🌊 Lakefront
3545 NE 166th St #1004 · North Miami Beach, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.3/30.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$289,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful 2 bed / 2 bath penthouse in the gated community of Eastern Shores. Bright and spacious layout with modern finishes, open living area, and private balcony. Primary suite with ensuite bathroom. Assigned covered parking + guest parking. Well-maintained building with pool. Prime location just minutes from Sunny Isles Beach, Aventura Mall, and Oleta River State Park. Can rent the available dock.
Key facts
- Gated neighborhood
- Remodeled
- $832 HOA
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed (size limit; pets over 20 lbs permitted)
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association amenities: fitness center, pool, trash service, elevators; Association fee covers hot water, insurance, parking, pest control, sewer, trash, water
Exterior
- Parking: One covered parking space; 1-car garage
- Security: Secured elevator; Key card entry; Intercom
- Utilities: Central cooling
- Home design: Attached property; 10-story building; Entry on 10th floor
- Construction: Block construction; Resale property
- Exterior features: Barbecue area; Courtyard; Bayfront location; Intracoastal access; Association pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Bedroom located on the main level
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air
- Interior features: First-floor entry; Bedroom on main level; Intercom
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $289k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-268 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $242k (16.4% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $289k).
- Recommended offer: $242k (16.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 5.2% in North Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#71 in FL, #1,177 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1870 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,916/mo this rent would consume 70% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 3106% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($285k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 15 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $190k; list at $289k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 21% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.36%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.53% appreciation · 0.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-25,323
- Equity at exit
- $91,611
- IRR
- -2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-25,394
- Equity at exit
- $116,465
Cash invested: $80,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33160
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 1870
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,916 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,516
- Tax from tax record
- −$467 /mo · $5,598/yr
- Insurance
- −$120
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$832
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$822
- Net cashflow
- $-268
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,250
- Closing costs
- $8,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15701 Collins Ave Sunny Isles Beach, FL | 2.0–4.0 | 2.5–5.5 | 2325 | $18,000 | $7.74 | 2d | 9 | 1.17mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $832 · $9,984/yr
- Likely covers
- poolsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $289,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $289,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $289,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $289,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $289,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $289,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $289,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $289,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $289,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $289,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $289,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $289,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31pricedays on market $289,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-04-02$299,000 Active
-
2026-03-31historical
-
2025-12-18$299,000 Active
-
2025-11-30historical
-
2025-09-14status Active
-
2025-09-14price $325,000
-
2025-09-12status Pending
-
2025-04-11price $329,000
-
2025-03-15$345,000 Active
-
2025-01-21historical $2,400
-
2025-01-21historical
-
2025-01-18price $2,400
-
2025-01-17price $345,000
-
2024-10-03price $355,000
-
2024-10-02price $359,000
-
2024-09-10price $360,000
-
2024-08-31$2,600
-
2024-07-03historical $2,800
-
2024-06-20price $364,500
-
2024-05-11price $365,000
-
2024-03-27price $379,000
-
2024-03-13$2,800
-
2024-02-05price $380,000
-
2024-02-05price $38,000
-
2024-01-05price $381,000
-
2023-12-14price $382,000
-
2023-10-25price $384,000
-
2023-09-13price $385,000
-
2023-09-07price $387,000
-
2023-08-18$389,000 Active
-
2019-11-15soldstatus $190,000 Closed
-
2019-11-08status Pending
-
2019-10-11historical Active Under Contract
-
2019-10-04status Backup Contract
-
2019-09-13status Active
-
2019-08-26historical
-
2019-07-22$198,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,598 · $467/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,598 · $467/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $46,988
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,188
- − Property taxes
- −$5,598
- − Insurance
- −$6,564
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,759
- − Management
- −$3,759
- − HOA
- −$9,984
- − Depreciation
- −$8,407
- Taxable loss
- −$7,271
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,745
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,467/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Miami Beach
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #71
- US rank
- #1177
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Miami Beach, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 90,324
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,718
- Household income
- $67,040
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3106.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% White 44% Two or more races 27% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 8% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 4%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 8% Hispanic 3% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 61% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 29% English-only · Spanish 45% Russian/Polish/Slavic 12% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.53%
- Current HPI
- 284.9293
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.94%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+831.5% since first listed55 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Listed $299,000 MARMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-12-18 Listed $299,000 MARMLS
- 2025-11-30 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-09-14 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2025-09-14 Price Changed $325,000 MARMLS
- 2025-09-12 Pending — MARMLS
- 2025-04-11 Price Changed $329,000 MARMLS
- 2025-03-15 Listed $345,000 MARMLS
- 2025-01-21 Rental Removed $2,400 MARMLS
- 2025-01-21 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-01-18 Price Changed $2,400 MARMLS
- 2025-01-17 Price Changed $345,000 MARMLS
- 2024-10-03 Price Changed $355,000 MARMLS
- 2024-10-02 Price Changed $359,000 MARMLS
- 2024-09-10 Price Changed $360,000 MARMLS
- 2024-08-31 Listed for Rent $2,600 MARMLS
- 2024-07-03 Rental Removed $2,800 MARMLS
- 2024-06-20 Price Changed $364,500 MARMLS
- 2024-05-11 Price Changed $365,000 MARMLS
- 2024-03-27 Price Changed $379,000 MARMLS
- 2024-03-13 Listed for Rent $2,800 MARMLS
- 2024-02-05 Price Changed $380,000 MARMLS
- 2024-02-05 Price Changed $38,000 MARMLS
- 2024-01-05 Price Changed $381,000 MARMLS
- 2023-12-14 Price Changed $382,000 MARMLS
- 2023-10-25 Price Changed $384,000 MARMLS
- 2023-09-13 Price Changed $385,000 MARMLS
- 2023-09-07 Price Changed $387,000 MARMLS
- 2023-08-18 Listed $389,000 MARMLS
- 2019-11-15 Sold (MLS) $190,000 MARMLS
- 2019-11-08 Pending — MARMLS
- 2019-10-11 Contingent — MARMLS
- 2019-10-04 Pending — MARMLS
- 2019-09-13 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2019-08-26 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2019-07-22 Listed $198,000 MARMLS
- 2019-07-17 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2019-07-17 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2019-06-10 Pending — MARMLS
- 2019-03-30 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2019-03-04 Pending — MARMLS
- 2019-02-19 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2019-02-09 Pending — MARMLS
- 2019-02-05 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2019-01-28 Pending — MARMLS
- 2019-01-18 Listed $198,000 MARMLS
- 2019-01-03 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2018-12-04 Price Changed $199,999 MARMLS
- 2018-10-08 Price Changed $215,000 MARMLS
- 2018-09-04 Price Changed $220,000 MARMLS
- 2018-08-22 Listed $230,000 MARMLS
- 2009-01-12 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2009-01-06 Sold (MLS) $110,000 MARMLS
- 1973-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $32,100 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $5,598 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…