Duplex
1478 Temple Cir · Cherry Valley, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.3/30.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Well-maintained ranch-style duplex in a prime location! This property features two units with identical floor plan units, each offering a living room with a brick fireplace, spacious eat-in kitchen, two bedrooms, full bathroom, one car attached garage, with a separate basements with laundry and separate utilities. A shared deck overlooks the tree-lined yard and landscaping. Recent updates include a new furnace and AC in 2025 for Unit 1480, a new furnace in 2024 for Unit 1478, roof replacement in 2015, and a new driveway in 2025. Fantastic central location just minutes from I-90, downtown Cherry Valley, shopping, schools, and more. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a turnkey duplex in a well established neighborhood! Property is being sold “as is. ”
Key facts
- Recent updates
- Ranch-style duplex
- Brick fireplace
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Two units in the building; Each unit listed with tenant-paid electric and gas; Unit rents shown: $800 and $835; Each unit includes garage/space; Units offer 4 rooms with 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath each
- Financial info: No special service area; Insurance expense: $698
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 garage space total); 1 parking space
- Utilities: Well water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-to-four unit property; Fee simple ownership; 80 x 140 x 80 x 140 lot dimensions
- Construction: Vinyl siding and brick exterior; Built approximately 41–50 years ago
- Exterior features: School bus service; Interstate access
Interior
- Kitchen: Stove; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (two 2-bedroom units)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (one in each unit)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heat; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 8 total rooms; Unfinished full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry hook-up in each unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $521 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $261/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $260k).
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 2.7% in Cherry Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#273 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
- Rockford SD 205 (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #533 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.1%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 285 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,052/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($64k/yr) (locally 1199% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Winnebago County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $128k; list at $260k implies a 103% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.59%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $7,306
- Equity at exit
- $38,752
- IRR
- 16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $122,928
- Equity at exit
- $22,471
Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61108
- Home prices YoY
- -29.2%
- Rents YoY
- 8.1%
- Active inventory
- 114
- Price-to-rent
- 14.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,052 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$419 /mo · $5,025/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$641
- Net cashflow
- $521
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $668 | -5% $595 | +0% $521 | +5% $448 | +10% $374 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $280 | -5% $401 | +0% $521 | +5% $642 | +10% $762 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $652 | -0.5pp $587 | base $521 | +0.5pp $454 | +1.0pp $385 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $3,052 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,526 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,526 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,052 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,975
- Closing costs
- $7,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-25$259,900 Active 777-char remark
Show marketing remark (777 chars)
Well-maintained ranch-style duplex in a prime location! This property features two units with identical floor plan units, each offering a living room with a brick fireplace, spacious eat-in kitchen, two bedrooms, full bathroom, one car attached garage, with a separate basements with laundry and separate utilities. A shared deck overlooks the tree-lined yard and landscaping. Recent updates include a new furnace and AC in 2025 for Unit 1480, a new furnace in 2024 for Unit 1478, roof replacement in 2015, and a new driveway in 2025. Fantastic central location just minutes from I-90, downtown Cherry Valley, shopping, schools, and more. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a turnkey duplex in a well established neighborhood! Property is being sold “as is. ”
-
2026-05-25$259,900 Active
Show marketing remark (777 chars)
Well-maintained ranch-style duplex in a prime location! This property features two units with identical floor plan units, each offering a living room with a brick fireplace, spacious eat-in kitchen, two bedrooms, full bathroom, one car attached garage, with a separate basements with laundry and separate utilities. A shared deck overlooks the tree-lined yard and landscaping. Recent updates include a new furnace and AC in 2025 for Unit 1480, a new furnace in 2024 for Unit 1478, roof replacement in 2015, and a new driveway in 2025. Fantastic central location just minutes from I-90, downtown Cherry Valley, shopping, schools, and more. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a turnkey duplex in a well established neighborhood! Property is being sold “as is. ”
-
1992-02-04soldstatus $128,000
-
1992-02-04soldstatus $128,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,025 · $419/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,462 · $455/mo
- Expected delta
- +$437/yr (+$36/mo · 8.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,624
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,558
- − Property taxes
- −$5,025
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,930
- − Management
- −$2,930
- − Depreciation
- −$7,561
- Taxable income
- $2,320
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$557
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,696/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rockford SD 205
- NCES district ID
- 1734510
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,533
- Composite
- 12.21/100
- National rank
- #9649
- State rank
- #533 of 620 in IL
Livability — Cherry Valley
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #273
- US rank
- #5199
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Winnebago County · 147,297 people
- City population
- 116
- Metro
- Rockford, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,355
- Household income
- $64,415
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1199.0
Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 271,080 people
- By 2030
- 260,684 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 238,405 · -12.1%
- By 2050
- 216,129 · -20.3%
- By 2075
- 172,882 · -36.2%
- By 2100
- 135,336 · -50.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 11% Two or more races 10% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Portuguese 3% Arab 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Philippines, China
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 16% Arabic 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.8pp · 2024: 0.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.6 2020: D+2.5 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+5.7 2008: D+12.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.38%
- Current HPI
- 218.6339
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.11%
- Metro
- Rockford, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+103.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Listed $259,900 NWIAR
- 2026-05-25 Listed $259,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1992-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $128,000 Public Records
- 1992-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $128,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2024): $5,025 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…