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2774 Fitzgerald St
C- Composite 53.28
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.7/10.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$160,000

2774 Fitzgerald St · Jacksonville, FL 32254
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,112 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 67 Days on market
Built 1922 5,662 sqft lot Est $160k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom single-family residence offers 1,112 sq. ft. of potential in a prime location. Built in 1922 and sitting on a 5,546 sq. ft. lot, this property provides solid structure for renovation or value-add enhancements.

Key facts

  • Decorative fireplace
  • Renovated bungalow
  • New roof

Tags

RENOVATED BUNGALOWDECORATIVE FIREPLACEFULLY UPDATED KITCHENNEW ROOF

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Other parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity available; Water available; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Wood siding
  • Exterior features: East-facing; Lot approximately 0.13 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air (electric)
  • Interior features: Laminate flooring; Unfurnished
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $98 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (12.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Ruth N. Upson Elementary School (math 72% / reading 67%, grade A-, #364 of 2,144 statewide, top 19%, 376 students, 61% FRL); Lake Shore Middle School (math 25% / reading 22%, grade F, #536 of 571 statewide, top 95%, 972 students, 75% FRL); Riverside High School (math 24% / reading 39%, grade F, #424 of 667 statewide, top 64%, 1,567 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 49% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 172 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.4% local appreciation)).
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.4% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $78k; list at $160k implies a 105% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $139,953 (12.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
7.03%
Cash-on-cash
2.63%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$160,128
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2550 Summit St 0.31mi 2/2.0 1,083 (-3%) 0mo $130,000 $120 77
2908 Spencer St 0.27mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,100 (-1%) 0mo $158,000 $144 76
2881 Lenox Ave 0.31mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,068 (-4%) 2mo $90,000 $84 72
306 Woodlawn Ave 0.47mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,100 (-1%) 2mo $70,000 $64 66
357 Smith St 0.13mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,000 (-10%) 3mo $142,000 $142 66
2654 Green St 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,130 (+2%) 3mo $246,500 $218 55
724 James St 0.47mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,207 (+8%) 2mo $265,000 $220 53
2562 Summit St 0.29mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,268 (+14%) 3mo $205,000 $162 52
3053 Gilmore St 0.72mi 2/1.0 1,008 (-9%) 0mo $130,000 $129 50
3205 Dignan St 0.73mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,080 (-3%) 2mo $140,000 $130 50
3127 Dignan St 0.63mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,197 (+8%) 2mo $210,000 $175 47
3119 Rosselle St 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,018 (-8%) 3mo $167,500 $165 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.41% appreciation · 1.7% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.4%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$27,203
Equity at exit
$75,691
10-year hold
IRR
11.9%
Equity multiple
2.82×
Total profit
$81,393
Equity at exit
$119,650

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32254

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Rents YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
172
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,400 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$102 /mo · $1,221/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$98

