🏷️ Likely Rental
2903 NE 163rd St · North Miami Beach, FL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
$267,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Luxury remodeled condo near Sunny Isles Beach. Immediate rental allowed. Fully remodeled apartment with luxury finishes. Prime location just 1 mile from Sunny Isles Beach. River view and directly across from Oleta River Park. Open concept kitchen with new appliances and frigo. Pool, gym, and parking. Boat dock available for rent. Close to restaurants, supermarkets, shopping, and theater Perfect for living or investment.
Key facts
- Boat dock available
- Open concept kitchen
- River view
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $267k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $68 ($821/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $267k).
- Recommended offer: $263k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.5% in North Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#71 in FL, #1,177 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Ojus Elementary School (math 56% / reading 59%, grade C+, #764 of 2,144 statewide, top 36%, 776 students, 63% FRL); Highland Oaks Middle School (math 28% / reading 51%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 774 students, 50% FRL); Alonzo & Tracy Mourning Senior High School (math 38% / reading 50%, grade F, #244 of 667 statewide, top 37%, 1,597 students, 48% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 2334 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,962/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 17% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($263k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.94%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $347,000
- List price
- $267,000
- Delta
- -23.05%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 16 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2841 NE 163rd St #704 | 0.04mi | 1/1.5 | 790 (-0%) | 1mo | $197,000 | $249 | 95 |
| 2903 N Miami Beach Blvd #1006 | 0.73mi | 1/1.5 | 792 (0%) | 0mo | $165,000 | $208 | 64 |
| 3551 NE 169th St Unit 110-A | 0.71mi | 1/1.0 | 812 (+2%) | 0mo | $184,000 | $227 | 58 |
| 17011 N Bay Rd #117 | 1.12mi | 1/1.5 | 767 (-3%) | 0mo | $190,000 | $248 | 57 |
| 500 Bayview Dr #325 | 0.99mi | 1/1.5 | 762 (-4%) | 0mo | $225,000 | $295 | 56 |
| 2999 Point East Dr Unit C-502 | 1.02mi | 1/1.0 | 816 (+3%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $221 | 55 |
| 16385 Biscayne Blvd #2920 | 0.54mi | 1/2.0 | 937 (+18%) | 1mo | $515,000 | $550 | 49 |
| 16950 W Dixie Hwy Unit A-529 | 0.86mi | 1/1.0 | 728 (-8%) | 0mo | $109,000 | $150 | 47 |
| 16950 W Dixie Hwy Unit A226 | 0.86mi | 1/1.0 | 720 (-9%) | 0mo | $101,000 | $140 | 46 |
| 400 Kings Point Dr #229 | 0.97mi | 1/1.0 | 720 (-9%) | 0mo | $195,000 | $271 | 46 |
| 17150 N Bay Rd #2319 | 1.18mi | 1/1.0 | 673 (-15%) | 0mo | $285,000 | $423 | 36 |
| 3944 NE 167th St #106 | 0.77mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 970 (+22%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $196 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.53% appreciation · 0.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-2,482
- Equity at exit
- $84,637
- IRR
- 2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $23,757
- Equity at exit
- $107,600
Cash invested: $74,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 1 active
- Median asking
- $1,950 ($3/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 1 d
- This list price
- 100% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +17155.6% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33160
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 2334
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,962 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,400
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$334 /mo · $4,005/yr
- Insurance
- −$111
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$622
- Net cashflow
- $68
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $253 | -5% $161 | +0% $68 | +5% $-24 | +10% $-116 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-166 | -5% $-49 | +0% $68 | +5% $185 | +10% $302 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $203 | -0.5pp $136 | base $68 | +0.5pp $-1 | +1.0pp $-71 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,750
- Closing costs
- $8,010
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $267,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $267,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $267,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $267,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $267,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $267,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $267,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $267,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $267,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $267,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $267,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $267,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $267,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $267,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-23$267,000 Active
-
2021-06-02historical
-
2021-04-23$230,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,546
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,956
- − Property taxes
- −$4,005
- − Insurance
- −$6,454
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,844
- − Management
- −$2,844
- − Depreciation
- −$7,767
- Taxable loss
- −$3,323
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$798
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,618/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This remodeled condo is in good condition with a modern kitchen and well-maintained exterior. Landscaping improvements and fresh paint could further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Painting exterior — Fresh paint can improve curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Improves curb appeal and adds value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Miami Beach
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #71
- US rank
- #1177
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Miami Beach, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 3,126,439 people
- City population
- 90,324
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,718
- Household income
- $67,040
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 17% of renters
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% White 44% Two or more races 27% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 8% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 4%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 8% Hispanic 3% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 61% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 29% English-only · Spanish 45% Russian/Polish/Slavic 12% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.53%
- Current HPI
- 284.9293
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.94%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2021-06-02 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2021-04-23 Listed $230,000 MARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…