27 Evergreen Dr Unit E27 · Belton, MO 64012

$68,800

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured · 58 Days on market

Built 2026 Good condition

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +3.8/5.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Schools +3.0/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as a basketball court, a library, and a clubhouse. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

Key facts

• Clubhouse
• Basketball court
• Library

Tags

• PREMIUM ENTRY DOORS
• MODERN BATHROOM
• NEW BRAND NAME APPLIANCES
• BASKETBALL COURT
• LIBRARY
• CLUBHOUSE

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Listing status: Active
• Financial info: List price $68,300

Exterior

• Utilities: Natural gas heating available; Central air conditioning available
• Home design: Spec new-construction plan 92442; Address: 27 Evergreen Dr Unit E27, Belton, MO 64012
• Exterior features: Living area 1216

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: 2 total bathrooms

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $69k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $69k).
• Recommended offer: $67k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 24.5% vs local median 4.7% in Belton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#52 in MO, #3,782 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, commute F.
• Belton 124 (suburban): math 28% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #216 of 324 in MO (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 204 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 588 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $476 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Cass County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $66,736 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.80% ✓
• Cap rate: 24.52%
• Cash-on-cash: 65.08%
• DSCR: 3.90
• GRM: 3.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 66.7%
• Equity multiple: 4.10×
• Total profit: $59,713
• Equity at exit: $10,258

10-year hold

• IRR: 71.6%
• Equity multiple: 9.11×
• Total profit: $156,209
• Equity at exit: $5,949

Cash invested: $19,264 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 64012

• Rents YoY: 5.2%
• Active inventory: 204
• Price-to-rent: 3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,924 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$361
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$86 /mo · $1,032/yr
• Insurance: −$29
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$404
• Net cashflow: $1,045

Break-even live

Break-even rent $602

Max offer price $68,800

Occupancy floor 41%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $1,092	-5% $1,069	+0% $1,045	+5% $1,021	+10% $997
Rent	-10% $893	-5% $969	+0% $1,045	+5% $1,121	+10% $1,197
Rate	-1.0pp $1,079	-0.5pp $1,062	base $1,045	+0.5pp $1,027	+1.0pp $1,009

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $17,200
• Closing costs: $2,064
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 14 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
16311 Hight Ave Belton, MO	4.0	3.0	1308	$2,285	$1.75	5d	1	0.26mi
8201 Spring Valley Rd Apt 13D Belton, MO	2.0	1.0	750	$850	$1.13	24d	1	0.62mi
301 Towne Center Dr Belton, MO	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	1069	$1,799	$1.68	2d	9	0.77mi
124-130 Barberry Ln Raymore, MO	3.0	2.5	1357	$1,625	$1.20	44d	1	1.14mi
124-130 Barberry Ln Raymore, MO	3.0	2.5	1357	$1,658	$1.22	24d	1	1.14mi
126 Barberry Ln Raymore, MO	3.0	2.0	1224	$1,608	$1.31	44d	1	1.14mi
128 Barberry Ln Raymore, MO	3.0	2.0	1224	$1,608	$1.31	15d	1	1.14mi
128 Barberry Ln Raymore, MO	3.0	2.0	1224	$1,575	$1.29	24d	1	1.14mi
211 Apple Blossom Ln Belton, MO	4.0	2.5	1414	$2,066	$1.46	2d	1	1.17mi
101 N Dean Ave Raymore, MO	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1029	$2,014	$1.96	2d	63	1.17mi
307 Dauphine St Belton, MO	3.0	2.0	1225	$1,495	$1.22	24d	1	1.19mi
1513 Sycamore Dr Belton, MO	2.0–3.0	2.5	1315	$1,779	$1.35	2d	8	1.23mi
210 N Huntsman Blvd Raymore, MO	4.0	2.5	1450	$2,240	$1.54	24d	1	1.24mi
1702 Pam Ct Belton, MO	4.0	3.0	1443	$2,099	$1.45	44d	1	1.35mi

Listing history 14 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $68,800 Active 58 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $68,800 Active 57 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $68,800 Active 56 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $68,800 Active 55 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $68,800 Active 53 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $68,800 Active 52 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $68,800 Active 49 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $68,800 Active 48 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $68,800 Active 47 DOM
10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $68,800 Active 44 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $68,800 Active 43 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $68,800 Active 42 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $68,800 Active 41 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $68,300 Active 40 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,092
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,854
• − Property taxes: −$1,032
• − Insurance: −$344
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,847
• − Management: −$1,847
• − Depreciation: −$2,001
• Taxable income: $12,166
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,920
• After-tax cash flow: $9,617/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in-ready manufactured home is in good condition with modern features and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for value enhancement through minor updates.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
• Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained landscape can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers
• Both New flooring in high-traffic areas — New flooring can improve the home's appearance and increase its value
• Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more appealing and increase its value
• Both Upgrading the bathrooms with modern fixtures — Modern bathrooms can enhance the home's appeal and increase its value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
• Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained landscape can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers ↑
• Both New flooring in high-traffic areas — New flooring can improve the home's appearance and increase its value ↑
• Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more appealing and increase its value ↑
• Both Upgrading the bathrooms with modern fixtures — Modern bathrooms can enhance the home's appeal and increase its value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Belton 124
• NCES district ID: 2904620
• Math proficiency: 28% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $56,946
• Composite: 29.73/100
• National rank: #6446
• State rank: #216 of 324 in MO

Livability — Belton

• Score: 76/100
• State rank: #52
• US rank: #3782

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Belton, MO
• County: Cass County · 65,358 people
• City population: 29,304
• Metro: Kansas City, MO-KS
• Population (ZIP): 29,304
• Household income: $71,814
• Rent vs Own: 34.9% rent · 65.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 1081.0

Population outlook (Cass County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 105,292 people
• By 2030: 106,109 · +0.8%
• By 2040: 105,786 · +0.5%
• By 2050: 102,062 · -3.1%
• By 2075: 88,569 · -15.9%
• By 2100: 68,293 · -35.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (80%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 80% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 6% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 5%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cass

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+32.1) · D 33.3% · R 65.4% · Other 1.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -12.5pp toward R · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -32.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+32.1 2020: R+31.6 2016: R+35.9 2012: R+28.4 2008: R+19.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -244.76%
• Current HPI: 214.6157
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.17%
• Metro: Kansas City, MO-KS
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B