7029 Twin River Rd · Byrnes Mill, MO 63025

$55,000

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 600 sqft · Other public records · 8 Days on market

Built 1953 ↓ 27% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +3.5/10.0
• Livability +2.9/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

FOR SALE AS-IS & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; Investor Special in Eureka, MO 7029 Twin River Rd, Eureka, MO 1 bedroom, 1.5 bath home on approximately 1 acre. Property needs repairs and updating including roof and septic work but has strong potential for investors, flippers, rental property conversion, or someone looking for acreage in a desirable area. Has new furnace and electrical box Features: & acirc; & euro; & cent; Approximately 1 acre & acirc; & euro; & cent; Unfinished basement & acirc; & euro; & cent; Utilities present & acirc; & euro; & cent; Quiet area & acirc; & euro; & cent; Great investment opportunity

Key facts

• Approximately 1 acre
• Fenced yard
• Unfinished basement

Tags

• APPROXIMATELY 1 ACRE
• UNFINISHED BASEMENT
• UTILITIES PRESENT
• QUIET AREA
• FENCED YARD
• CLOSE TO RIVER ACCESS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $55k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $664 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
• Cap rate 20.8% vs local median 3.6% in Byrnes Mill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 58/100 on livability (#591 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
• Northwest R-I (suburban): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #128 of 324 in MO (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 141 active listings in the ZIP; 807 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $55,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.39% ✓
• Cap rate: 20.79%
• Cash-on-cash: 51.78%
• DSCR: 3.30
• GRM: 3.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 49.7%
• Equity multiple: 3.17×
• Total profit: $33,426
• Equity at exit: $8,201

10-year hold

• IRR: 55.2%
• Equity multiple: 6.43×
• Total profit: $83,671
• Equity at exit: $4,755

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 63025

• Active inventory: 141
• Price-to-rent: 3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,316 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$288
• Tax from tax record: −$64 /mo · $762/yr
• Insurance: −$23
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$276
• Net cashflow: $664

Break-even live

Break-even rent $475

Max offer price $55,000

Occupancy floor 44%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $13,750
• Closing costs: $1,650
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $55,000 Active 8 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $55,000 Active 7 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $55,000 Active 6 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $55,000 Active 5 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $55,000 Active 3 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   remarks 627-char remark
7. 2026-06-13
   listed $55,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $762 · $64/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $762 · $64/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,788
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,081
• − Property taxes: −$762
• − Insurance: −$275
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,263
• − Management: −$1,263
• − Depreciation: −$1,600
• Taxable income: $7,544
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,810
• After-tax cash flow: $6,164/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Northwest R-I
• NCES district ID: 2922890
• Math proficiency: 37% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 43% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $55,998
• Composite: 35.05/100
• National rank: #5034
• State rank: #128 of 324 in MO

Livability — Byrnes Mill

• Score: 58/100
• State rank: #591
• US rank: #20943

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime C- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 18,483

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 235,088 people
• By 2030: 238,365 · +1.4%
• By 2040: 240,156 · +2.2%
• By 2050: 234,651 · -0.2%
• By 2075: 214,569 · -8.7%
• By 2100: 179,697 · -23.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (86%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 86% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
• Common ancestry: Italian 3% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, China, South Korea
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+36.7) · D 31.0% · R 67.7% · Other 1.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -39.3pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -36.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+36.7 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+35.3 2012: R+12.7 2008: D+2.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -208.60%
• Current HPI: 203.4691
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B

Price history

-26.7% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-11 Listed $55,000 FSBO.com
• 2026-04-23 Price Changed $65,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-19 Listed $75,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $762 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.