1545 Kyle Dr · Pensacola, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.7/30.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- ARV discount +3.5/15.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$230,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Experience 1545 Kyle Dr, a residence recently enhanced with fresh interior paint and new hvac for year-round comfort. New appliances are installed throughout. An outdoor patio provides leisure space, connecting to a fully fenced in backyard. This home with modern updates is ready for effortless living.
Key facts
- Stone countertops
- Converted garage
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Paved roads with county-maintained road responsibility
- HOA & community: No association; Association fee frequency listed as annually (if applicable)
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking; Four total parking spaces; Open parking available
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Circuit breakers and copper wiring for electric; Cable available
- Home design: Single-story home (one level); Resale property; Not attached to another property; Insulation and insulated walls for energy efficiency
- Construction: Brick and frame construction; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Partial fencing; Covered patio/porch; Shingle roof; Interior lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Updated kitchen with pantry; Stone countertops; New stove; New dishwasher; New cabinets; LVP flooring and fresh paint (updated within last 1–5 years)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (approximately 11 x 15); Two additional first-floor bedrooms (approx. 10 x 10 and 11 x 11)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; LVP flooring in updated areas
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Recently updated bathroom with new vanity, new lighting, new tub/shower combo, new toilet, fresh paint and LVP flooring (updated within last 1–5 years)
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central heating; Central air conditioning; Heat pump cooling
- Interior features: High speed internet; Recessed lighting; Bonus room
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry; Electric water heater; Built-in microwave; Dishwasher
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $58 ($699/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $192k (16.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $192k (16.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.6% in Pensacola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#53 in FL, #924 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+.
- Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Longleaf Elementary School (math 37% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,491 of 2,144 statewide, top 70%, 548 students, 77% FRL); Pine Forest High School (math 20% / reading 32%, grade F, #494 of 667 statewide, top 75%, 1,870 students, 62% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 203 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,923/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 1458% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $110k; list at $230k implies a 109% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.09%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $211,120
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2121 Oakstream Ave | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,533 (+5%) | 4mo | $343,000 | $224 | 58 |
| 7114 Wymart Rd | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,408 (-3%) | 20mo | $140,000 | $99 | 56 |
| 7705 Herrington Dr | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 | 1,485 (+2%) | 15mo | $235,000 | $158 | 51 |
| 7561 Weaver Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,317 (-10%) | 1mo | $292,000 | $222 | 47 |
| 7091 Wymart Rd | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,626 (+12%) | 8mo | $220,000 | $135 | 46 |
| 2161 Cliffbrook Cir | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,387 (-5%) | 18mo | $195,000 | $141 | 45 |
| 2123 Inda Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,375 (-6%) | 18mo | $199,000 | $145 | 44 |
| 6620 Hampton Rd | 0.68mi | 4/1.5 | 1,296 (-11%) | 13mo | $72,000 | $56 | 37 |
| 1732 Quiet Oak Ln | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,602 (+10%) | 20mo | $185,000 | $115 | 31 |
| 6617 Hampton Rd | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 | 1,637 (+12%) | 19mo | $195,000 | $119 | 30 |
| 1431 Lepley Rd | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,249 (-14%) | 11mo | $235,000 | $188 | 27 |
| 7252 Belgium Rd | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,654 (+14%) | 21mo | $330,000 | $200 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-29,823
- Equity at exit
- $34,294
- IRR
- -1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-5,233
- Equity at exit
- $19,886
Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32505
- Home prices YoY
- -26.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 203
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,923 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$159 /mo · $1,911/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$404
- Net cashflow
- $58
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $188 | -5% $123 | +0% $58 | +5% $-7 | +10% $-72 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-94 | -5% $-18 | +0% $58 | +5% $134 | +10% $210 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $174 | -0.5pp $117 | base $58 | +0.5pp $-1 | +1.0pp $-62 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,500
- Closing costs
- $6,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1472 Wingfoot Way Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1284 | $1,595 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1540 Wilimar Pl Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,550 | $1.54 | 15d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 6426 Wagner Rd Pensacola, FL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1296 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 6740 Scotts Pl Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1663 | $2,350 | $1.41 | 15d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 6740 Scotts Pl Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1663 | $2,350 | $1.41 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 7045 Pine Forest Rd Pensacola, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1011 | $2,174 | $2.15 | 15d | 27 | 1.36mi |
| 6111 Enterprise Dr Pensacola, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1224 | $1,688 | $1.38 | 15d | 19 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $230,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $230,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $230,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $230,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $230,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $230,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $230,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $230,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $230,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $230,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $230,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-02$230,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,911 · $159/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,911 · $159/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,081
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,884
- − Property taxes
- −$1,911
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,846
- − Management
- −$1,846
- − Depreciation
- −$6,691
- Taxable loss
- −$3,248
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$779
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,478/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escambia
- NCES district ID
- 1200510
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,649
- Composite
- 36.04/100
- National rank
- #4773
- State rank
- #56 of 73 in FL
Livability — Pensacola
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #53
- US rank
- #924
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Escambia County · 301,722 people
- City population
- 237,636
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,877
- Household income
- $44,783
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1458.0
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 334,637 people
- By 2030
- 345,779 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 364,828 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 378,514 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 403,220 · +20.5%
- By 2100
- 386,125 · +15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.10%
- Current HPI
- 205.45
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.92%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+995.2% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $230,000 PARMLS
- 2026-06-01 Listed $230,000 ECAR
- 2025-10-11 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2025-09-18 Listed $275,000 ECAR
- 2025-09-18 Listed $275,000 PARMLS
- 2024-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2024-11-20 Sold (MLS) $110,000 PARMLS
- 2024-11-13 Pending — PARMLS
- 2024-10-29 Contingent — PARMLS
- 2024-10-22 Listed $140,000 PARMLS
- 1972-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,911 · +25.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…