215-17 Fellows Ave · Syracuse, NY 13210

$265,000

6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,600 sqft · Townhouse · 36 Days on market

Built 1935 Average condition Est $281k · 6% under

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +28.8/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +10.0/15.0
• 1% rule +8.0/10.0
• Rent growth +5.0/5.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Condition / age +2.8/5.0
• Schools +1.8/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Very nice Two Family property in excellent condition. Each apartment has three bedrooms. Most convenient Westcott location near Syracuse University, Hospitals, public transportation, restaurants and shops. The two fireplaces do not work - decorative only. The porch was rebuilt in 2024.

Key facts

• Built 1935
• Listed 36 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $265k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $888 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $265k).
• Recommended offer: $257k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
• Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.2%/yr); 58 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $3,443/mo this rent would consume 99% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 2307% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $74k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($257k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $257,050 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.30% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.32%
• Cash-on-cash: 14.37%
• DSCR: 1.64
• GRM: 6.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $280,800
• Comps found: 7

Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
134 Harvard Pl	0.14mi	6/2.0	2,756 (+6%)	4mo	$443,000	$161	80
410-12 Ellis St	0.40mi	6/2.0	2,680 (+3%)	16mo	$110,000	$41	63
204 Fellows Ave #206	0.03mi	6/2.0	2,950 (+14%)	18mo	$340,000	$115	61
414-16 Ellis St	0.39mi	6/2.0	2,680 (+3%)	19mo	$125,000	$47	60
1119 Euclid Ave	0.27mi	6/2.0	2,426 (-7%)	23mo	$310,000	$128	57
136 Bassett St	0.44mi	5/2.0 (-1)	2,406 (-8%)	9mo	$259,825	$108	54
810 Seeley Rd	0.71mi	6/2.0	2,430 (-6%)	18mo	$192,000	$79	41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 10.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.43×
• Total profit: $31,893
• Equity at exit: $39,512

10-year hold

• IRR: 23.2%
• Equity multiple: 3.48×
• Total profit: $183,661
• Equity at exit: $22,912

Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 13210

• Home prices YoY: -9.0%
• Rents YoY: 11.2%
• Active inventory: 58
• Price-to-rent: 6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,443 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,390
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$331 /mo · $3,975/yr
• Insurance: −$110
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$723
• Net cashflow: $888

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,318

Max offer price $265,000

Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $1,072	-5% $980	+0% $888	+5% $797	+10% $705
Rent	-10% $617	-5% $752	+0% $888	+5% $1,024	+10% $1,160
Rate	-1.0pp $1,022	-0.5pp $956	base $888	+0.5pp $820	+1.0pp $750

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $66,250
• Closing costs: $7,950
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
750 Euclid Ave Syracuse, NY	5.0	2.0	2736	$4,100	$1.50	44d	1	0.44mi
365 Green St Syracuse, NY	5.0	3.5	2263	$3,300	$1.46	21d	1	1.49mi

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-05-20
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-20
   historical Active Under Contract
3. 2026-04-14
   listed $265,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $41,314
• − Mortgage interest: −$14,844
• − Property taxes: −$3,975
• − Insurance: −$1,325
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,305
• − Management: −$3,305
• − Depreciation: −$7,709
• Taxable income: $6,851
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,644
• After-tax cash flow: $9,018/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Average 55/100 Moderate rehab

The property is in average condition with moderate repairs needed. Painting and updating the kitchen and bathroom would significantly increase its value.

Repairs flagged

• Minor Kitchen clutter — Items on countertops need to be cleared
• Minor Bathroom clutter — Items on sink and toilet need to be cleared

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
• Both Replace kitchen countertops — Modern countertops improve functionality and appearance
• Both Replace bathroom fixtures — Upgraded fixtures enhance functionality and aesthetics

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair item	Severity	Est. cost
Kitchen clutter · Items on countertops need to be cleared	Minor	$500–3,000
Bathroom clutter · Items on sink and toilet need to be cleared	Minor	$500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items		$1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
• Both Replace kitchen countertops — Modern countertops improve functionality and appearance ↑
• Both Replace bathroom fixtures — Upgraded fixtures enhance functionality and aesthetics ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Syracuse City School District
• NCES district ID: 3628590
• Math proficiency: 18% ▼ -5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 26% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $32,097
• Composite: 17.83/100
• National rank: #9007
• State rank: #590 of 590 in NY

Livability — Syracuse

• Score: 77/100
• State rank: #187
• US rank: #2869

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Syracuse, NY
• County: Onondaga County · 247,257 people
• City population: 152,627
• Metro: Syracuse, NY
• Population (ZIP): 19,803
• Household income: $41,738
• Rent vs Own: 70.6% rent · 29.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 2307.0

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 467,894 people
• By 2030: 463,381 · -1.0%
• By 2040: 447,697 · -4.3%
• By 2050: 426,399 · -8.9%
• By 2075: 373,661 · -20.1%
• By 2100: 307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
• Race & ethnicity: White 58% Black 18% Asian 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 18% · China, Canada, South Korea
• Languages at home: 78% English-only · Chinese 5% Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

• 2024 margin: D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -37.59%
• Current HPI: 378.0277
• Rent YoY: ▲ 11.18%
• Metro: Syracuse, NY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-20 Pending — CNYIS
• 2026-04-20 Contingent — CNYIS
• 2026-04-14 Listed $265,000 CNYIS