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420 Brown St Multi-family
B Composite 74.38
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$34,900

420 Brown St · Everson, PA 15631
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,932 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 53 Days on market
Built 1900 6,333 sqft lot $18/sqft · 72% below area ↓ 18% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Multi Unit Investment Opportunity! Heating system appears to be in good condition. Some electric and drywall roughed in. New Roof. Schedule a showing anytime.

Key facts

  • New roof
  • 6,333 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900

Tags

NEW ROOF

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $35k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $602 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
  • Recommended offer: $34k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#676 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Southmoreland SD (suburban): math 29% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #359 of 539 in PA (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 201 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $210 of equity ($241 loan paydown + $-31 appreciation (-0.1% local appreciation)).
  • Fayette County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $33,853 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.32%
Cap rate
27.01%
Cash-on-cash
73.97%
DSCR
4.29
GRM
2.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$125,698
List price
$34,900
Delta
-72.24%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.09% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
76.1%
Equity multiple
4.81×
Total profit
$37,264
Equity at exit
$9,982
10-year hold
IRR
77.8%
Equity multiple
9.85×
Total profit
$86,521
Equity at exit
$11,878

Cash invested: $9,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15631

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
5
Price-to-rent
2.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,160 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$183
Tax from tax record
$116 /mo · $1,394/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$602

Break-even live

Break-even rent $397
Max offer price $34,900
Occupancy floor 43%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $622 -5% $612 +0% $602 +5% $593 +10% $583
Rent -10% $511 -5% $557 +0% $602 +5% $648 +10% $694
Rate -1.0pp $620 -0.5pp $611 base $602 +0.5pp $593 +1.0pp $584

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,725
Closing costs
$1,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    Multi Unit Investment Opportunity! Heating system appears to be in good condition. Some electric and drywall roughed in. New Roof. Schedule a showing anytime.

  2. 2026-03-12
    listed $34,900 Active 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    Multi Unit Investment Opportunity! Heating system appears to be in good condition. Some electric and drywall roughed in. New Roof. Schedule a showing anytime.

  3. 2026-03-04
    status Active 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    Multi Unit Investment Opportunity! Heating system appears to be in good condition. Some electric and drywall roughed in. New Roof. Schedule a showing anytime.

  4. 2025-10-01
    historical Contingent 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    Multi Unit Investment Opportunity! Heating system appears to be in good condition. Some electric and drywall roughed in. New Roof. Schedule a showing anytime.

  5. 2025-08-05
    price $29,900 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    Multi Unit Investment Opportunity! Heating system appears to be in good condition. Some electric and drywall roughed in. New Roof. Schedule a showing anytime.

  6. 2025-05-27
    price $37,500 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    Multi Unit Investment Opportunity! Heating system appears to be in good condition. Some electric and drywall roughed in. New Roof. Schedule a showing anytime.

  7. 2024-12-05
    listed $39,900 Active 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    Multi Unit Investment Opportunity! Heating system appears to be in good condition. Some electric and drywall roughed in. New Roof. Schedule a showing anytime.

  8. 2019-09-27
    soldstatus $42,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,394 · $116/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,394 · $116/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,915
− Mortgage interest
−$1,955
− Property taxes
−$1,394
− Insurance
−$174
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,113
− Management
−$1,113
− Depreciation
−$1,015
Taxable income
$7,150
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,716
After-tax cash flow
$5,512/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southmoreland SD
NCES district ID
4222410
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -19.00%
Median HH income
$43,274
Composite
33.76/100
National rank
#5368
State rank
#359 of 539 in PA

Livability — Everson

Score
71/100
State rank
#676
US rank
#6592

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Everson, PA
City population
656
Population (ZIP)
656

Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
127,561 people
By 2030
123,206 · -3.4%
By 2040
113,232 · -11.2%
By 2050
103,468 · -18.9%
By 2075
83,185 · -34.8%
By 2100
62,384 · -51.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Black 3% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fayette

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.9) · D 30.8% · R 68.7%
2008→2024 swing
-37.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -37.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.9 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.09%
Current HPI
164.6774
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-17.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $34,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-03-04 Relisted West Penn MLS
  • 2025-10-01 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2025-08-05 Price Changed $29,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-05-27 Price Changed $37,500 West Penn MLS
  • 2024-12-05 Listed $39,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2019-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $42,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,394 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…