Ashford-A (Handicap Adaptable) Plan · Carmel, IN 46032

$153,000

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 950 sqft · Townhouse · 198 Days on market

Fair condition

---

Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Cash flow +6.9/30.0
• Schools +6.8/10.0
• Livability +4.2/5.0
• Rent growth +4.1/5.0
• Condition / age +2.0/5.0
• 1% rule +1.9/10.0
• DSCR +1.2/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

This home features a handicap-adaptable plan *

Key facts

• Parking
• Listed 197 days

🏗️ New construction. The $153,000 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $229,344.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $153k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-342 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $153k).
• Recommended offer: $135k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 2.8% in Carmel — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in IN, #726 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute F.
• Carmel Clay Schools (urban): math 68% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #1 of 301 in IN (top 0%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Carmel Middle School (math 46% / reading 61%, grade C+, #32 of 330 statewide, top 10%, 1,064 students, 20% FRL); Carmel High School (math 77% / reading 90%, grade A, #3 of 369 statewide, top 1%, 5,192 students, 13% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 455 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,661 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (1,528 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent is only 14% of the median local income ($132k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Hamilton County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 198 days — a 12% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $134,640 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 198 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.69% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.51%
• Cash-on-cash: -6.38%
• DSCR: 0.72
• GRM: 12.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $229,344
• List price: $153,000
• Delta: -33.29%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
11750 Glenbrook Ct Unit 103A	0.39mi	2/2.0 (+1)	1,072 (+13%)	1mo	$238,500	$222	50
11760 Glenbrook Ct #205	0.38mi	2/2.0 (+1)	1,072 (+13%)	3mo	$210,000	$196	49
12517 Timber Creek Dr Unit 4	0.48mi	2/2.0 (+1)	1,070 (+13%)	0mo	$265,000	$248	47
12519 Timber Creek Dr #6	0.47mi	2/2.0 (+1)	1,070 (+13%)	2mo	$200,000	$187	47
12555 Timber Creek Dr Unit 8	0.49mi	2/2.0 (+1)	1,071 (+13%)	1mo	$218,000	$204	46
12517 Timber Creek Dr #2	0.48mi	2/2.0 (+1)	1,070 (+13%)	2mo	$255,000	$238	46
12519 Timber Creek Dr Unit 10	0.47mi	2/2.0 (+1)	1,070 (+13%)	3mo	$217,000	$203	45
12517 Timber Creek Dr Unit 11	0.48mi	2/2.0 (+1)	1,070 (+13%)	3mo	$272,500	$255	45
12559 Timber Creek Dr #5	0.50mi	2/2.0 (+1)	1,071 (+13%)	2mo	$234,000	$218	45
947 Wickham Ct #208	0.51mi	2/2.0 (+1)	1,072 (+13%)	3mo	$254,000	$237	44
946 Lenox Ln #104	0.54mi	2/2.0 (+1)	1,072 (+13%)	4mo	$238,000	$222	41
12598 Tennyson Ln #101	0.73mi	2/2.0 (+1)	1,083 (+14%)	0mo	$225,000	$208	33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.47% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -23.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.17×
• Total profit: $-53,204
• Equity at exit: $34,196

10-year hold

• IRR: -11.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.23×
• Total profit: $-49,178
• Equity at exit: $19,829

Cash invested: $64,216 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Indiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

Methodology + full state rankings →

Seller's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

• For sale now: 7 active · 8 under contract
• Months of supply: 2.0 mo (50%/mo absorbed)
• Median asking: $230,000 ($215/sqft)
• Median days on market: 25 d
• This list price: lowest-priced of the active set
• ARV vs active asking: +12.5% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 46032

• Rents YoY: 6.5%
• Active inventory: 455
• Price-to-rent: 8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,574 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,203
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$287 /mo · $3,440/yr
• Insurance: −$96
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$331
• Net cashflow: $-342

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,006

Max offer price $179,927

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-183	-5% $-262	+0% $-342	+5% $-421	+10% $-500
Rent	-10% $-466	-5% $-404	+0% $-342	+5% $-279	+10% $-217
Rate	-1.0pp $-226	-0.5pp $-283	base $-342	+0.5pp $-401	+1.0pp $-461

