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8423 Heartwood Rd
B- Composite 69.87
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

8423 Heartwood Rd · Jessup, MD 20794
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,600 sqft · Manufactured · 3 Days on market
Built 1993

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Best Deal in the Park! Very Well Kept Doublewide on Beautiful Corner Lot in Sought After Brentwood Manor! Plenty of Space Inside w/ Big Kitchen & Breakfast Bar, Separate Dining Room, Large Living Room w/ Fireplace. Master Bedroom w/ Superbath, Soaking Tub, Separate Shower, Make-up Table & Big Walkin Closet. Nicely Landscaped Lot w/ Sundeck, Patio & Shed. Easy Access to Rt 32 & 175. Close to Ft Meade!

Key facts

  • Recent updates
  • Separate dining room
  • Big corner lot

Tags

BIG CORNER LOTRECENT UPDATESBIG KITCHENBREAKFAST BARSEPARATE DINING ROOMLARGE LIVING ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property condition listed as very good; Pets allowed with breed and size/weight restrictions; Mobile home make: Colony; dimensions approximately 28' x 60'
  • HOA & community: Land lease community (Brentwood Manor); Land lease: $1,075 monthly with 100 years remaining

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking (2 spaces); Total of 2 garage/parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Estimated year built; Above-grade living space
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Replacement double-pane vinyl-clad windows with screens and skylights; Estimated construction details
  • Exterior features: Corner lot with landscaping; Deck(s); Patio(s); Porch(es); Secure storage; Shed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Gas range/oven; Range hood; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate plank; Vinyl; Luxury vinyl tile
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Propane (leased) heating fuel; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Country-style kitchen; Dining area; Crown moldings; Built-ins; Ceiling fans; Traditional floor plan; Walk-in closets; Cathedral ceilings; Soaking tub and separate stall shower; Tub/shower combination; Storm door
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $125k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#259 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: commute C-, schools F, crime D-.
  • Howard County Public Schools (suburban): math 34% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #1 of 24 in MD (top 4%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 881 units permitted in Howard County in 2024 (285 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($116k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Howard County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 8 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $125k implies a 213% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $124,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.36%
Cap rate
20.33%
Cash-on-cash
50.13%
DSCR
3.23
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
47.9%
Equity multiple
3.08×
Total profit
$72,860
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
53.5%
Equity multiple
6.25×
Total profit
$183,448
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 20794

Home prices YoY
-34.4%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,942 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax est. 1.5%
$156 /mo · $1,874/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$618
Net cashflow
$1,461

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,093
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 45%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,547 -5% $1,504 +0% $1,461 +5% $1,418 +10% $1,375
Rent -10% $1,229 -5% $1,345 +0% $1,461 +5% $1,577 +10% $1,693
Rate -1.0pp $1,524 -0.5pp $1,493 base $1,461 +0.5pp $1,429 +1.0pp $1,396

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8324 Stickley Ct #81 Jessup, MD 3.0 2.5 1920 $3,500 $1.82 11d 1 0.63mi
8324 Stickley Ct #81 Jessup, MD 3.0 2.5 1920 $3,500 $1.82 44d 1 0.63mi
Mission Jessup, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1052 $2,420 $2.30 3d 17 1.08mi
8346 Lincoln Dr Jessup, MD 4.0 3.5 2112 $3,200 $1.52 12d 1 1.11mi
8938 Oakwood Way Jessup, MD 2.0 2.0 1488 $2,295 $1.54 22d 1 1.38mi
8305 Ari Ct Jessup, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 918 $2,100 $2.29 44d 1 1.41mi
7500 Hearthside Way Elkridge, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 924 $2,430 $2.63 2d 16 1.42mi
8911 Oakwood Way Jessup, MD 2.0 2.5 1544 $2,500 $1.62 13d 1 1.43mi
7543 Hearthside Way Elkridge, MD 3.0 2.5 1780 $3,195 $1.79 22d 1 1.48mi
7549 Hearthside Way Elkridge, MD 3.0 2.5 1780 $3,000 $1.69 24d 1 1.48mi
7435 Singers Way Elkridge, MD 3.0 2.5 1960 $2,995 $1.53 22d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,900 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,900 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    remarks 699-char remark
  4. 2026-06-16
    listed $124,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,304
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$1,874
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,824
− Management
−$2,824
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$16,528
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,967
After-tax cash flow
$13,566/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Howard County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400420
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$108,056
Composite
41.23/100
National rank
#3535
State rank
#1 of 24 in MD

Livability — Jessup

Score
65/100
State rank
#259
US rank
#13254

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C- Cost of living F Crime D- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Howard County · 282,651 people
City population
17,327
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
16,814
Household income
$116,406
Rent vs Own
37.9% rent · 62.1% own
Severe rent burden
255.0

Population outlook (Howard County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
367,857 people
By 2030
394,054 · +7.1%
By 2040
443,509 · +20.6%
By 2050
488,124 · +32.7%
By 2075
594,860 · +61.7%
By 2100
648,772 · +76.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Black 44% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 13% Asian 7% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Philippines, Jamaica
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Howard

2024 margin
Solid D (+41.8) · D 69.1% · R 27.4% · Other 3.5%
2008→2024 swing
+19.9pp toward D · 2008: 21.9pp · 2024: 41.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+41.8 2020: D+44.3 2016: D+33.5 2012: D+21.2 2008: D+21.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -148.91%
Current HPI
283.5564
Rent YoY
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+190.5% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $124,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-07-20 Sold (MLS) $39,900 MRIS
  • 2017-07-20 Sold (MLS) $39,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-06-10 Pending MRIS
  • 2017-06-06 Listed $39,900 MRIS
  • 2017-06-06 Listed $39,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2000-08-29 Sold (MLS) $38,600 MRIS
  • 2000-08-14 Delisted MRIS
  • 2000-03-02 Listed $43,000 MRIS
  • 1998-05-10 Delisted MRIS
  • 1997-10-28 Listed MRIS
  • 1997-10-14 Delisted MRIS
  • 1997-01-13 Listed MRIS
  • 1996-08-07 Delisted MRIS
  • 1996-07-08 Listed MRIS
  • 1996-07-04 Delisted MRIS
  • 1996-01-05 Listed MRIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…