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,275
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
371 Smith St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,325 $1.26 4d 1 0.14mi
420 Sunshine St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,350 $1.29 2d 1 0.14mi
717 King St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1132 $1,800 $1.59 17d 1 0.50mi
2561 Rosselle St #1 Jacksonville, FL 3.0 3.0 1287 $1,395 $1.08 24d 1 0.50mi
2526 Phyllis St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,800 $1.38 24d 1 0.50mi
3035 Fitzgerald St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,021 $1.13 3d 1 0.52mi
2759 Dellwood Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1080 $2,100 $1.94 20d 1 0.57mi
2812 Ernest St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1461 $2,800 $1.92 24d 1 0.57mi
2701 Myra St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1065 $1,595 $1.50 21d 1 0.63mi
2980 Ernest St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 920 $1,200 $1.30 24d 1 0.65mi
2614 Dellwood Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1122 $2,325 $2.07 4d 1 0.66mi
2410 McQuade St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1307 $1,425 $1.09 24d 1 0.69mi
809 McDuff Ave S Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 1006 $995 $0.99 4d 1 0.72mi
2611 Green St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 728 $1,195 $1.64 14d 1 0.72mi
2611 Green St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 728 $1,195 $1.64 24d 1 0.72mi
2128 Woodside St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 776 $895 $1.15 24d 1 0.73mi
2803 College St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,550 $1.41 14d 1 0.73mi
828 Acosta St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 1.0 1.0 806 $1,150 $1.43 24d 1 0.75mi
2012 Baldwin St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1232 $1,445 $1.17 24d 1 0.76mi
3159 Phyllis St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1209 $1,561 $1.29 3d 1 0.76mi
2653 College St Unit 2653 Jacksonville, FL 1.0 1.0 907 $1,295 $1.43 3d 1 0.77mi
2577 Haldumar Ter Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 865 $1,050 $1.21 2d 1 0.78mi
2575 Haldumar Ter Jacksonville, FL 1.0 1.0 775 $965 $1.25 2d 1 0.78mi
2619 College St Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL 1.0 1.0 700 $1,050 $1.50 24d 1 0.78mi
2892 College St Unit 2892-2 Jacksonville, FL 1.0 1.0 700 $1,195 $1.71 17d 1 0.79mi
2578 Haldumar Ter Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 1114 $2,195 $1.97 14d 1 0.79mi
2525 College St #1214 Jacksonville, FL 1.0 1.0 1019 $1,900 $1.86 24d 1 0.79mi
2777 Post St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,195 $1.00 24d 1 0.80mi
1923 Broadway Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1230 $1,421 $1.16 24d 1 0.81mi
2657 Post St Apt 2 Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 3d 1 0.82mi
975 Willow Branch Ave Jacksonville, FL 1.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 4d 1 0.84mi
2929 Post St Jacksonville, FL 1.0 1.0 950 $1,100 $1.16 4d 1 0.85mi
3036 Green St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 924 $1,495 $1.62 24d 1 0.85mi
3236 Phyllis St Unit 3244 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 720 $850 $1.18 24d 1 0.85mi
2908 Post St Apt 3 Jacksonville, FL 1.0 1.0 720 $995 $1.38 14d 1 0.86mi
2908 Post St Unit 4 Jacksonville, FL 1.0 1.0 720 $995 $1.38 2d 1 0.86mi
3318 Dignan St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 960 $1,200 $1.25 24d 1 0.86mi
3319 Hunt St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 924 $1,295 $1.40 24d 1 0.87mi
3250 Phyllis St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 720 $850 $1.18 24d 1 0.87mi
3323 Nolan St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 927 $1,050 $1.13 2d 1 0.87mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    status $160,000 Pending 67 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $160,000 Active 67 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $160,000 Active 66 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 65 DOM
  5. 2026-03-26
    listed $160,000 Active
  6. 2025-05-16
    soldstatus $78,000
  7. 2025-01-01
    historical 236-char remark
    Show marketing remark (236 chars)

    This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom single-family residence offers 1,112 sq. ft. of potential in a prime location. Built in 1922 and sitting on a 5,546 sq. ft. lot, this property provides solid structure for renovation or value-add enhancements.

  8. 2024-11-08
    price $99,000 236-char remark
    Show marketing remark (236 chars)

    This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom single-family residence offers 1,112 sq. ft. of potential in a prime location. Built in 1922 and sitting on a 5,546 sq. ft. lot, this property provides solid structure for renovation or value-add enhancements.

  9. 2024-11-05
    listed $105,000 Active 236-char remark
    Show marketing remark (236 chars)

    This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom single-family residence offers 1,112 sq. ft. of potential in a prime location. Built in 1922 and sitting on a 5,546 sq. ft. lot, this property provides solid structure for renovation or value-add enhancements.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,221 · $102/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,328 · $111/mo
Expected delta
+$107/yr (+$9/mo · 8.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,794
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$1,221
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,344
− Management
−$1,344
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable loss
−$1,531
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$367
After-tax cash flow
$1,545/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
13,927
Household income
$34,953
Rent vs Own
50.2% rent · 49.8% own
Severe rent burden
882.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 60% White 28% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Hispanic 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.41%
Current HPI
282.2981
Rent YoY
▲ 1.70%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+52.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $160,000 realMLS
  • 2025-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
  • 2025-01-01 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2024-11-08 Price Changed $99,000 realMLS
  • 2024-11-05 Listed $105,000 realMLS

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,221 · +22.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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