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3388 Rainbow Ln
B+ Composite 77.36
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$92,500

3388 Rainbow Ln · North Fort Myers, FL 33903
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,029 sqft · Manufactured public records · 272 Days on market
Built 1979 4,268 sqft lot Est $113k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great place to call home, or your second home, or your vacation home. Comfortably enjoy all Florida has to offer. Winter time or year round, you'll be glad you purchased this very well maintained home with affordable Florida living. Near everything, stores, tourist attractions, not too far from fabulous beaches. New roof in 2002, warranty transfers. Make an appointment today, before it's gone!

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • Ramp at the rear
  • New water heater

Tags

EXTENDED CONCRETE WALKWAYRAMP AT THE REARNEW A C UNITNEW WATER HEATERREVERSE OSMOSIS SYSTEMMETAL ROOF

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $92k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $320 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $92k).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.0% vs local median 3.6% in North Fort Myers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#269 in FL, #4,409 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 472 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $640 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 272 days — a 12% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $47k (34%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $70k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $81,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 272 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.78%
Cap rate
15.98%
Cash-on-cash
34.60%
DSCR
2.54
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$113,190
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16034 Citron Way 0.13mi 2/2.0 960 (-7%) 7mo $125,000 $130 77
16041 Citron Way 0.16mi 2/2.0 960 (-7%) 6mo $92,000 $96 76
3204 Pluto Cir 0.24mi 2/2.0 1,104 (+7%) 7mo $110,000 $100 71
3167 Pluto Cir 0.18mi 2/2.0 1,150 (+12%) 15mo $126,000 $110 59
612 Sunrise Ave 0.67mi 2/2.0 1,049 (+2%) 13mo $173,000 $165 55
9250 Caloosa Dr 0.34mi 2/2.0 1,149 (+12%) 17mo $139,500 $121 51
486 Horizon Dr 0.67mi 2/2.0 1,080 (+5%) 14mo $110,000 $102 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.9%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$827
Equity at exit
$13,792
10-year hold
IRR
5.9%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$9,312
Equity at exit
$7,998

Cash invested: $25,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33903

Rents YoY
-1.9%
Active inventory
472
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,645 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$485
Tax from tax record
$29 /mo · $346/yr
Insurance
$39
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$345
Net cashflow
$320

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,239
Max offer price $92,500
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $373 -5% $347 +0% $320 +5% $294 +10% $268
Rent -10% $190 -5% $255 +0% $320 +5% $385 +10% $450
Rate -1.0pp $367 -0.5pp $344 base $320 +0.5pp $296 +1.0pp $272

