-14$65,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $846 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $846 · $71/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 73% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,228
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$846
- − Insurance
- −$5,444
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,298
- − Management
- −$1,298
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $1,810
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$434
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,006/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cumberland County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700011
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,168
- Composite
- 31.0/100
- National rank
- #6096
- State rank
- #126 of 178 in NC
Livability — Fayetteville
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #45
- US rank
- #4031
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fayetteville, NC
- County
- Cumberland County · 265,314 people
- City population
- 226,118
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,834
- Household income
- $62,249
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2511.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 330,855 people
- By 2030
- 333,523 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 335,583 · +1.4%
- By 2050
- 335,325 · +1.4%
- By 2075
- 342,853 · +3.6%
- By 2100
- 340,698 · +3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 10% Korean 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -43.20%
- Current HPI
- 231.873
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.11%
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
||
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2024-11-02 Pending — LPRMLS
- 2024-09-14 Listed $65,000 LPRMLS
Property tax history
+0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $846 · +12.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…