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $57,336
• Closing costs: $6,880
• Club membership (one-time): —
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
300 Providence Blvd Carmel, IN	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.5	1014	$1,358	$1.34	9d	31	0.33mi
12415 N Pennsylvania St Carmel, IN	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	939	$1,485	$1.58	9d	19	0.41mi
12484 Breaklines St Carmel, IN	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1026	$1,512	$1.47	9d	17	0.45mi
947 Wickham Ct #206 Carmel, IN	2.0	2.0	1072	$1,650	$1.54	52d	1	0.49mi
760 Walkabout Cir E Carmel, IN	3.0	2.0	735	$1,728	$2.35	9d	24	0.65mi
675 Beacon St Carmel, IN	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.5	1322	$1,595	$1.21	9d	17	0.70mi
1111 W Main St Carmel, IN	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	999	$1,375	$1.38	9d	15	0.73mi
35 Rosewalk Cir Carmel, IN	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	715	$1,381	$1.93	9d	7	0.76mi
833 W Main St Carmel, IN	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	1304	$1,685	$1.29	56d	23	0.80mi
833 W Main St #204 Carmel, IN	1.0	1.0	910	$1,685	$1.85	9d	1	0.80mi
833 W Main St #310 Carmel, IN	1.0	1.0	910	$1,735	$1.91	9d	1	0.80mi
833 W Main St Apt 409 Carmel, IN	1.0	1.0	910	$1,785	$1.96	9d	1	0.80mi
833 W Main St #404 Carmel, IN	1.0	1.0	910	$1,785	$1.96	51d	1	0.80mi
833 W Main St Apt 410 Carmel, IN	1.0	1.0	910	$1,785	$1.96	41d	1	0.80mi
770 3rd Ave SW Carmel, IN	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.5	1452	$1,680	$1.16	9d	14	0.83mi
301 American Way N Carmel, IN	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1167	$1,650	$1.41	31d	1	0.87mi
13111 Old Meridian St Carmel, IN	3.0	1.0–2.0	1103	$2,097	$1.90	9d	32	0.87mi
881 3rd Ave SW Carmel, IN	2.0	1.0–2.5	1010	$1,814	$1.80	9d	6	0.91mi
525 End DR Carmel, IN	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	941	$1,638	$1.74	9d	7	0.92mi
400 Industrial Dr Carmel, IN	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.5	1175	$1,915	$1.63	9d	54	0.98mi
880 Monon Green Blvd Carmel, IN	3.0	1.0–2.0	1044	$2,028	$1.94	93d	5	1.00mi
750 Veterans Way Carmel, IN	1.0–3.0	1.0–3.0	1107	$1,634	$1.48	9d	15	1.05mi
750 Veterans Way Carmel, IN	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.5	1144	$1,800	$1.57	24d	1	1.05mi
530 W Main St Carmel, IN	2.0	1.0–1.5	875	$1,412	$1.61	9d	1	1.09mi
591 Monon Blvd Carmel, IN	1.0	1.0	481	$1,884	$3.91	9d	9	1.09mi
1225 Veterans Way Carmel, IN	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	881	$1,574	$1.79	9d	19	1.10mi
720 S Rangeline Rd Carmel, IN	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	1090	$1,570	$1.44	25d	1	1.12mi
60 Knoll Ct Carmel, IN	3.0	1.0–1.5	975	$1,406	$1.44	9d	27	1.14mi
13415 Highpointe Blvd Carmel, IN	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.5	892	$1,451	$1.63	9d	21	1.15mi
408 W Main St #408 Carmel, IN	1.0	1.0	910	$1,785	$1.96	56d	1	1.16mi
111 W Main St Carmel, IN	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	1127	$1,449	$1.29	9d	7	1.27mi
231 Lark Dr #3 Carmel, IN	2.0	1.0	925	$1,195	$1.29	34d	1	1.28mi
231 Lark Dr #3 Carmel, IN	2.0	1.0	925	$1,195	$1.29	51d	1	1.28mi
110 W Main St Carmel, IN	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	967	$1,675	$1.73	9d	7	1.29mi
1685 E 116th St Carmel, IN	2.0	1.0–2.0	878	$1,852	$2.11	9d	18	1.33mi
11063 Cornell Ave Indianapolis, IN	2.0	1.0	1005	$1,750	$1.74	23d	1	1.35mi
11325 Spring Mill Rd Carmel, IN	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1043	$1,599	$1.53	9d	24	1.42mi
110 Bryn Mawr Ln Unit 110-05 Carmel, IN	1.0	1.0	741	$1,349	$1.82	26d	1	1.45mi
110 Bryn Mawr Ln Unit 221-03 Carmel, IN	2.0	1.5	876	$1,499	$1.71	69d	1	1.45mi
110 Bryn Mawr Ln Unit 221-08 Carmel, IN	2.0	1.5	876	$1,499	$1.71	9d	1	1.45mi