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,125
Closing costs
$2,775
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 31 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3404 Rainbow Ln North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,800 $1.70 4d 1 0.05mi
28 Nyborg Ave North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1042 $1,299 $1.25 15d 1 0.40mi
8791 Littleton Rd North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1074 $1,549 $1.44 24d 1 0.68mi
571 Sunrise Ln North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1004 $1,400 $1.39 24d 1 0.77mi
2774 Wedgewood Dr North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 880 $1,300 $1.48 24d 1 0.77mi
266 Mongoose Ln #266 North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1372 $1,499 $1.09 4d 1 0.83mi
4120 Pine Drop Ln North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 957 $1,895 $1.98 24d 1 1.00mi
3260 Stockton St North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 1.0–2.0 976 $2,371 $2.43 2d 27 1.16mi
3957 Pomodoro Cir #301 Cape Coral, FL 2.0 2.0 1270 $1,450 $1.14 16d 1 1.17mi
3953 Pomodoro Cir Cape Coral, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1044 $1,462 $1.40 15d 9 1.19mi
3961 Pomodoro Cir #204 Cape Coral, FL 2.0 2.0 1270 $1,450 $1.14 24d 1 1.20mi
3961 Pomodoro Cir #204 Cape Coral, FL 2.0 2.0 1270 $1,450 $1.14 16d 1 1.20mi
2095 Eloise Cir North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 840 $1,295 $1.54 24d 1 1.22mi
535 Zebra Dr #535 North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1352 $1,499 $1.11 15d 1 1.22mi
2027 Eloise Cir North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 822 $1,300 $1.58 4d 1 1.24mi
3940 Villa Del Mar CIR Cape Coral, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1051 $2,116 $2.01 2d 21 1.25mi
3944 Pomodoro Cir #202 Cape Coral, FL 3.0 2.0 1411 $2,200 $1.56 24d 1 1.26mi
2904 Tuscan Dr #303 Cape Coral, FL 2.0 2.0 1460 $1,450 $0.99 24d 1 1.28mi
2700 Diplomat Pkwy E Cape Coral, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1116 $2,382 $2.13 4d 41 1.28mi
3940 Pomodoro Cir Cape Coral, FL 2.0 2.0 1270 $1,475 $1.16 4d 2 1.29mi
3968 Pomodoro Cir #202 Cape Coral, FL 2.0 2.0 1469 $1,475 $1.00 15d 1 1.29mi
3973 Pomodoro Cir Cape Coral, FL 2.0 2.0 1534 $1,575 $1.03 3d 3 1.32mi
3973 Pomodoro Cir Cape Coral, FL 2.0 2.0 1469 $1,498 $1.02 24d 2 1.32mi
538 State St North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,199 $1.20 24d 1 1.32mi
2909 Tuscan Dr Cape Coral, FL 2.0 2.0 1469 $1,475 $1.00 24d 2 1.32mi
2913 Tuscan Dr #102 Cape Coral, FL 2.0 2.0 1469 $1,450 $0.99 24d 1 1.33mi
16363 Teresa Ln North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 24d 1 1.36mi
260 Stockton St North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 924 $1,200 $1.30 4d 1 1.38mi
248 Stockton St North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 924 $1,300 $1.41 24d 1 1.39mi
247 Stockton St North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 924 $1,325 $1.43 24d 1 1.41mi
446 San Bernardino St North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 1104 $1,590 $1.44 11d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-01-31
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-26
    status Active
  3. 2026-01-26
    price $92,500
  4. 2026-01-20
    status Pending
  5. 2026-01-20
    status Active
  6. 2026-01-08
    historical
  7. 2025-12-25
    price $105,000
  8. 2025-10-16
    price $112,000
  9. 2025-04-29
    price $129,900
  10. 2025-04-08
    listed $139,900 Active
  11. 2017-04-03
    soldstatus $70,000
  12. 2014-12-15
    soldstatus $45,900
  13. 2014-09-05
    soldstatus $46,000
  14. 2014-09-03
    soldstatus $46,000 396-char remark
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    Great place to call home, or your second home, or your vacation home. Comfortably enjoy all Florida has to offer. Winter time or year round, you'll be glad you purchased this very well maintained home with affordable Florida living. Near everything, stores, tourist attractions, not too far from fabulous beaches. New roof in 2002, warranty transfers. Make an appointment today, before it's gone!

  15. 2014-02-17
    listed $49,900 396-char remark
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    Great place to call home, or your second home, or your vacation home. Comfortably enjoy all Florida has to offer. Winter time or year round, you'll be glad you purchased this very well maintained home with affordable Florida living. Near everything, stores, tourist attractions, not too far from fabulous beaches. New roof in 2002, warranty transfers. Make an appointment today, before it's gone!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$346 · $29/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$768 · $64/mo
Expected delta
+$421/yr (+$35/mo · 121.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,737
− Mortgage interest
−$5,181
− Property taxes
−$346
− Insurance
−$5,581
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,579
− Management
−$1,579
− Depreciation
−$2,691
Taxable income
$2,779
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$667
After-tax cash flow
$3,177/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — North Fort Myers

Score
74/100
State rank
#269
US rank
#4409

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Fort Myers, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
57,035
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
23,655
Household income
$56,993
Rent vs Own
17.6% rent · 82.4% own
Severe rent burden
468.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -172.26%
Current HPI
256.773
Rent YoY
▼ -1.94%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+85.4% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-31 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2026-01-26 Relisted FORTMLS
  • 2026-01-26 Price Changed $92,500 FORTMLS
  • 2026-01-20 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2026-01-20 Relisted FORTMLS
  • 2026-01-08 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2025-12-25 Price Changed $105,000 FORTMLS
  • 2025-10-16 Price Changed $112,000 FORTMLS
  • 2025-04-29 Price Changed $129,900 FORTMLS
  • 2025-04-08 Listed $139,900 FORTMLS
  • 2017-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2014-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $45,900 Public Records
  • 2014-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
  • 2014-09-03 Sold (MLS) $46,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-02-17 Listed $49,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $346 · -15.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…