3800 Magnolia St · Texarkana, TX 75503

$129,900

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,485 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 33 Days on market

Built 1981 0.30 ac lot Est $140k · 7% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +23.1/30.0
• ARV discount +10.6/15.0
• DSCR +7.4/10.0
• 1% rule +5.9/10.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Schools +3.2/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Green house with stained shutters and a shop behind the house matching the color of the home

Key facts

• 0.3 acre lot
• Built 1981
• Listed 33 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $234 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
• Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.3% in Texarkana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 77/100 on livability (#93 in TX, #3,241 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, crime D, employment D.
• Texarkana ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #472 of 826 in TX (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Highland Park El (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,333 of 4,322 statewide, top 80%, 364 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 64% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 22% at this address vs 38% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Texarkana ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: 298 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 137 units permitted in Bowie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $126,003 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.09% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.45%
• Cash-on-cash: 7.72%
• DSCR: 1.34
• GRM: 7.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $139,590
• Comps found: 3

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
406 E 36th St	0.39mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,504 (+1%)	22mo	$167,000	$111	57
3416 Moore Dr	0.64mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,478 (-0%)	10mo	$114,900	$78	56
3303 Rice St	0.42mi	3/1.0 (-1)	1,328 (-11%)	24mo	$125,000	$94	34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -4.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.83×
• Total profit: $-6,143
• Equity at exit: $19,369

10-year hold

• IRR: 5.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.38×
• Total profit: $13,875
• Equity at exit: $11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 75503

• Home prices YoY: -21.0%
• Active inventory: 298
• Price-to-rent: 7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,411 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$681
• Tax from tax record: −$145 /mo · $1,744/yr
• Insurance: −$54
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$296
• Net cashflow: $234

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,115

Max offer price $129,900

Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $32,475
• Closing costs: $3,897
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 6 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3801 Magnolia St Unit MG01 Texarkana, TX	3.0	1.5	1200	$1,000	$0.83	44d	1	0.03mi
3302 Anthony Dr Texarkana, TX	3.0	2.0	1726	$850	$0.49	44d	1	0.68mi
3514 Sabine Ave Texarkana, TX	4.0	2.0	1600	$1,845	$1.15	44d	1	0.78mi
2101 Pecan St Texarkana, AR	3.0	1.0	1453	$1,125	$0.77	44d	1	0.85mi
1504 Colorado St Texarkana, TX	3.0	2.0	1298	$1,595	$1.23	44d	1	1.03mi
2400 Brookridge Dr Texarkana, AR	2.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1000	$1,095	$1.09	44d	3	1.41mi

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-04-22
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-17
   soldstatus
3. 2026-03-20
   listed $129,900 Active
4. 2025-10-06
   soldstatus
5. 2025-10-06
   soldstatus
6. 1995-12-13
   soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,744 · $145/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,377 · $198/mo
• Expected delta: +$634/yr (+$53/mo · 36.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,929
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,276
• − Property taxes: −$1,744
• − Insurance: −$650
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,354
• − Management: −$1,354
• − Depreciation: −$3,779
• Taxable income: $772
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$185
• After-tax cash flow: $2,621/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Texarkana ISD
• NCES district ID: 4842480
• Math proficiency: 36% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 41% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $35,692
• Composite: 31.87/100
• National rank: #5867
• State rank: #472 of 826 in TX

Livability — Texarkana

• Score: 77/100
• State rank: #93
• US rank: #3241

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute C Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Texarkana, TX
• County: Bowie County · 61,238 people
• City population: 61,238
• Metro: Texarkana, TX-AR
• Population (ZIP): 26,372
• Household income: $72,159
• Rent vs Own: 38.0% rent · 62.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 773.0

Population outlook (Bowie County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 94,699 people
• By 2030: 94,824 · +0.1%
• By 2040: 94,870 · +0.2%
• By 2050: 93,686 · -1.1%
• By 2075: 90,082 · -4.9%
• By 2100: 76,579 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (63%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 63% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 6%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bowie

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+48.7) · D 25.3% · R 74.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -10.8pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -48.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+48.7 2020: R+42.8 2016: R+46.6 2012: R+41.5 2008: R+37.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -48.09%
• Current HPI: 181.3052
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Texarkana, TX-AR
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-22 Pending — NTREIS
• 2026-04-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2026-03-20 Listed $129,900 NTREIS
• 2025-10-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2025-10-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1995-12-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,744 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.