714 Stewartson Rd · Templeton, PA
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Appreciation +3.6/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Near the Mahoning Creek, navigable down to the Allegheny, this home has Three Bedrooms, One Bath. This property just an hour from Pittsburgh is situated in a rural setting providing ample opportunities for hunting, fishing, boating, biking and relaxing by the bonfire. Detached 2-Car Garage.
Key facts
- Rural setting
- 0.24 acre lot
- Garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $117 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,629 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Armstrong SD (rural): math 38% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #233 of 539 in PA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Armstrong County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.8%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Armstrong County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.14%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.78% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-9,269
- Equity at exit
- $17,474
- IRR
- 1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $2,744
- Equity at exit
- $11,381
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16259
- Home prices YoY
- -2.0%
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,263 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$192 /mo · $2,308/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $117
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $179 | -5% $148 | +0% $117 | +5% $85 | +10% $54 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $17 | -5% $67 | +0% $117 | +5% $166 | +10% $216 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $172 | -0.5pp $145 | base $117 | +0.5pp $88 | +1.0pp $59 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-17status Pending
-
2026-03-18price $109,900
-
2026-01-29$119,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,308 · $192/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,308 · $192/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,152
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$2,308
- − Insurance
- −$1,347
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,212
- − Management
- −$1,212
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable loss
- −$281
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$67
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,466/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Armstrong SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202590
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,333
- Composite
- 40.41/100
- National rank
- #3729
- State rank
- #233 of 539 in PA
Livability — Templeton
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1629
- US rank
- #22385
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,111
Population outlook (Armstrong County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,513 people
- By 2030
- 59,579 · -4.7%
- By 2040
- 52,890 · -15.4%
- By 2050
- 45,904 · -26.6%
- By 2075
- 32,023 · -48.8%
- By 2100
- 20,415 · -67.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Armstrong
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.2) · D 23.0% · R 76.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -53.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.2 2020: R+52.3 2016: R+52.0 2012: R+37.2 2008: R+24.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.78%
- Current HPI
- 133.4758
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-8.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $109,900 West Penn MLS
- 2026-01-29 Listed $119,900 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2026): $2,308 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…