8324 E Stevens Dr · Prescott Valley, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +4.9/30.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$490,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent investment or owner-occupant opportunity. This well maintained duplex offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bath per side. Each side has been nicely updated. Unit 1 features a remodeled bathroom and kitchen. Unit 2 includes a remodeled bathroom. Have peace of mind with a new roof! Both units have new water heaters, flooring, fenced backyards, and attached storage room. Each unit comes fully equipped with all appliances including new refrigerators, washer, dryer, ceiling fans throughout and plenty of parking. Tenants pay their own utilities. Conveniently located in a nice neighborhood, close to schools and shopping. Units have great rental history.
Key facts
- Remodeled bathroom
- Fenced backyards
- Remodeled kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $490k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-14k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $283k (42.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (55.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $218k (55.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#126 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Humboldt Unified District (4469) (suburban): math 31% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #94 of 249 in AZ (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Liberty Traditional School (math 56% / reading 53%, grade C, #208 of 1,109 statewide, top 19%, 785 students, 39% FRL); Bradshaw Mountain Middle School (math 24% / reading 39%, grade F, #78 of 218 statewide, top 36%, 280 students, 55% FRL); Bradshaw Mountain High School (math 15% / reading 26%, grade F, #222 of 381 statewide, top 59%, 1,697 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools at 45% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 455 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,062 units permitted in Yavapai County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yavapai County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 236 days — a 12% lower offer ($431k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $397k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 236 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 55% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.45% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- -10.24%
- DSCR
- 0.54
- GRM
- 18.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -36.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.16×
- Total profit
- $-158,583
- Equity at exit
- $73,061
- IRR
- -63.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.84×
- Total profit
- $-252,388
- Equity at exit
- $42,366
Cash invested: $137,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 86314
- Home prices YoY
- -32.3%
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 455
- Price-to-rent
- 18.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,183 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,570
- Tax from tax record
- −$121 /mo · $1,454/yr
- Insurance
- −$204
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$458
- Net cashflow
- $-1,170
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-893 | -5% $-1,032 | +0% $-1,170 | +5% $-1,309 | +10% $-1,448 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,343 | -5% $-1,257 | +0% $-1,170 | +5% $-1,084 | +10% $-998 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-924 | -0.5pp $-1,046 | base $-1,170 | +0.5pp $-1,297 | +1.0pp $-1,427 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $122,500
- Closing costs
- $14,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3850 E Teri Ct #1 Prescott Valley, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $2,000 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 8503 E Leigh Dr Unit 3 Prescott Valley, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1414 | $2,195 | $1.55 | 45d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 8320 E Sommer Dr Prescott Valley, AZ | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1596 | $2,100 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 8411 E Sommer Dr Prescott Valley, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,900 | $1.52 | 23d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 4348 N Sauter Dr W Prescott Valley, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,100 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 3830 N Windsong Dr Prescott Valley, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1097 | $2,468 | $2.25 | 15d | 22 | 0.55mi |
| 4483 N Miner Rd Unit 2 Prescott Valley, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1245 | $1,845 | $1.48 | 15d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 7559 E Cocopah Dr Prescott Valley, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1594 | $2,100 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3172 N Truwood Dr Unit D Prescott Valley, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1335 | $1,525 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 4050 N Gelding Dr Prescott Valley, AZ | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1854 | $2,350 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3901 N Main St Prescott Valley, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 978 | $2,195 | $2.24 | 15d | 16 | 1.17mi |
| 4734 N Ocotillo Dr Unit 1 Prescott Valley, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,915 | $1.53 | 15d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 4321 N Lone Cactus Dr Prescott Valley, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1492 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $490,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $490,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $490,000 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $490,000 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $490,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $490,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $490,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $490,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $490,000 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $490,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $490,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $490,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $490,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $490,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $490,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-01-07status Active 658-char remark
Show marketing remark (658 chars)
Excellent investment or owner-occupant opportunity. This well maintained duplex offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bath per side. Each side has been nicely updated. Unit 1 features a remodeled bathroom and kitchen. Unit 2 includes a remodeled bathroom. Have peace of mind with a new roof! Both units have new water heaters, flooring, fenced backyards, and attached storage room. Each unit comes fully equipped with all appliances including new refrigerators, washer, dryer, ceiling fans throughout and plenty of parking. Tenants pay their own utilities. Conveniently located in a nice neighborhood, close to schools and shopping. Units have great rental history.
-
2025-12-19status Active 643-char remark
Show marketing remark (643 chars)
Excellent investment or owner-occupant opportunity. This well maintained duplex offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bath per side. Each side has been nicely updated. Unit 1 features a remodeled bathroom and kitchen. Unit 2 includes a remodeled bathroom. Have peace of mind with a new roof! Both units have new water heaters, flooring, fenced backyards, and attached storage room. Each unit comes fully equipped with all appliances including new refrigerators, ceiling fans throughout and plenty of parking. Tenants pay their own utilities. Conveniently located in a nice neighborhood, close to schools and shopping. Units have great rental history.
