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1545 Kyle Dr
D- Composite 39.99
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.7/30.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$230,000

1545 Kyle Dr · Pensacola, FL 32505
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1972 7,405 sqft lot Est $211k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Experience 1545 Kyle Dr, a residence recently enhanced with fresh interior paint and new hvac for year-round comfort. New appliances are installed throughout. An outdoor patio provides leisure space, connecting to a fully fenced in backyard. This home with modern updates is ready for effortless living.

Key facts

  • Stone countertops
  • Converted garage
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENWHITE SHAKER CABINETSSTONE COUNTERTOPSBRAND-NEW APPLIANCESOVERSIZED LAUNDRY ROOMCONVERTED GARAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Paved roads with county-maintained road responsibility
  • HOA & community: No association; Association fee frequency listed as annually (if applicable)

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking; Four total parking spaces; Open parking available
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Circuit breakers and copper wiring for electric; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-story home (one level); Resale property; Not attached to another property; Insulation and insulated walls for energy efficiency
  • Construction: Brick and frame construction; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Partial fencing; Covered patio/porch; Shingle roof; Interior lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Updated kitchen with pantry; Stone countertops; New stove; New dishwasher; New cabinets; LVP flooring and fresh paint (updated within last 1–5 years)
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (approximately 11 x 15); Two additional first-floor bedrooms (approx. 10 x 10 and 11 x 11)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; LVP flooring in updated areas
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Recently updated bathroom with new vanity, new lighting, new tub/shower combo, new toilet, fresh paint and LVP flooring (updated within last 1–5 years)
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central heating; Central air conditioning; Heat pump cooling
  • Interior features: High speed internet; Recessed lighting; Bonus room
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry; Electric water heater; Built-in microwave; Dishwasher

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $58 ($699/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $192k (16.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $192k (16.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.6% in Pensacola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#53 in FL, #924 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+.
  • Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Longleaf Elementary School (math 37% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,491 of 2,144 statewide, top 70%, 548 students, 77% FRL); Pine Forest High School (math 20% / reading 32%, grade F, #494 of 667 statewide, top 75%, 1,870 students, 62% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 203 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,923/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 1458% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $110k; list at $230k implies a 109% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $192,341 (16.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
6.60%
Cash-on-cash
1.09%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$211,120
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2121 Oakstream Ave 0.54mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,533 (+5%) 4mo $343,000 $224 58
7114 Wymart Rd 0.36mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,408 (-3%) 20mo $140,000 $99 56
7705 Herrington Dr 0.70mi 4/2.0 1,485 (+2%) 15mo $235,000 $158 51
7561 Weaver Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,317 (-10%) 1mo $292,000 $222 47
7091 Wymart Rd 0.49mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,626 (+12%) 8mo $220,000 $135 46
2161 Cliffbrook Cir 0.57mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,387 (-5%) 18mo $195,000 $141 45
2123 Inda Ave 0.58mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,375 (-6%) 18mo $199,000 $145 44
6620 Hampton Rd 0.68mi 4/1.5 1,296 (-11%) 13mo $72,000 $56 37
1732 Quiet Oak Ln 0.60mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,602 (+10%) 20mo $185,000 $115 31
6617 Hampton Rd 0.72mi 4/2.0 1,637 (+12%) 19mo $195,000 $119 30
1431 Lepley Rd 0.66mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,249 (-14%) 11mo $235,000 $188 27
7252 Belgium Rd 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,654 (+14%) 21mo $330,000 $200 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.6%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-29,823
Equity at exit
$34,294
10-year hold
IRR
-1.1%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-5,233
Equity at exit
$19,886

Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32505

Home prices YoY
-26.5%
Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
203
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,923 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax from tax record
$159 /mo · $1,911/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$404
Net cashflow
$58

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,850
Max offer price $230,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $188 -5% $123 +0% $58 +5% $-7 +10% $-72
Rent -10% $-94 -5% $-18 +0% $58 +5% $134 +10% $210
Rate -1.0pp $174 -0.5pp $117 base $58 +0.5pp $-1 +1.0pp $-62

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,500
Closing costs
$6,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1472 Wingfoot Way Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1284 $1,595 $1.24 25d 1 0.58mi
1540 Wilimar Pl Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1008 $1,550 $1.54 15d 1 0.83mi
6426 Wagner Rd Pensacola, FL 4.0 1.5 1296 $1,300 $1.00 25d 1 0.83mi
6740 Scotts Pl Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.5 1663 $2,350 $1.41 15d 1 1.20mi
6740 Scotts Pl Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.5 1663 $2,350 $1.41 25d 1 1.20mi
7045 Pine Forest Rd Pensacola, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1011 $2,174 $2.15 15d 27 1.36mi
6111 Enterprise Dr Pensacola, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1224 $1,688 $1.38 15d 19 1.46mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $230,000 Active 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $230,000 Active 17 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $230,000 Active 16 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $230,000 Active 15 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $230,000 Active 14 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $230,000 Active 12 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $230,000 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $230,000 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $230,000 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $230,000 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $230,000 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    remarks 693-char remark
  13. 2026-06-02
    listed $230,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,911 · $159/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,911 · $159/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,081
− Mortgage interest
−$12,884
− Property taxes
−$1,911
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,846
− Management
−$1,846
− Depreciation
−$6,691
Taxable loss
−$3,248
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$779
After-tax cash flow
$1,478/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Escambia
NCES district ID
1200510
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,649
Composite
36.04/100
National rank
#4773
State rank
#56 of 73 in FL

Livability — Pensacola

Score
83/100
State rank
#53
US rank
#924

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Escambia County · 301,722 people
City population
237,636
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
Population (ZIP)
27,877
Household income
$44,783
Rent vs Own
47.7% rent · 52.3% own
Severe rent burden
1458.0

Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
334,637 people
By 2030
345,779 · +3.3%
By 2040
364,828 · +9.0%
By 2050
378,514 · +13.1%
By 2075
403,220 · +20.5%
By 2100
386,125 · +15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 48% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Escambia

2024 margin
R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.10%
Current HPI
205.45
Rent YoY
▲ 4.92%
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+995.2% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $230,000 PARMLS
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $230,000 ECAR
  • 2025-10-11 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2025-09-18 Listed $275,000 ECAR
  • 2025-09-18 Listed $275,000 PARMLS
  • 2024-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 2024-11-20 Sold (MLS) $110,000 PARMLS
  • 2024-11-13 Pending PARMLS
  • 2024-10-29 Contingent PARMLS
  • 2024-10-22 Listed $140,000 PARMLS
  • 1972-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,911 · +25.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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