18 Park Dr · South Glens Falls, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +8.9/10.0
- Cash flow +7.5/30.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.6/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome To 18 Park Dr! This Parcel Features: - Unique 0.38 Acre Corner Lot - Public Water - Detached Garage - First Floor Bedroom(s) Property Needs Rehab. Cash. As Is. Assignment Of Contract.
Key facts
- Public water
- Detached garage
- 0.38 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Driveway; Two total parking spaces (two-car garage)
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Detached garage structure on the property
Interior
- Kitchen: First-floor kitchen
- Bedrooms: Three first-floor bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Full basement; One fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-177 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $109k (22.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (21.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $109k (22.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 2.3% in South Glens Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#331 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- South Glens Falls Central School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #307 of 590 in NY (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: South Glens Falls Senior High School (math 92% / reading 91%, grade A+, #197 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 908 students, 36% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 92% at this address vs 54% district-wide (+38 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the South Glens Falls Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,132 units permitted in Saratoga County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (7.9% local appreciation)).
- Saratoga County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.41%
- DSCR
- 0.76
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $252,747
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Ryder Ave | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 851 (0%) | 11mo | $253,000 | $297 | 84 |
| 26 East Rd | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 900 (+6%) | 5mo | $369,000 | $410 | 74 |
| 34 E State St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 860 (+1%) | 8mo | $187,000 | $217 | 60 |
| 35 Feeder Dam Rd | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 900 (+6%) | 11mo | $339,900 | $378 | 57 |
| 11 E Tremont St | 0.54mi | 2/1.5 | 936 (+10%) | 14mo | $249,900 | $267 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.89% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.16×
- Total profit
- $45,417
- Equity at exit
- $105,193
- IRR
- 15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.58×
- Total profit
- $140,230
- Equity at exit
- $207,774
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12803
- Home prices YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 32
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,100 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$254 /mo · $3,045/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $-177
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-97 | -5% $-137 | +0% $-177 | +5% $-216 | +10% $-256 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-264 | -5% $-220 | +0% $-177 | +5% $-133 | +10% $-90 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-106 | -0.5pp $-141 | base $-177 | +0.5pp $-213 | +1.0pp $-250 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Staple St Glens Falls, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $1,100 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $139,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $149,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $149,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-21$149,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,045 · $254/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,045 · $254/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$3,045
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,056
- − Management
- −$1,056
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable loss
- −$4,563
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,095
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,025/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Glens Falls Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3627240
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▲ 12.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,015
- Composite
- 46.93/100
- National rank
- #2363
- State rank
- #307 of 590 in NY
Livability — South Glens Falls
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #331
- US rank
- #5457
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 8,915
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,915
Population outlook (Saratoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 238,889 people
- By 2030
- 243,681 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 249,118 · +4.3%
- By 2050
- 248,638 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 241,675 · +1.2%
- By 2100
- 213,150 · -10.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · South Korea
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Saratoga
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 49.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.6pp toward R · 2008: 3.4pp · 2024: 1.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.8 2020: D+5.4 2016: R+4.4 2012: D+2.1 2008: D+3.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.89%
- Current HPI
- 349.2844
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $149,900 Global MLS
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,045 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…