7446 Perseus Sound · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 7/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 78.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.4/30.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
$205,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This is a short sale and requires lender approval letter. Investor Special or Perfect Starter Home in Solana Ridge! Don't miss this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home nestled in the desirable Solana Ridge community! With over [insert square footage] of living space, this property offers incredible potential for anyone looking to put in a little elbow grease and gain instant equity. Featuring an open floor plan, generous bedrooms, and a large backyard perfect for entertaining or relaxing under the Texas sky, this home is a diamond in the rough. Whether you're an investor, DIY enthusiast, or first-time homebuyer ready to make it your own, this is a rare opportunity at a great price. Located ju
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Large backyard
- 5,401 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $205k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-145 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $179k (12.5% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $205k).
- Recommended offer: $179k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Southwest ISD (rural): math 21% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #701 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Sun Valley El (math 21% / reading 29%, grade F, #3,013 of 4,322 statewide, top 70%, 650 students, 80% FRL); Francis R Scobee Middle (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #1,200 of 1,662 statewide, top 73%, 856 students, 73% FRL); Southwest H S (math 17% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,170 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 2,152 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools at 75% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 555 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-4 appreciation (-0.0% local appreciation)).
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 255 days — a 12% lower offer ($180k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 255 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.03%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $296,925
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7446 Draco Leap | 0.07mi | 4/3.5 | 2,675 (0%) | 8mo | $286,000 | $107 | 90 |
| 7359 Lyia | 0.13mi | 4/2.5 | 2,485 (-7%) | 5mo | $150,000 | $60 | 74 |
| 7131 Phoebe Vw | 0.43mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,678 (+0%) | 1mo | $274,000 | $102 | 74 |
| 7534 Omega Vale | 0.17mi | 4/2.5 | 2,485 (-7%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $95 | 73 |
| 7018 Phoebe | 0.53mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,678 (+0%) | 6mo | $282,000 | $105 | 65 |
| 7502 Perseus Sound | 0.03mi | 4/2.5 | 2,304 (-14%) | 8mo | $260,000 | $113 | 64 |
| 7207 Aldebaran Sun | 0.35mi | 4/2.5 | 2,485 (-7%) | 7mo | $280,000 | $113 | 62 |
| 7435 Rigel Chase | 0.20mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,308 (-14%) | 1mo | $237,000 | $103 | 58 |
| 7407 Equinox | 0.24mi | 4/2.5 | 2,316 (-13%) | 6mo | $305,000 | $132 | 57 |
| 7135 Pandora Way | 0.47mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,514 (-6%) | 8mo | $279,000 | $111 | 52 |
| 7110 Phoebe Vw | 0.46mi | 4/2.5 | 2,323 (-13%) | 6mo | $270,000 | $116 | 47 |
| 7027 Aphrodite Mist | 0.53mi | 4/2.5 | 2,316 (-13%) | 8mo | $289,900 | $125 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-21,090
- Equity at exit
- $59,507
- IRR
- -4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-25,878
- Equity at exit
- $71,516
Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78252
- Home prices YoY
- -0.0%
- Rents YoY
- -1.7%
- Active inventory
- 555
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,078 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,075
- Tax from tax record
- −$585 /mo · $7,023/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA
- −$41
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$436
- Net cashflow
- $-145
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-29 | -5% $-87 | +0% $-145 | +5% $-203 | +10% $-261 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-309 | -5% $-227 | +0% $-145 | +5% $-63 | +10% $19 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-42 | -0.5pp $-93 | base $-145 | +0.5pp $-198 | +1.0pp $-252 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,250
- Closing costs
- $6,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7343 Lyia Br San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1955 | $2,095 | $1.07 | 0d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 7334 Blazar Way San Antonio, TX | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2675 | $2,200 | $0.82 | 45d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 7334 Blazar Way San Antonio, TX | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2675 | $2,100 | $0.79 | 0d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 210 Hallie Pass San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2167 | $1,795 | $0.83 | 4d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 119 Hallie Cv San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2421 | $1,725 | $0.71 | 45d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 7123 Hallie Cir San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2430 | $1,850 | $0.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 119 Hallie Pass San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2421 | $1,725 | $0.71 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 7434 Galileo Line San Antonio, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2567 | $1,846 | $0.72 | 14d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 7038 Hallie Spirit San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2056 | $1,700 | $0.83 | 5d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 7038 Hallie Spirit San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2056 | $1,700 | $0.83 | 25d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 7019 Capella Cir San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2320 | $1,950 | $0.84 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 7323 Perseus Brk San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1832 | $1,895 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 6811 Freedom Hls San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2054 | $1,875 | $0.91 | 4d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 8418 Fortuna Vly San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1909 | $1,700 | $0.89 | 18d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 6619 Freedom Hls San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2379 | $1,900 | $0.80 | 19d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 7026 Heathers Way San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1917 | $1,990 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 7006 Heathers Way San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1847 | $1,850 | $1.00 | 19d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 7150 Palomino Bay San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2609 | $2,200 | $0.84 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 6830 Beltran Pass San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1772 | $1,900 | $1.07 | 19d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 6730 Carmona Pass San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1771 | $1,700 | $0.96 | 18d | 1 | 1.19mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $41 · $492/yr
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $205,000 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $205,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $205,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $205,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $205,000 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $205,000 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $205,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $205,000 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $205,000 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $205,000 Back on Market 238 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $205,000 Back on Market 237 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $205,000 Back on Market 236 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $205,000 Back on Market 235 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $205,000 Back on Market 234 DOM
-
2026-03-14status Pending
-
2026-03-12historical Active Option
-
2026-01-06price $205,000
-
2025-10-12status Back on Market
-
2025-10-03historical Active Option
-
2025-09-05price $215,000
-
2025-09-05status Price Change
-
2025-08-20status Pending
-
2025-05-20status Pending SB
-
2025-05-16status Back on Market
-
2025-05-14historical Active Option
-
2025-04-11$220,000 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $7,023 · $585/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,023 · $585/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,936
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,483
- − Property taxes
- −$7,023
- − Insurance
- −$1,025
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,995
- − Management
- −$1,995
- − HOA
- −$492
- − Depreciation
- −$5,964
- Taxable loss
- −$5,041
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,210
- After-tax cash flow
- $-532/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Southwest ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4840950
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,362
- Composite
- 22.22/100
- National rank
- #8153
- State rank
- #701 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Antonio, TX
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,790
- Household income
- $85,518
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 152.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 68% Two or more races 29% White 17% Black 8% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 61% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2% Lithuanian 1% German 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 58% English-only · Spanish 38% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▬ -0.00%
- Current HPI
- 183.6413
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.67%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-6.8% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-14 Pending — LERA
- 2026-03-12 Contingent — LERA
- 2026-01-06 Price Changed $205,000 LERA
- 2025-10-12 Relisted — LERA
- 2025-10-03 Contingent — LERA
- 2025-09-05 Price Changed $215,000 LERA
- 2025-09-05 Relisted — LERA
- 2025-08-20 Pending — LERA
- 2025-05-20 Pending — LERA
- 2025-05-16 Relisted — LERA
- 2025-05-14 Contingent — LERA
- 2025-04-11 Listed $220,000 LERA
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $7,023 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…