-
2025-12-15historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 643-char remark
Show marketing remark (658 chars)
Excellent investment or owner-occupant opportunity. This well maintained duplex offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bath per side. Each side has been nicely updated. Unit 1 features a remodeled bathroom and kitchen. Unit 2 includes a remodeled bathroom. Have peace of mind with a new roof! Both units have new water heaters, flooring, fenced backyards, and attached storage room. Each unit comes fully equipped with all appliances including new refrigerators, washer, dryer, ceiling fans throughout and plenty of parking. Tenants pay their own utilities. Conveniently located in a nice neighborhood, close to schools and shopping. Units have great rental history.
-
2025-12-15historical Active Under Contract 658-char remark
Show marketing remark (658 chars)
Excellent investment or owner-occupant opportunity. This well maintained duplex offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bath per side. Each side has been nicely updated. Unit 1 features a remodeled bathroom and kitchen. Unit 2 includes a remodeled bathroom. Have peace of mind with a new roof! Both units have new water heaters, flooring, fenced backyards, and attached storage room. Each unit comes fully equipped with all appliances including new refrigerators, washer, dryer, ceiling fans throughout and plenty of parking. Tenants pay their own utilities. Conveniently located in a nice neighborhood, close to schools and shopping. Units have great rental history.
-
2025-10-28$490,000 Active 658-char remark
Show marketing remark (643 chars)
Excellent investment or owner-occupant opportunity. This well maintained duplex offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bath per side. Each side has been nicely updated. Unit 1 features a remodeled bathroom and kitchen. Unit 2 includes a remodeled bathroom. Have peace of mind with a new roof! Both units have new water heaters, flooring, fenced backyards, and attached storage room. Each unit comes fully equipped with all appliances including new refrigerators, ceiling fans throughout and plenty of parking. Tenants pay their own utilities. Conveniently located in a nice neighborhood, close to schools and shopping. Units have great rental history.
-
2025-10-28$490,000 Active 643-char remark
Show marketing remark (643 chars)
Excellent investment or owner-occupant opportunity. This well maintained duplex offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bath per side. Each side has been nicely updated. Unit 1 features a remodeled bathroom and kitchen. Unit 2 includes a remodeled bathroom. Have peace of mind with a new roof! Both units have new water heaters, flooring, fenced backyards, and attached storage room. Each unit comes fully equipped with all appliances including new refrigerators, ceiling fans throughout and plenty of parking. Tenants pay their own utilities. Conveniently located in a nice neighborhood, close to schools and shopping. Units have great rental history.
-
2024-05-30soldstatus $396,960 Closed
-
2024-05-30soldstatus $396,960
-
2024-04-26status Pending
-
2024-04-15$389,000 Active
-
2012-07-02soldstatus $115,000
-
2012-06-29soldstatus $115,000
-
2000-07-03soldstatus $79,900
-
2000-07-03soldstatus $79,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,454 · $121/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,234 · $270/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,780/yr (+$148/mo · 122.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,196
- − Mortgage interest
- −$27,448
- − Property taxes
- −$1,454
- − Insurance
- −$2,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,096
- − Management
- −$2,096
- − Depreciation
- −$14,255
- Taxable loss
- −$23,602
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,664
- After-tax cash flow
- $-8,380/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Humboldt Unified District (4469)
- NCES district ID
- 0403870
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,326
- Composite
- 29.06/100
- National rank
- #6605
- State rank
- #94 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Prescott Valley
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #126
- US rank
- #16160
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Prescott Valley, AZ
- County
- Yavapai County · 190,406 people
- City population
- 63,155
- Metro
- Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,317
- Household income
- $69,208
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1236.0
Population outlook (Yavapai County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 241,389 people
- By 2030
- 249,523 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 259,966 · +7.7%
- By 2050
- 264,736 · +9.7%
- By 2075
- 269,334 · +11.6%
- By 2100
- 256,505 · +6.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 15% Asian 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 15%
Political lean MEDSL · Yavapai
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.6% · R 66.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.5pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -33.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.9 2020: R+29.3 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+30.7 2008: R+24.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -176.27%
- Current HPI
- 370.04
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.97%
- Metro
- Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
||
Price history
+513.3% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-07 Relisted — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-19 Relisted — ARMLS
- 2025-12-15 Contingent — ARMLS
- 2025-12-15 Contingent — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-28 Listed $490,000 ARMLS
- 2025-10-28 Listed $490,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-30 Sold (Public Records) $396,960 Public Records
- 2024-05-30 Sold (MLS) $396,960 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-26 Pending — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-15 Listed $389,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-07-02 Sold (MLS) $115,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2000-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records
- 2000-07-03 Sold (MLS) $79,900 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,454 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…