203 N Drumm St · Brenham, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$152,287
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This one story beauty is a must see! It's large backyard has plenty of space for a pool and room to play or entertain. This house includes new carpet, new roof, new water heater, new furnace and air conditioner. The kitchen overlooks the large family room. Don't miss out on this fabulous home that has been well maintained!
Key facts
- Attached garage
- Shade trees
- Walkable to schools
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage (2 covered spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level / 1 story
- Exterior features: Lot on 0.29-acre parcel; Public water and sewer available
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Electric cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $152k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $150 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $152k).
- Recommended offer: $148k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 2.7% in Brenham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#136 in TX, #3,978 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, amenities A; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, crime F.
- Brenham ISD (town): math 50% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #263 of 826 in TX (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 514 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 111 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.23%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $243,486
- List price
- $152,287
- Delta
- -37.46%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1804 Westbrooke Cv | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,642 (-5%) | 6mo | $303,000 | $185 | 82 |
| 215 Edward Ln | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,492 (-14%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $171 | 74 |
| 2055 Winepress Rd | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,657 (-4%) | 1mo | $322,900 | $195 | 70 |
| 2052 Winepress Rd | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,657 (-4%) | 6mo | $333,800 | $201 | 64 |
| 2002 Vineyard Pass | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,879 (+8%) | 1mo | $339,000 | $180 | 64 |
| 1009 Robinhood | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,618 (-7%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $170 | 62 |
| 1249 Wilkins Valley St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (-3%) | 6mo | $267,745 | $159 | 59 |
| 2058 Winepress Rd | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,550 (-11%) | 2mo | $314,900 | $203 | 58 |
| 1265 Wilkins Valley St | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,680 (-3%) | 3mo | $258,545 | $154 | 56 |
| 1006 Clearspring Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,480 (-15%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $118 | 44 |
| 1260 Wilkins Valley St | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,572 (-9%) | 5mo | $247,595 | $158 | 43 |
| 105 Lockett St | 0.71mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,520 (-12%) | 4mo | $219,000 | $144 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-14,969
- Equity at exit
- $22,706
- IRR
- -0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $-166
- Equity at exit
- $13,167
Cash invested: $42,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77833
- Active inventory
- 514
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,742 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$799
- Tax from tax record
- −$364 /mo · $4,365/yr
- Insurance
- −$63
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$366
- Net cashflow
- $150
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,072
- Closing costs
- $4,569
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 226 N Dixie St Brenham, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $2,100 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 213 Munz St Brenham, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $1,500 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 204 Cornish Dr Brenham, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1242 | $1,450 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1008 Oakridge St Brenham, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1153 | $1,500 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1006 Robinhood Rd Brenham, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1754 | $1,700 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1003 Oakridge St Brenham, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $1,750 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 812 Burleson St Brenham, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1553 | $1,525 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 705 S Jackson St Brenham, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,312 | $1.25 | 44d | 2 | 1.15mi |
| 707 Davy St Brenham, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1315 | $1,955 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 101 W Second St Brenham, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1763 | $1,700 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $152,287 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $152,287 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $152,287 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $152,287 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $152,287 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $152,287 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $152,287 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $152,287 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09price $152,287 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,302 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $160,302 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $160,302 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $160,302 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,302 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $160,302 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-07$160,302 Active 348-char remark
-
2014-06-26soldstatus Sold 325-char remark
Show marketing remark (325 chars)
This one story beauty is a must see! It's large backyard has plenty of space for a pool and room to play or entertain. This house includes new carpet, new roof, new water heater, new furnace and air conditioner. The kitchen overlooks the large family room. Don't miss out on this fabulous home that has been well maintained!
-
2014-06-26soldstatus
Show marketing remark (325 chars)
This one story beauty is a must see! It's large backyard has plenty of space for a pool and room to play or entertain. This house includes new carpet, new roof, new water heater, new furnace and air conditioner. The kitchen overlooks the large family room. Don't miss out on this fabulous home that has been well maintained!
-
2014-05-23status Pending, Continue to Show 325-char remark
Show marketing remark (325 chars)
This one story beauty is a must see! It's large backyard has plenty of space for a pool and room to play or entertain. This house includes new carpet, new roof, new water heater, new furnace and air conditioner. The kitchen overlooks the large family room. Don't miss out on this fabulous home that has been well maintained!
-
2014-05-13status Option Pending 325-char remark
Show marketing remark (325 chars)
This one story beauty is a must see! It's large backyard has plenty of space for a pool and room to play or entertain. This house includes new carpet, new roof, new water heater, new furnace and air conditioner. The kitchen overlooks the large family room. Don't miss out on this fabulous home that has been well maintained!
-
2014-02-14$149,200 Active 325-char remark
Show marketing remark (325 chars)
This one story beauty is a must see! It's large backyard has plenty of space for a pool and room to play or entertain. This house includes new carpet, new roof, new water heater, new furnace and air conditioner. The kitchen overlooks the large family room. Don't miss out on this fabulous home that has been well maintained!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,365 · $364/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,365 · $364/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,904
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,530
- − Property taxes
- −$4,365
- − Insurance
- −$761
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,672
- − Management
- −$1,672
- − Depreciation
- −$4,430
- Taxable loss
- −$528
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$127
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,931/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brenham ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4811280
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,090
- Composite
- 38.51/100
- National rank
- #4177
- State rank
- #263 of 826 in TX
Livability — Brenham
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #136
- US rank
- #3978
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brenham, TX
- County
- Washington County · 29,498 people
- City population
- 29,498
- Metro
- Brenham, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,498
- Household income
- $73,388
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 614.0
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,557 people
- By 2030
- 38,789 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 41,305 · +10.0%
- By 2050
- 43,687 · +16.3%
- By 2075
- 50,242 · +33.8%
- By 2100
- 53,235 · +41.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 20% Black 16% Two or more races 12% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 12% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.7) · D 22.3% · R 77.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.0pp toward R · 2008: -42.7pp · 2024: -54.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.7 2020: R+49.9 2016: R+51.3 2012: R+52.0 2008: R+42.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -107.24%
- Current HPI
- 192.9078
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Brenham, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+2.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Price Changed $152,287 BCSRMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $160,302 BCSRMLS
- 2014-06-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-06-26 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2014-05-23 Pending — HARMLS
- 2014-05-13 Pending — HARMLS
- 2014-02-14 Listed $149,200 HARMLS
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $4,365 · +11.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…