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210 37th Ave SE #2
D+ Composite 46.6
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

210 37th Ave SE #2 · Auburn, WA 98002
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,980 sqft · Manufactured · 337 Days on market
Built 2002 ↓ 44% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming home with a brand new roof, efficient heating and A/C, and a cozy wood-burning fireplace for year-round comfort. Located in an all-ages park, this home offers flexibility and affordability without the restrictions of a 55+ community. A great opportunity for comfortable, low-maintenance living!

Key facts

  • Efficient heating
  • New roof
  • Community pool

Tags

NEW ROOFEFFICIENT HEATINGCOZY WOOD-BURNING FIREPLACELOW-MAINTENANCE LIVING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Land lease amount $1,160; Listing terms: Cash, Conventional
  • HOA & community: Manufactured home park with clubhouse and pool; Park name: Auburn Manor; Land lease

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electric energy source; Public water
  • Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One story
  • Construction: Manufactured house
  • Exterior features: Paved lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with eating space
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Forced air cooling
  • Interior features: Entry; Kitchen with eating space; Living room; Utility room
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 41.2% vs local median 2.7% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#75 in WA, #1,371 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Auburn School District (urban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #125 of 291 in WA (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Gildo Rey Elementary School (412 students, 76% FRL); Auburn Riverside High School (1,909 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 63% FRL vs 44% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.5% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 337 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $65k (52%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $52,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 337 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.56%
Cap rate
41.22%
Cash-on-cash
124.73%
DSCR
6.55
GRM
1.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$134,640
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
210 37th St SE #81 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,848 (-7%) 17mo $116,000 $63 70
4248 A St SE #219 0.24mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,848 (-7%) 19mo $125,000 $68 56
900 29th St SE Unit E-1 0.67mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,848 (-7%) 3mo $100,000 $54 50
111 Aspen Ln S 0.64mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,782 (-10%) 11mo $460,000 $258 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.80×
Total profit
$97,493
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.63×
Total profit
$212,179
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98002

Rents YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
171
Price-to-rent
1.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,735 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $900/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$574
Net cashflow
$1,746

Break-even live

Break-even rent $525
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 31%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,788 -5% $1,767 +0% $1,746 +5% $1,725 +10% $1,705
Rent -10% $1,530 -5% $1,638 +0% $1,746 +5% $1,854 +10% $1,962
Rate -1.0pp $1,776 -0.5pp $1,761 base $1,746 +0.5pp $1,731 +1.0pp $1,715

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4716 Mill Pond Dr SE Apt 1001 Auburn, WA 3.0 2.5 1673 $2,900 $1.73 11d 1 0.59mi
102 Hawthorne Ave S Pacific, WA 3.0 1.0 1285 $2,950 $2.30 2d 1 0.93mi
404 4th Ave SE Pacific, WA 3.0 2.0 2006 $3,600 $1.79 2d 1 1.14mi
5909 Panorama Dr SE Unit 11-103 Auburn, WA 2.0 2.5 1727 $2,750 $1.59 44d 1 1.34mi
1910 N Ct SE Auburn, WA 3.0 2.0 1570 $2,900 $1.85 11d 1 1.36mi
110 2nd Ave S Algona, WA 3.0 2.0 1530 $3,600 $2.35 2d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 337 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $60,000 Active 336 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,000 Active 335 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 334 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $60,000 Active 332 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $60,000 Active 331 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 328 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 327 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 326 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $60,000 Active 323 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $60,000 Active 322 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $60,000 Active 321 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $60,000 Active 320 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 319 DOM
  15. 2026-05-11
    status Active
  16. 2026-04-29
    status Pending
  17. 2026-04-28
    status Active
  18. 2026-03-16
    status Pending
  19. 2026-03-03
    price $70,000
  20. 2025-12-19
    price $80,000
  21. 2025-10-08
    price $90,000
  22. 2025-10-08
    status Active
  23. 2025-09-10
    status Pending
  24. 2025-08-14
    price $105,000
  25. 2025-07-22
    price $115,000
  26. 2025-06-18
    price $120,000
  27. 2025-04-24
    listed $125,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,823
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$900
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,626
− Management
−$2,626
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$21,265
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$5,104
After-tax cash flow
$15,851/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Auburn School District
NCES district ID
5300300
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$58,048
Composite
46.73/100
National rank
#5240
State rank
#125 of 291 in WA

Livability — Auburn

Score
81/100
State rank
#75
US rank
#1371

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Auburn, WA
County
King County · 2,251,916 people
City population
74,969
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
37,509
Household income
$78,684
Rent vs Own
51.1% rent · 48.9% own
Severe rent burden
2202.0

Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,576,485 people
By 2030
2,803,316 · +8.8%
By 2040
3,255,921 · +26.4%
By 2050
3,706,444 · +43.9%
By 2075
4,746,063 · +84.2%
By 2100
5,407,730 · +109.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 13% Black 12% Asian 6% Pacific Islander 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Subsaharan African 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
63% English-only · Spanish 19% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · King

2024 margin
Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -677.96%
Current HPI
298.0849
Rent YoY
▲ 1.51%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-44.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-29 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-28 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-16 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-03 Price Changed $70,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-19 Price Changed $80,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-08 Price Changed $90,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-08 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-10 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-14 Price Changed $105,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-22 Price Changed $115,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-18 Price Changed $120,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-24 Listed $125,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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