282 Prince Reaper Rd · Pangburn, AR
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- Appreciation +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Rock building has open floor plan , Metal building has 3 beds, 3 bath was recently used as a rehab facility. Large concrete pad in the back To be sold as RESIDENTAL ONLY Example no rehab facility etc. Good bones could be made into a house and or duplex
Key facts
- 1.18 acre lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 289 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $119k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $199 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $119k).
- Recommended offer: $105k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 1.2% in Pangburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#214 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Midland School District (rural): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #191 of 238 in AR (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Midland Elementary School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #347 of 454 statewide, top 79%, 277 students, 68% FRL); Midland High School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #187 of 292 statewide, top 70%, 234 students, 58% FRL).
- Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 219 units permitted in White County in 2024 (36 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($823 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.5% local appreciation)).
- White County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (3.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 290 days — a 12% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 290 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.17%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $314,682
- List price
- $119,000
- Delta
- -62.18%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 288 Prince Reaper Rd | 0.03mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,700 (-2%) | 13mo | $110,000 | $41 | 71 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.49% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.90×
- Total profit
- $30,141
- Equity at exit
- $56,853
- IRR
- 16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.57×
- Total profit
- $85,687
- Equity at exit
- $90,312
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72121
- Home prices YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 48
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,204 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $937/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $199
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $267 | -5% $233 | +0% $199 | +5% $165 | +10% $132 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $104 | -5% $152 | +0% $199 | +5% $247 | +10% $294 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $259 | -0.5pp $229 | base $199 | +0.5pp $168 | +1.0pp $137 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
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2026-06-21days on market $119,000 Active 290 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $119,000 Active 288 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $119,000 Active 287 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $119,000 Active 286 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $119,000 Active 285 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $119,000 Active 284 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $119,000 Active 282 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $119,000 Active 281 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $119,000 Active 278 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Active 277 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $119,000 Active 276 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $119,000 Active 274 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $119,000 Active 272 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $119,000 Active 271 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $119,000 Active 270 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $119,000 Active 269 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $119,000 Active 268 DOM
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2025-09-04$119,000 New Listing 257-char remark
Show marketing remark (257 chars)
Rock building has open floor plan , Metal building has 3 beds, 3 bath was recently used as a rehab facility. Large concrete pad in the back To be sold as RESIDENTAL ONLY Example no rehab facility etc. Good bones could be made into a house and or duplex
-
2023-05-19historical
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2023-05-12price $89,000
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2023-04-25$95,000 New Listing
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2022-07-17historical
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2022-06-24price $119,900
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2022-05-27$127,500 New Listing
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $937 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $937 · $78/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,443
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$937
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,155
- − Management
- −$1,155
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable income
- $473
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$114
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,277/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos
This property requires moderate rehabilitation, focusing on exterior repairs and landscaping to enhance its curb appeal and value.
Repairs flagged
- Major siding — Significant wear and tear
- Minor landscaping — Overgrown vegetation
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint exterior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal
- Both landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping improves both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| siding · Significant wear and tear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · Overgrown vegetation | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $15,500–53,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint exterior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal ↑
- Both landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping improves both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Midland School District
- NCES district ID
- 0500020
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,543
- Composite
- 19.69/100
- National rank
- #8726
- State rank
- #191 of 238 in AR
Livability — Pangburn
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #214
- US rank
- #16538
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,975
Population outlook (White County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 82,310 people
- By 2030
- 83,861 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 86,492 · +5.1%
- By 2050
- 88,246 · +7.2%
- By 2075
- 91,307 · +10.9%
- By 2100
- 91,548 · +11.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 6% Iranian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · White
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.2) · D 18.3% · R 79.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.0pp toward R · 2008: -47.2pp · 2024: -61.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.2 2020: R+58.9 2016: R+57.9 2012: R+53.7 2008: R+47.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.49%
- Current HPI
- 239.1461
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-6.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-04 Listed $119,000 CARMLS
- 2023-05-19 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2023-05-12 Price Changed $89,000 CARMLS
- 2023-04-25 Listed $95,000 CARMLS
- 2022-07-17 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2022-06-24 Price Changed $119,900 CARMLS
- 2022-05-27 Listed $127,500 CARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…