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534 E 37th Ave #567
D Composite 40.37
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Cash flow +2.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +2.5/10.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -3.5

$49,999

534 E 37th Ave #567 · Lake Station, IN 46342
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,060 sqft · Manufactured · 98 Days on market
Manufactured home Built 2026 Good condition $47/sqft · 31% below area Est $72k · 31% under $625/mo HOA · 61% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 567 Cumberland drive! The coziest corner home in town!! Walk right into your spacious living room with freshly installed brand-new carpet overlooking your entire home! Your Huge chefs inspired kitchen with dark brown oak cabinets and cream-colored marble inspired countertops greets you as you enter the home as well! Along with an OVERSIZED kitchen island with plenty of storage space and room for barstools and a includes a spacious pantry! Continuing to the rest of the home, your secondary bedroom is located in the front of the home near the loving room along with the full bathroom as to give privacy to each bedroom!

Key facts

  • Built 2026
  • Listed 98 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-166 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $26k (47.9% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $26k (47.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 2.3% vs local median 5.7% in Lake Station — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#411 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • River Forest Community School Corporation (suburban): math 17% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #268 of 301 in IN (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: John I Meister Elementary School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #762 of 994 statewide, top 78%, 346 students, 87% FRL); River Forest Middle School (math 10% / reading 26%, grade F, #279 of 330 statewide, top 86%, 379 students, 87% FRL); River Forest High School (math 12% / reading 52%, grade F, #295 of 369 statewide, top 82%, 532 students, 83% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 424 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 41d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 61% of rent.
Recommended offer $26,027 (47.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 48% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.04%
Cap rate
2.32%
Cash-on-cash
-14.20%
DSCR
0.37
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$72,000
List price
$49,999
Delta
-30.56%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3538 N Lake Park Ave 0.36mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,068 (+1%) 1mo $115,000 $108 72
652 N Guyer St 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 988 (-7%) 1mo $216,000 $219 52
1709 E Rand St 1.47mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,008 (-5%) 1mo $230,000 $228 51
114 Beverly Ln 1.10mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,140 (+8%) 2mo $229,900 $202 46
340 N California St 0.58mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,260 (+19%) 0mo $247,000 $196 43
213 S Connecticut St 1.18mi 2/1.0 925 (-13%) 0mo $206,000 $223 39
60 Lukes Ct 0.74mi 2/2.5 1,308 (+23%) 0mo $245,000 $187 38
101 Van Buren Ave 0.84mi 3/1.0 (+1) 952 (-10%) 2mo $165,000 $173 38
2491 S Hansen Blvd 1.25mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,215 (+15%) 0mo $267,000 $220 36
144 N Michigan Ave 1.12mi 2/1.0 1,261 (+19%) 1mo $212,500 $169 35
227 N Delaware St 0.77mi 3/1.0 (+1) 924 (-13%) 0mo $100,000 $108 34
16 W Cleveland Ave 1.05mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,325 (+25%) 1mo $249,900 $189 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-31.3%
Equity multiple
-0.11×
Total profit
$-15,487
Equity at exit
$7,455
10-year hold
IRR
-11.9%
Equity multiple
0.04×
Total profit
$-13,466
Equity at exit
$4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
20 active
Median asking
$50,000 ($42/sqft)
Median days on market
94 d
This list price
35% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+62.4% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 46342

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
424
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,019 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $750/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$625
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$214
Net cashflow
$-166

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,229
Max offer price $26,027
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-131 -5% $-148 +0% $-166 +5% $-183 +10% $-200
Rent -10% $-246 -5% $-206 +0% $-166 +5% $-125 +10% $-85
Rate -1.0pp $-140 -0.5pp $-153 base $-166 +0.5pp $-179 +1.0pp $-192

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
905 W 37th Ave Unit 48 Hobart, IN 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 139d 1 0.25mi
327 N Colorado St Hobart, IN 3.0 1.0 924 $1,625 $1.76 0d 1 0.68mi
416 Van Buren Ave Hobart, IN 3.0 1.0 1085 $1,395 $1.29 97d 1 0.73mi
333 Neringa Ln Hobart, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 878 $1,430 $1.63 0d 9 0.76mi
2955 DeKalb St Lake Station, IN 3.0 2.0 924 $1,395 $1.51 40d 1 0.97mi
2955 DeKalb St Lake Station, IN 2.0 1.0 784 $1,100 $1.40 98d 1 0.97mi
1229 W 44th Pl Hobart, IN 2.0 1.0 725 $1,350 $1.86 50d 1 1.05mi
2830 Grand Blvd Lake Station, IN 3.0 1.0 864 $1,395 $1.61 93d 1 1.12mi
1811 E 28th Ave Lake Station, IN 3.0 2.0 988 $1,325 $1.34 3d 1 1.14mi
3753 Englehart St Lake Station, IN 3.0 1.0 1224 $1,450 $1.18 93d 1 1.18mi
2715 Greene St Lake Station, IN 3.0 1.5 1003 $1,425 $1.42 0d 1 1.23mi
2716 Huntington St Lake Station, IN 3.0 1.0 832 $1,500 $1.80 87d 1 1.24mi
660 N Hobart Rd Apt 4 Hobart, IN 1.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 6d 1 1.33mi
1421 High St Unit 1E Hobart, IN 2.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 0d 1 1.41mi
1421 High St Unit 2W Hobart, IN 2.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 115d 1 1.41mi
2873 New Hampshire St Lake Station, IN 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,550 $1.11 34d 1 1.42mi
215 East St Unit 3 Hobart, IN 2.0 1.0 850 $1,300 $1.53 20d 1 1.42mi
215 East St Hobart, IN 2.0 1.0 850 $1,350 $1.59 47d 1 1.43mi
3320 Randolph Pl Apt D Hobart, IN 2.0 1.0 1225 $1,400 $1.14 7d 1 1.46mi

