19700 Binder St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$42,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great performing investment property. 2 bedroom 1 bath home on the first block south of Outer Drive west of Ryan. New HWT. Currently tenant occupied.
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1940
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $42k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $551 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $42k).
- Recommended offer: $39k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.9% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $294 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 14 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 55.57%
- DSCR
- 3.47
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $52,766
- List price
- $42,500
- Delta
- -19.46%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19942 Binder St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 696 (+0%) | 5mo | $70,000 | $101 | 85 |
| 19255 Binder St | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 719 (+4%) | 3mo | $38,500 | $54 | 78 |
| 19667 Sunset St | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 752 (+8%) | 4mo | $28,500 | $38 | 69 |
| 20499 Binder St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 712 (+2%) | 6mo | $72,100 | $101 | 63 |
| 19676 Conley St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+4%) | 9mo | $50,000 | $69 | 58 |
| 20006 Anglin St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 726 (+4%) | 12mo | $55,000 | $76 | 56 |
| 19226 Eureka St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 731 (+5%) | 20mo | $15,000 | $21 | 54 |
| 19200 Shields St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 742 (+7%) | 15mo | $64,500 | $87 | 52 |
| 20270 Dean Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 792 (+14%) | 7mo | $55,000 | $69 | 48 |
| 19623 Goddard St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-3%) | 16mo | $17,000 | $25 | 47 |
| 18640 Wexford St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 798 (+15%) | 19mo | $36,000 | $45 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 58.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.76×
- Total profit
- $32,807
- Equity at exit
- $6,337
- IRR
- 64.7%
- Equity multiple
- 8.91×
- Total profit
- $94,103
- Equity at exit
- $3,675
Cash invested: $11,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48234
- Home prices YoY
- -11.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 226
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,167 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$223
- Tax from tax record
- −$130 /mo · $1,564/yr
- Insurance
- −$18
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $551
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,625
- Closing costs
- $1,275
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18662 Sunset St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $1,250 | $1.72 | 18d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 18475 Wexford St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $950 | $1.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 21155 Warner Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $1,029 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 21516 Dequindre Rd Warren, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 837 | $1,375 | $1.64 | 22d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 44 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $42,500 Active 120 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $42,500 Active 119 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $42,500 Active 117 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $42,500 Active 115 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $42,500 Active 114 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $42,500 Active 111 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $42,500 Active 110 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $42,500 Active 109 DOM
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2026-06-04pricedays on market $42,500 Active 106 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $47,500 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $47,500 Active 103 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $47,500 Active 102 DOM
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2026-04-30price $47,500 149-char remark
Show marketing remark (149 chars)
Great performing investment property. 2 bedroom 1 bath home on the first block south of Outer Drive west of Ryan. New HWT. Currently tenant occupied.
-
2026-04-29price $47,500 149-char remark
Show marketing remark (149 chars)
Great performing investment property. 2 bedroom 1 bath home on the first block south of Outer Drive west of Ryan. New HWT. Currently tenant occupied.
-
2026-02-18$49,900 Active 149-char remark
Show marketing remark (149 chars)
Great performing investment property. 2 bedroom 1 bath home on the first block south of Outer Drive west of Ryan. New HWT. Currently tenant occupied.
-
2026-02-18$49,900 Active 149-char remark
Show marketing remark (149 chars)
Great performing investment property. 2 bedroom 1 bath home on the first block south of Outer Drive west of Ryan. New HWT. Currently tenant occupied.
-
2026-02-17historical
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2026-02-17historical
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2025-11-19$49,900 Active
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2025-11-19$49,900 Active
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2025-11-06historical
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2025-11-06historical
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2025-07-22price $45,000
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2025-07-22price $45,000
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2025-05-19$49,900 Active
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2025-05-19$49,900 Active
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2025-02-03historical
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2025-02-03historical
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2024-08-06$49,900 Active
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2024-08-06$49,900 Active
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2024-05-09historical
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2024-05-09historical
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2024-03-21$49,900 Active
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2024-03-21$49,900 Active
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2022-10-31historical
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2022-10-31historical
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2022-09-17price $54,000
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2022-09-16price $54,000
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2022-07-22$59,900 Active
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2022-07-22$59,900 Active
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2007-04-11historical
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2007-04-11historical
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2006-08-31$10,500
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2006-08-31$10,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,564 · $130/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,564 · $130/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,005
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,381
- − Property taxes
- −$1,564
- − Insurance
- −$212
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,120
- − Management
- −$1,120
- − Depreciation
- −$1,236
- Taxable income
- $6,371
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,529
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,084/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,760
- Household income
- $35,322
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2372.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.65%
- Current HPI
- 328.8978
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.72%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+352.4% since first listed32 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $47,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $47,500 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-18 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-18 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-17 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-17 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-11-19 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-11-19 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-06 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-11-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-07-22 Price Changed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-07-22 Price Changed $45,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-05-19 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-05-19 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-02-03 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-02-03 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-08-06 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
- 2024-08-06 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-05-09 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-05-09 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-03-21 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-03-21 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
- 2022-10-31 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-10-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2022-09-17 Price Changed $54,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-09-16 Price Changed $54,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-07-22 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-07-22 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
- 2007-04-11 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-04-11 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-08-31 Listed $10,500 REALCOMP
- 2006-08-31 Listed $10,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,564 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…