Triplex
309/311 2nd St S · Virginia, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Check out this triplex located in the heart of downtown Virginia. It comprises three apartments: an upper one-bedroom, one-bathroom unit, a lower one-bedroom, one-bathroom unit, and a two-level, two-bedroom, three-quarter-bathroom unit. There’s a parking areas in the back and also on the street. The rental units are licensed with the city of Virginia.
Key facts
- 6,000 sq ft lot
- Built 1910
- Listed 241 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential income property; Triplex
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Asphalt shingle roof
Interior
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 4-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($31k/yr) — positive. Per door: $848/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 32.9% vs local median 7.5% in Virginia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#664 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D, health & safety D.
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,319/mo this rent would consume 96% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 286% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 242 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $66k; list at $115k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 242 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.76% ✓
- Cap rate
- 32.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 94.88%
- DSCR
- 5.22
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $53,280
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 307 2nd St S | 0.01mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,318 (-13%) | 6mo | $46,050 | $20 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 95.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.46×
- Total profit
- $143,505
- Equity at exit
- $17,132
- IRR
- 98.5%
- Equity multiple
- 11.38×
- Total profit
- $334,029
- Equity at exit
- $9,934
Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55792
- Home prices YoY
- -26.5%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,319 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$218 /mo · $2,614/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$907
- Net cashflow
- $2,544
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 4 | 3 | $4,320 |
| #1 | 4 | 3 | $1,440 |
| #2 | 4 | 3 | $1,440 |
| #3 | 4 | 3 | $1,440 |
| Total (3 units) | $4,319 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,725
- Closing costs
- $3,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $114,900 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $114,900 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $114,900 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $114,900 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $114,900 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $114,900 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $114,900 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $114,900 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $114,900 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $114,900 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $114,900 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $114,900 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $114,900 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $114,900 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $114,900 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $114,900 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $114,900 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-04-20price $114,900
-
2026-03-30price $119,900
-
2025-10-21$130,000 Active
-
2025-09-21historical
-
2025-03-20$135,000 Active
-
2019-12-04soldstatus $66,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,614 · $218/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,614 · $218/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $51,828
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,436
- − Property taxes
- −$2,614
- − Insurance
- −$574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,146
- − Management
- −$4,146
- − Depreciation
- −$3,343
- Taxable income
- $30,568
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$7,336
- After-tax cash flow
- $23,189/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Virginia
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #664
- US rank
- #15991
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Virginia, MN
- County
- Saint Louis County · 115,152 people
- City population
- 9,663
- Metro
- Duluth, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,663
- Household income
- $53,750
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 286.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,411 people
- By 2030
- 203,234 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,520 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 200,853 · -0.8%
- By 2075
- 200,943 · -0.7%
- By 2100
- 192,058 · -5.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 4% Native American 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 12% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.05%
- Current HPI
- 199.7165
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Duluth, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
||
Price history
+74.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $114,900 RAOR
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $119,900 RAOR
- 2025-10-21 Listed $130,000 RAOR
- 2025-09-21 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-20 Listed $135,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,614 · +12.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…