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18 Park Dr
D+ Composite 49.2
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +8.9/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.5/30.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.6/10.0

$139,900

18 Park Dr · South Glens Falls, NY 12803
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 851 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 28 Days on market
Built 1958 0.38 ac lot Est $253k · 45% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome To 18 Park Dr! This Parcel Features: - Unique 0.38 Acre Corner Lot - Public Water - Detached Garage - First Floor Bedroom(s) Property Needs Rehab. Cash. As Is. Assignment Of Contract.

Key facts

  • Public water
  • Detached garage
  • 0.38 acre lot

Tags

UNIQUE 0.38 ACRE CORNER LOTPUBLIC WATERDETACHED GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Driveway; Two total parking spaces (two-car garage)
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Detached garage structure on the property

Interior

  • Kitchen: First-floor kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Three first-floor bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first floor
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Full basement; One fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-177 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $109k (22.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (21.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $109k (22.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 2.3% in South Glens Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#331 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • South Glens Falls Central School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #307 of 590 in NY (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: South Glens Falls Senior High School (math 92% / reading 91%, grade A+, #197 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 908 students, 36% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 92% at this address vs 54% district-wide (+38 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the South Glens Falls Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,132 units permitted in Saratoga County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (7.9% local appreciation)).
  • Saratoga County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $108,690 (22.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
4.78%
Cash-on-cash
-5.41%
DSCR
0.76
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$252,747
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1 Ryder Ave 0.03mi 3/1.0 (+1) 851 (0%) 11mo $253,000 $297 84
26 East Rd 0.07mi 3/2.0 (+1) 900 (+6%) 5mo $369,000 $410 74
34 E State St 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 860 (+1%) 8mo $187,000 $217 60
35 Feeder Dam Rd 0.32mi 3/2.0 (+1) 900 (+6%) 11mo $339,900 $378 57
11 E Tremont St 0.54mi 2/1.5 936 (+10%) 14mo $249,900 $267 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.89% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.7%
Equity multiple
2.16×
Total profit
$45,417
Equity at exit
$105,193
10-year hold
IRR
15.3%
Equity multiple
4.58×
Total profit
$140,230
Equity at exit
$207,774

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12803

Home prices YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,100 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$254 /mo · $3,045/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$231
Net cashflow
$-177

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,324
Max offer price $108,690
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-97 -5% $-137 +0% $-177 +5% $-216 +10% $-256
Rent -10% $-264 -5% $-220 +0% $-177 +5% $-133 +10% $-90
Rate -1.0pp $-106 -0.5pp $-141 base $-177 +0.5pp $-213 +1.0pp $-250

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15 Staple St Glens Falls, NY 1.0 1.0 897 $1,100 $1.23 24d 1 1.14mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 28 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    price $139,900 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,900 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,900 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,900 Active 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $149,900 Active 23 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $149,900 Active 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,900 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active 17 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,900 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 10 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 9 DOM
  16. 2026-05-21
    listed $149,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,045 · $254/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,045 · $254/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,200
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$3,045
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,056
− Management
−$1,056
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable loss
−$4,563
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,095
After-tax cash flow
$-1,025/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Glens Falls Central School District
NCES district ID
3627240
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▲ 12.00%
Median HH income
$59,015
Composite
46.93/100
National rank
#2363
State rank
#307 of 590 in NY

Livability — South Glens Falls

Score
73/100
State rank
#331
US rank
#5457

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime B+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
8,915
Population (ZIP)
8,915

Population outlook (Saratoga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
238,889 people
By 2030
243,681 · +2.0%
By 2040
249,118 · +4.3%
By 2050
248,638 · +4.1%
By 2075
241,675 · +1.2%
By 2100
213,150 · -10.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · South Korea
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Saratoga

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 49.1%
2008→2024 swing
-1.6pp toward R · 2008: 3.4pp · 2024: 1.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.8 2020: D+5.4 2016: R+4.4 2012: D+2.1 2008: D+3.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.89%
Current HPI
349.2844
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $149,900 Global MLS

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,045 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…