Property features AI

Finance

Financial info
List price: 50000
HOA & community
Association fee of 625

Exterior

Home design
Spec home from the Ravinia Pines planLocated at 534 E 37th Ave #567, Hobart, IN 46342
Construction
Living area approximately 1060
Exterior features
Asphalt roof

Interior

Kitchen
Includes dishwasher, microwave, and refrigerator
Bedrooms
2 bedrooms
Bathrooms
2 bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Forced air heatingCentral airCeiling fan(s)
Interior features
Dishwasher, Microwave, Refrigerator

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-23
    days on market $49,999 Active 98 DOM
  2. 2026-09-22
    days on market $49,999 Active 97 DOM
  3. 2026-09-21
    days on market $49,999 Active 96 DOM
  4. 2026-09-20
    days on market $49,999 Active 95 DOM
  5. 2026-09-19
    days on market $49,999 Active 94 DOM
  6. 2026-09-18
    pricedays on market $49,999 Active 93 DOM
  7. 2026-09-17
    days on market $50,000 Active 92 DOM
  8. 2026-09-16
    days on market $50,000 Active 91 DOM
  9. 2026-09-15
    days on market $50,000 Active 90 DOM
  10. 2026-09-14
    days on market $50,000 Active 89 DOM
  11. 2026-09-13
    days on market $50,000 Active 88 DOM
  12. 2026-09-12
    days on market $50,000 Active 87 DOM
  13. 2026-09-11
    days on market $50,000 Active 86 DOM
  14. 2026-09-05
    days on market $50,000 Active 80 DOM
  15. 2026-09-04
    days on market $50,000 Active 79 DOM
  16. 2026-09-02
    days on market $50,000 Active 77 DOM
  17. 2026-08-31
    days on market $50,000 Active 75 DOM
  18. 2026-08-30
    days on market $50,000 Active 74 DOM
  19. 2026-08-29
    days on market $50,000 Active 73 DOM
  20. 2026-08-28
    days on market $50,000 Active 72 DOM
  21. 2026-08-27
    days on market $50,000 Active 71 DOM
  22. 2026-08-26
    days on market $50,000 Active 70 DOM
  23. 2026-08-25
    days on market $50,000 Active 69 DOM
  24. 2026-08-24
    days on market $50,000 Active 68 DOM
  25. 2026-08-23
    days on market $50,000 Active 67 DOM
  26. 2026-08-22
    days on market $50,000 Active 66 DOM
  27. 2026-08-21
    days on market $50,000 Active 65 DOM
  28. 2026-08-20
    days on market $50,000 Active 64 DOM
  29. 2026-08-19
    days on market $50,000 Active 63 DOM
  30. 2026-08-18
    days on market $50,000 Active 62 DOM
  31. 2026-08-17
    days on market $50,000 Active 61 DOM
  32. 2026-08-16
    days on market $50,000 Active 60 DOM
  33. 2026-08-15
    days on market $50,000 Active 59 DOM
  34. 2026-08-14
    days on market $50,000 Active 58 DOM
  35. 2026-08-13
    days on market $50,000 Active 57 DOM
  36. 2026-08-12
    days on market $50,000 Active 56 DOM
  37. 2026-08-11
    days on market $50,000 Active 55 DOM
  38. 2026-08-10
    days on market $50,000 Active 54 DOM
  39. 2026-08-09
    days on market $50,000 Active 53 DOM
  40. 2026-08-08
    days on market $50,000 Active 52 DOM
  41. 2026-08-06
    days on market $50,000 Active 50 DOM
  42. 2026-08-05
    days on market $50,000 Active 49 DOM
  43. 2026-08-04
    days on market $50,000 Active 48 DOM
  44. 2026-08-03
    days on market $50,000 Active 47 DOM
  45. 2026-07-18
    days on market $50,000 Active 44 DOM
  46. 2026-07-18
    days on market $50,000 Active 43 DOM
  47. 2026-07-16
    days on market $50,000 Active 42 DOM
  48. 2026-07-15
    days on market $50,000 Active 41 DOM
  49. 2026-07-14
    days on market $50,000 Active 40 DOM
  50. 2026-07-13
    days on market $50,000 Active 39 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,226
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$750
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$978
− Management
−$978
− HOA
−$7,500
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable loss
−$2,486
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$597
After-tax cash flow
$-1,391/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $5,300–$15,900 screening

This home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a cosmetic rehab level and requires minimal repairs and maintenance. The highest-ROI updates would be painting the interior walls and replacing the ceiling fan to increase its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a home more appealing and increase its value
  • Both Replace ceiling fan — A new ceiling fan can improve air circulation and add to the home's curb appeal

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 25/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary John I Meister Elementary School F IN #762/994 Nat'l #30,133/41,679 Middle River Forest Middle School F IN #279/330 Nat'l #12,096/14,009 High River Forest High School F IN #295/369 Nat'l #10,416/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
River Forest Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1804620
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,317
Composite
19.65/100
National rank
#8738
State rank
#268 of 301 in IN
C Composite livability gradescore 63/100

Livability — Lake Station

Score
63/100
State rank
#411
US rank
#14929

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lake Station, IN
County
Lake County · 484,026 people
City population
12,184
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
32,224
Household income
$75,521
Rent vs Own
25.9% rent · 74.1% own
Severe rent burden
16% of renters

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 10% Black 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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