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1422 Leith St
B- Composite 67.3
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$45,000

1422 Leith St · Flint, MI 48506
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 805 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 62 Days on market
Built 1920 4,356 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Unlock great potential in this corner-lot home perfect for investors wanting to add to their portfolio or first-time buyers! Offering 2 bedrooms with the option to create a 3rd, this property includes a full bathroom on the main level plus a second bathroom in the basement featuring a stand-up shower, sink, and toilet. The layout offers generous living spaces and flexibility to finish the basement for additional usable square footage. Add your personal touches and build equity-don't let this opportunity pass you by! Seller is filling out seller disclosure now. I will get that uploaded ASAP.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1920

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps; Residential property
  • Construction: Asphalt construction materials; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Built on one level
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 4 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Electric and gas water heaters; Free-standing refrigerator; Full unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Water heaters (electric and natural gas)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $437 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($931 rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $42k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.0% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 202 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $42,300 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.07%
Cap rate
17.95%
Cash-on-cash
41.64%
DSCR
2.85
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$28,980
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1622 New York Ave 0.34mi 3/1.0 (+1) 839 (+4%) 6mo $34,500 $41 68
1805 Arizona Ave 0.43mi 2/1.0 760 (-6%) 12mo $23,000 $30 60
1526 Wyoming Ave 0.18mi 3/1.0 (+1) 728 (-10%) 14mo $8,000 $11 59
1421 Jane Ave 0.37mi 3/1.0 (+1) 768 (-5%) 14mo $24,000 $31 58
1716 Colorado Ave 0.33mi 2/1.0 864 (+7%) 20mo $31,000 $36 56
1700 Delaware Ave 0.36mi 2/1.0 864 (+7%) 20mo $15,000 $17 54
1620 Mabel Ave 0.48mi 3/1.5 (+1) 816 (+1%) 18mo $26,500 $32 53
2426 Maryland Ave 0.74mi 2/1.0 712 (-12%) 2mo $36,000 $51 44
2321 Oklahoma Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 868 (+8%) 12mo $33,000 $38 41
1635 E Hamilton Ave 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 912 (+13%) 10mo $42,000 $46 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.2%
Equity multiple
2.63×
Total profit
$20,559
Equity at exit
$6,710
10-year hold
IRR
44.7%
Equity multiple
5.27×
Total profit
$53,782
Equity at exit
$3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48506

Active inventory
202
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$931 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $523/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$196
Net cashflow
$437

Break-even live

Break-even rent $378
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $463 -5% $450 +0% $437 +5% $424 +10% $412
Rent -10% $364 -5% $400 +0% $437 +5% $474 +10% $511
Rate -1.0pp $460 -0.5pp $449 base $437 +0.5pp $426 +1.0pp $414

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1553 Illinois Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 702 $900 $1.28 21d 1 0.80mi
1605 Kearsley Park Blvd Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 875 $975 $1.11 14d 1 0.93mi
2621 Churchill Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 736 $795 $1.08 14d 1 1.08mi
3618 Branch Rd Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $950 $1.00 14d 1 1.25mi
3901 N Averill Apt #307 Ave heuristic Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $975 $1.15 7d 1 1.48mi
2311 N Averill Ave Unit Main Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 14d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $45,000 Active 62 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $45,000 Active 61 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $45,000 Active 60 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $45,000 Active 59 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $45,000 Active 57 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $45,000 Active 56 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $45,000 Active 54 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $45,000 Active 53 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 51 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $45,000 Active 48 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $45,000 Active 47 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 46 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 45 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 44 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $45,000 Active 43 DOM
  17. 2026-05-16
    status Active
  18. 2026-05-16
    historical
  19. 2026-04-17
    listed $45,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (597 chars)

    Unlock great potential in this corner-lot home perfect for investors wanting to add to their portfolio or first-time buyers! Offering 2 bedrooms with the option to create a 3rd, this property includes a full bathroom on the main level plus a second bathroom in the basement featuring a stand-up shower, sink, and toilet. The layout offers generous living spaces and flexibility to finish the basement for additional usable square footage. Add your personal touches and build equity-don't let this opportunity pass you by! Seller is filling out seller disclosure now. I will get that uploaded ASAP.

  20. 2026-04-17
    listed $45,000 Active 597-char remark
    Show marketing remark (597 chars)

    Unlock great potential in this corner-lot home perfect for investors wanting to add to their portfolio or first-time buyers! Offering 2 bedrooms with the option to create a 3rd, this property includes a full bathroom on the main level plus a second bathroom in the basement featuring a stand-up shower, sink, and toilet. The layout offers generous living spaces and flexibility to finish the basement for additional usable square footage. Add your personal touches and build equity-don't let this opportunity pass you by! Seller is filling out seller disclosure now. I will get that uploaded ASAP.

  21. 2026-04-11
    historical
  22. 2026-04-11
    historical
  23. 2025-12-08
    listed $45,000 Active
  24. 2025-12-07
    listed $45,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$523 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$608 · $51/mo
Expected delta
+$85/yr (+$7/mo · 16.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,173
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$523
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$894
− Management
−$894
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$4,807
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,154
After-tax cash flow
$4,093/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
24,712
Household income
$47,929
Rent vs Own
31.4% rent · 68.6% own
Severe rent burden
954.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -173.31%
Current HPI
90.0494
Rent YoY
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-16 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-11 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-11 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-08 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-07 Listed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $523 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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