2774 Fitzgerald St · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.7/10.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom single-family residence offers 1,112 sq. ft. of potential in a prime location. Built in 1922 and sitting on a 5,546 sq. ft. lot, this property provides solid structure for renovation or value-add enhancements.
Key facts
- Decorative fireplace
- Renovated bungalow
- New roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity available; Water available; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Wood siding
- Exterior features: East-facing; Lot approximately 0.13 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air (electric)
- Interior features: Laminate flooring; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $98 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (12.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $140k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ruth N. Upson Elementary School (math 72% / reading 67%, grade A-, #364 of 2,144 statewide, top 19%, 376 students, 61% FRL); Lake Shore Middle School (math 25% / reading 22%, grade F, #536 of 571 statewide, top 95%, 972 students, 75% FRL); Riverside High School (math 24% / reading 39%, grade F, #424 of 667 statewide, top 64%, 1,567 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 49% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 172 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.4% local appreciation)).
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.4% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $78k; list at $160k implies a 105% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.63%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $160,128
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2550 Summit St | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 1,083 (-3%) | 0mo | $130,000 | $120 | 77 |
| 2908 Spencer St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (-1%) | 0mo | $158,000 | $144 | 76 |
| 2881 Lenox Ave | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,068 (-4%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $84 | 72 |
| 306 Woodlawn Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (-1%) | 2mo | $70,000 | $64 | 66 |
| 357 Smith St | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,000 (-10%) | 3mo | $142,000 | $142 | 66 |
| 2654 Green St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,130 (+2%) | 3mo | $246,500 | $218 | 55 |
| 724 James St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,207 (+8%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $220 | 53 |
| 2562 Summit St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,268 (+14%) | 3mo | $205,000 | $162 | 52 |
| 3053 Gilmore St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 1,008 (-9%) | 0mo | $130,000 | $129 | 50 |
| 3205 Dignan St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,080 (-3%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $130 | 50 |
| 3127 Dignan St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,197 (+8%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $175 | 47 |
| 3119 Rosselle St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,018 (-8%) | 3mo | $167,500 | $165 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.41% appreciation · 1.7% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $27,203
- Equity at exit
- $75,691
- IRR
- 11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.82×
- Total profit
- $81,393
- Equity at exit
- $119,650
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32254
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 172
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,400 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$102 /mo · $1,221/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $98
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 371 Smith St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,325 | $1.26 | 4d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 420 Sunshine St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,350 | $1.29 | 2d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 717 King St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1132 | $1,800 | $1.59 | 17d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2561 Rosselle St #1 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1287 | $1,395 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2526 Phyllis St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 3035 Fitzgerald St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,021 | $1.13 | 3d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2759 Dellwood Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $2,100 | $1.94 | 20d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2812 Ernest St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1461 | $2,800 | $1.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2701 Myra St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1065 | $1,595 | $1.50 | 21d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2980 Ernest St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,200 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2614 Dellwood Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1122 | $2,325 | $2.07 | 4d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2410 McQuade St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1307 | $1,425 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 809 McDuff Ave S Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1006 | $995 | $0.99 | 4d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2611 Green St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,195 | $1.64 | 14d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2611 Green St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,195 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2128 Woodside St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 776 | $895 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2803 College St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,550 | $1.41 | 14d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 828 Acosta St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $1,150 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2012 Baldwin St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,445 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3159 Phyllis St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $1,561 | $1.29 | 3d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2653 College St Unit 2653 Jacksonville, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 907 | $1,295 | $1.43 | 3d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2577 Haldumar Ter Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 865 | $1,050 | $1.21 | 2d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2575 Haldumar Ter Jacksonville, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $965 | $1.25 | 2d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2619 College St Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,050 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2892 College St Unit 2892-2 Jacksonville, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,195 | $1.71 | 17d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2578 Haldumar Ter Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1114 | $2,195 | $1.97 | 14d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2525 College St #1214 Jacksonville, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1019 | $1,900 | $1.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2777 Post St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,195 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1923 Broadway Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,421 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2657 Post St Apt 2 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 3d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 975 Willow Branch Ave Jacksonville, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 4d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2929 Post St Jacksonville, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 4d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3036 Green St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,495 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3236 Phyllis St Unit 3244 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $850 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2908 Post St Apt 3 Jacksonville, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $995 | $1.38 | 14d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2908 Post St Unit 4 Jacksonville, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $995 | $1.38 | 2d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3318 Dignan St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3319 Hunt St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,295 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3250 Phyllis St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $850 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3323 Nolan St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 927 | $1,050 | $1.13 | 2d | 1 | 0.87mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-03status $160,000 Pending 67 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $160,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-03-26$160,000 Active
-
2025-05-16soldstatus $78,000
-
2025-01-01historical 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom single-family residence offers 1,112 sq. ft. of potential in a prime location. Built in 1922 and sitting on a 5,546 sq. ft. lot, this property provides solid structure for renovation or value-add enhancements.
-
2024-11-08price $99,000 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom single-family residence offers 1,112 sq. ft. of potential in a prime location. Built in 1922 and sitting on a 5,546 sq. ft. lot, this property provides solid structure for renovation or value-add enhancements.
-
2024-11-05$105,000 Active 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom single-family residence offers 1,112 sq. ft. of potential in a prime location. Built in 1922 and sitting on a 5,546 sq. ft. lot, this property provides solid structure for renovation or value-add enhancements.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,221 · $102/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,328 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- +$107/yr (+$9/mo · 8.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,794
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$1,221
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,344
- − Management
- −$1,344
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable loss
- −$1,531
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$367
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,545/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,927
- Household income
- $34,953
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 882.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 60% White 28% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Hispanic 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- Current HPI
- 282.2981
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.70%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+52.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Listed $160,000 realMLS
- 2025-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
- 2025-01-01 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2024-11-08 Price Changed $99,000 realMLS
- 2024-11-05 Listed $105,000 realMLS
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,221 · +22.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…