8423 Heartwood Rd · Jessup, MD
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Best Deal in the Park! Very Well Kept Doublewide on Beautiful Corner Lot in Sought After Brentwood Manor! Plenty of Space Inside w/ Big Kitchen & Breakfast Bar, Separate Dining Room, Large Living Room w/ Fireplace. Master Bedroom w/ Superbath, Soaking Tub, Separate Shower, Make-up Table & Big Walkin Closet. Nicely Landscaped Lot w/ Sundeck, Patio & Shed. Easy Access to Rt 32 & 175. Close to Ft Meade!
Key facts
- Recent updates
- Separate dining room
- Big corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property condition listed as very good; Pets allowed with breed and size/weight restrictions; Mobile home make: Colony; dimensions approximately 28' x 60'
- HOA & community: Land lease community (Brentwood Manor); Land lease: $1,075 monthly with 100 years remaining
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking (2 spaces); Total of 2 garage/parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Estimated year built; Above-grade living space
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Replacement double-pane vinyl-clad windows with screens and skylights; Estimated construction details
- Exterior features: Corner lot with landscaping; Deck(s); Patio(s); Porch(es); Secure storage; Shed
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Gas range/oven; Range hood; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate plank; Vinyl; Luxury vinyl tile
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Propane (leased) heating fuel; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Country-style kitchen; Dining area; Crown moldings; Built-ins; Ceiling fans; Traditional floor plan; Walk-in closets; Cathedral ceilings; Soaking tub and separate stall shower; Tub/shower combination; Storm door
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $125k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#259 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: commute C-, schools F, crime D-.
- Howard County Public Schools (suburban): math 34% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #1 of 24 in MD (top 4%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 881 units permitted in Howard County in 2024 (285 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($116k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Howard County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $125k implies a 213% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 50.13%
- DSCR
- 3.23
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 47.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.08×
- Total profit
- $72,860
- Equity at exit
- $18,623
- IRR
- 53.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.25×
- Total profit
- $183,448
- Equity at exit
- $10,799
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 20794
- Home prices YoY
- -34.4%
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,942 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,874/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$618
- Net cashflow
- $1,461
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,547 | -5% $1,504 | +0% $1,461 | +5% $1,418 | +10% $1,375 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,229 | -5% $1,345 | +0% $1,461 | +5% $1,577 | +10% $1,693 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,524 | -0.5pp $1,493 | base $1,461 | +0.5pp $1,429 | +1.0pp $1,396 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8324 Stickley Ct #81 Jessup, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1920 | $3,500 | $1.82 | 11d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 8324 Stickley Ct #81 Jessup, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1920 | $3,500 | $1.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| Mission Jessup, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1052 | $2,420 | $2.30 | 3d | 17 | 1.08mi |
| 8346 Lincoln Dr Jessup, MD | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2112 | $3,200 | $1.52 | 12d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 8938 Oakwood Way Jessup, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $2,295 | $1.54 | 22d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 8305 Ari Ct Jessup, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 918 | $2,100 | $2.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 7500 Hearthside Way Elkridge, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 924 | $2,430 | $2.63 | 2d | 16 | 1.42mi |
| 8911 Oakwood Way Jessup, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1544 | $2,500 | $1.62 | 13d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 7543 Hearthside Way Elkridge, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1780 | $3,195 | $1.79 | 22d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 7549 Hearthside Way Elkridge, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1780 | $3,000 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 7435 Singers Way Elkridge, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1960 | $2,995 | $1.53 | 22d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $124,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $124,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 699-char remark
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2026-06-16$124,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,304
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$1,874
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,824
- − Management
- −$2,824
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $16,528
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,967
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,566/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Howard County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400420
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $108,056
- Composite
- 41.23/100
- National rank
- #3535
- State rank
- #1 of 24 in MD
Livability — Jessup
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #259
- US rank
- #13254
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Howard County · 282,651 people
- City population
- 17,327
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,814
- Household income
- $116,406
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 255.0
Population outlook (Howard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 367,857 people
- By 2030
- 394,054 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 443,509 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 488,124 · +32.7%
- By 2075
- 594,860 · +61.7%
- By 2100
- 648,772 · +76.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 13% Asian 7% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Philippines, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Howard
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+41.8) · D 69.1% · R 27.4% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +19.9pp toward D · 2008: 21.9pp · 2024: 41.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+41.8 2020: D+44.3 2016: D+33.5 2012: D+21.2 2008: D+21.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -148.91%
- Current HPI
- 283.5564
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+190.5% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $124,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2017-07-20 Sold (MLS) $39,900 MRIS
- 2017-07-20 Sold (MLS) $39,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2017-06-10 Pending — MRIS
- 2017-06-06 Listed $39,900 MRIS
- 2017-06-06 Listed $39,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2000-08-29 Sold (MLS) $38,600 MRIS
- 2000-08-14 Delisted — MRIS
- 2000-03-02 Listed $43,000 MRIS
- 1998-05-10 Delisted — MRIS
- 1997-10-28 Listed — MRIS
- 1997-10-14 Delisted — MRIS
- 1997-01-13 Listed — MRIS
- 1996-08-07 Delisted — MRIS
- 1996-07-08 Listed — MRIS
- 1996-07-04 Delisted — MRIS
- 1996-01-05 Listed — MRIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…