210 37th Ave SE #2 · Auburn, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming home with a brand new roof, efficient heating and A/C, and a cozy wood-burning fireplace for year-round comfort. Located in an all-ages park, this home offers flexibility and affordability without the restrictions of a 55+ community. A great opportunity for comfortable, low-maintenance living!
Key facts
- Efficient heating
- New roof
- Community pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Land lease amount $1,160; Listing terms: Cash, Conventional
- HOA & community: Manufactured home park with clubhouse and pool; Park name: Auburn Manor; Land lease
Exterior
- Utilities: Electric energy source; Public water
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One story
- Construction: Manufactured house
- Exterior features: Paved lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with eating space
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Forced air cooling
- Interior features: Entry; Kitchen with eating space; Living room; Utility room
- Laundry & utility: Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 41.2% vs local median 2.7% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#75 in WA, #1,371 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Auburn School District (urban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #125 of 291 in WA (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Gildo Rey Elementary School (412 students, 76% FRL); Auburn Riverside High School (1,909 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 63% FRL vs 44% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.5% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 337 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $65k (52%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 337 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 41.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 124.73%
- DSCR
- 6.55
- GRM
- 1.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $134,640
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 210 37th St SE #81 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,848 (-7%) | 17mo | $116,000 | $63 | 70 |
| 4248 A St SE #219 | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,848 (-7%) | 19mo | $125,000 | $68 | 56 |
| 900 29th St SE Unit E-1 | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,848 (-7%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $54 | 50 |
| 111 Aspen Ln S | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,782 (-10%) | 11mo | $460,000 | $258 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.80×
- Total profit
- $97,493
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.63×
- Total profit
- $212,179
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98002
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 171
- Price-to-rent
- 1.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,735 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $900/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$574
- Net cashflow
- $1,746
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,788 | -5% $1,767 | +0% $1,746 | +5% $1,725 | +10% $1,705 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,530 | -5% $1,638 | +0% $1,746 | +5% $1,854 | +10% $1,962 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,776 | -0.5pp $1,761 | base $1,746 | +0.5pp $1,731 | +1.0pp $1,715 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4716 Mill Pond Dr SE Apt 1001 Auburn, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1673 | $2,900 | $1.73 | 11d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 102 Hawthorne Ave S Pacific, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1285 | $2,950 | $2.30 | 2d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 404 4th Ave SE Pacific, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2006 | $3,600 | $1.79 | 2d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 5909 Panorama Dr SE Unit 11-103 Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1727 | $2,750 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1910 N Ct SE Auburn, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1570 | $2,900 | $1.85 | 11d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 110 2nd Ave S Algona, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1530 | $3,600 | $2.35 | 2d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $60,000 Active 337 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $60,000 Active 336 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $60,000 Active 335 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,000 Active 334 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 332 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 331 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,000 Active 328 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active 327 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 326 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $60,000 Active 323 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $60,000 Active 322 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $60,000 Active 321 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $60,000 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 319 DOM
-
2026-05-11status Active
-
2026-04-29status Pending
-
2026-04-28status Active
-
2026-03-16status Pending
-
2026-03-03price $70,000
-
2025-12-19price $80,000
-
2025-10-08price $90,000
-
2025-10-08status Active
-
2025-09-10status Pending
-
2025-08-14price $105,000
-
2025-07-22price $115,000
-
2025-06-18price $120,000
-
2025-04-24$125,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,823
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$900
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,626
- − Management
- −$2,626
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $21,265
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5,104
- After-tax cash flow
- $15,851/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Auburn School District
- NCES district ID
- 5300300
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,048
- Composite
- 46.73/100
- National rank
- #5240
- State rank
- #125 of 291 in WA
Livability — Auburn
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #75
- US rank
- #1371
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Auburn, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 74,969
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,509
- Household income
- $78,684
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2202.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 13% Black 12% Asian 6% Pacific Islander 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Subsaharan African 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 19% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -677.96%
- Current HPI
- 298.0849
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.51%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-44.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-29 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-28 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-16 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $70,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-19 Price Changed $80,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-08 Price Changed $90,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-08 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-10 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-14 Price Changed $105,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-22 Price Changed $115,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-18 Price Changed $120,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-24 Listed $125,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…