Listing history 50 events

1. 2026-08-08
   days on market $153,000 Active 198 DOM
2. 2026-08-07
   days on market $153,000 Active 197 DOM
3. 2026-08-06
   days on market $153,000 Active 196 DOM
4. 2026-08-05
   days on market $153,000 Active 195 DOM
5. 2026-08-04
   days on market $153,000 Active 194 DOM
6. 2026-08-03
   days on market $153,000 Active 193 DOM
7. 2026-07-31
   days on market $153,000 Active 190 DOM
8. 2026-07-30
   days on market $153,000 Active 189 DOM
9. 2026-07-30
   days on market $153,000 Active 188 DOM
10. 2026-07-28
    days on market $153,000 Active 187 DOM
11. 2026-07-26
    days on market $153,000 Active 185 DOM
12. 2026-07-24
    days on market $153,000 Active 183 DOM
13. 2026-07-23
    days on market $153,000 Active 182 DOM
14. 2026-07-22
    days on market $153,000 Active 181 DOM
15. 2026-07-21
    days on market $153,000 Active 180 DOM
16. 2026-07-20
    days on market $153,000 Active 179 DOM
17. 2026-07-18
    days on market $153,000 Active 177 DOM
18. 2026-07-18
    days on market $153,000 Active 176 DOM
19. 2026-07-16
    days on market $153,000 Active 175 DOM
20. 2026-07-15
    days on market $153,000 Active 174 DOM
21. 2026-07-14
    days on market $153,000 Active 173 DOM
22. 2026-07-13
    days on market $153,000 Active 172 DOM
23. 2026-07-13
    days on market $153,000 Active 171 DOM
24. 2026-07-11
    days on market $153,000 Active 170 DOM
25. 2026-07-10
    days on market $153,000 Active 169 DOM
26. 2026-07-09
    days on market $153,000 Active 168 DOM
27. 2026-07-07
    days on market $153,000 Active 166 DOM
28. 2026-07-06
    days on market $153,000 Active 165 DOM
29. 2026-07-05
    days on market $153,000 Active 164 DOM
30. 2026-07-03
    days on market $153,000 Active 162 DOM
31. 2026-07-02
    days on market $153,000 Active 161 DOM
32. 2026-07-01
    days on market $153,000 Active 160 DOM
33. 2026-06-30
    days on market $153,000 Active 159 DOM
34. 2026-06-29
    days on market $153,000 Active 158 DOM
35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $153,000 Active 157 DOM
36. 2026-06-27
    days on market $153,000 Active 156 DOM
37. 2026-06-26
    days on market $153,000 Active 155 DOM
38. 2026-06-24
    days on market $153,000 Active 153 DOM
39. 2026-06-22
    days on market $153,000 Active 151 DOM
40. 2026-06-21
    days on market $153,000 Active 150 DOM
41. 2026-06-18
    days on market $153,000 Active 147 DOM
42. 2026-06-17
    days on market $153,000 Active 146 DOM
43. 2026-06-16
    days on market $153,000 Active 145 DOM
44. 2026-06-15
    days on market $153,000 Active 144 DOM
45. 2026-06-13
    days on market $153,000 Active 142 DOM
46. 2026-06-13
    days on market $153,000 Active 141 DOM
47. 2026-06-09
    days on market $153,000 Active 138 DOM
48. 2026-06-08
    days on market $153,000 Active 137 DOM
49. 2026-06-07
    days on market $153,000 Active 136 DOM
50. 2026-06-05
    days on market $153,000 Active 133 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,888
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,847
• − Property taxes: −$3,440
• − Insurance: −$1,147
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,511
• − Management: −$1,511
• − Depreciation: −$6,672
• Taxable loss: −$8,240
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,978
• After-tax cash flow: $-2,121/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Fair 40/100 Moderate rehab Est. rehab $23,750–$42,750 screening

This handicap-adaptable condo requires significant updates to its interior spaces, including painting, flooring, and kitchen/bathroom renovations, to improve its condition and value.

Repairs flagged

• Major Kitchen — No photos of the kitchen
• Major Bathroom — No photos of the bathroom
• Major Flooring — No photos of the flooring
• Major Interior walls/paint — No photos of the interior walls/paint

Value-add opportunities

• Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance and value ↑
• Resale Replace flooring — New flooring can improve the home's appeal and value ↑
• Resale Update kitchen and bathroom — Modernizing these spaces can significantly increase the home's value ↑

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

C Composite school gradezoned avg 68/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Carmel Elementary School B+ IN #49/994 Nat'l #4,204/41,679 Middle Carmel Middle School C+ IN #32/330 Nat'l #2,785/14,009 High Carmel High School A IN #3/369 Nat'l #817/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Carmel Clay Schools
• NCES district ID: 1801200
• Math proficiency: 68% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 70% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $102,347
• Composite: 63.54/100
• National rank: #608
• State rank: #1 of 301 in IN

A Composite livability gradescore 84/100

Livability — Carmel

• Score: 84/100
• State rank: #7
• US rank: #726

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Carmel, IN
• County: Hamilton County · 381,938 people
• City population: 99,910
• Metro: Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
• Population (ZIP): 51,515
• Household income: $132,085
• Rent vs Own: 33.5% rent · 66.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 12% of renters

---

Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 381,938 people
• By 2030: 417,496 · +9.3%
• By 2040: 486,684 · +27.4%
• By 2050: 549,805 · +44.0%
• By 2075: 687,078 · +79.9%
• By 2100: 754,495 · +97.5%

---

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (77%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 77% Asian 10% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 13% · Canada, China, South Korea
• Languages at home: 85% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 3% Chinese 2%

---

Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+6.1) · D 46.0% · R 52.1% · Other 1.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: +16.2pp toward D · 2008: -22.2pp · 2024: -6.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+6.1 2020: R+6.8 2016: R+19.6 2012: R+34.3 2008: R+22.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -248.06%
• Current HPI: 221.9087
• Rent YoY: ▲ 6.47%
• Metro: Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.90%
• F500 in state: 18

---

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$37B
▸Healthcare	1	$177B
▸Pharmaceuticals	1	$45B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$18B
▸Agriculture	1	$17B
▸Packaging	1	$12B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-01-22 Listed $153,000 Zillow