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7 Guadalupe 🌊 Lakefront
B Composite 73.64
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,000

7 Guadalupe · Port St. Lucie, FL 34952
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,340 sqft · Manufactured · 58 Days on market
Built 1980 Good condition Est $127k · 7% under ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Spectacular views surround this 2bed/2bath home, nestled on a quiet street. Step inside & beauty continues in this 2024 FULLY REMODEL/UPGRADED abode including ROOF, HWH, Sub Flooring, Granite Counters, SS Appliances, Soft Close Drawers, Bathrooms, ExtraStorage, Outlets Replaced, Complete Shutters & More! Watch ducks & wildlife glide by & colorful evening sunsets in the window/ screened in Patio. Large sized lot offering privacy & space great for pets, gardening, grilling, entertaining. PRIME LOCATION; near beach, grocery stores, postal, banks, hospital, pharmacy & more! Lot rent of 1015.27 incl. trash, lawn, private free golf course, heated pool, fitness,

Key facts

  • Fully remodeled
  • Ss appliances
  • Large sized lot

Tags

FULLY REMODELEDGRANITE COUNTERSSS APPLIANCESSCREENED IN PATIOLARGE SIZED LOTPRIME LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Located in a senior community; Land lease of $1,015.27 monthly (lease expires 2126-04-21)

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 total parking spaces; Attached carport (1 covered space); Driveway; Open parking space
  • Security: Security patrol
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available
  • Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One story; Faces north; Resale property
  • Construction: Metal and vinyl siding; Other exterior materials; Other roof type; 52-foot mobile length
  • Exterior features: Lake access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Disposal; Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl; Other
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Kitchen island; Split bedroom layout
  • Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $119k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $728 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
  • Recommended offer: $115k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 3.9% in Port St. Lucie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 639 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $115,430 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  4. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  5. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.65%
Cap rate
13.63%
Cash-on-cash
26.21%
DSCR
2.17
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$127,300
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
110 W Caribbean 0.06mi 2/2.0 1,416 (+6%) 5mo $77,500 $55 83
7 Giralda 0.04mi 2/2.0 1,200 (-10%) 4mo $21,000 $18 77
192 W Caribbean 0.29mi 2/2.0 1,416 (+6%) 6mo $49,000 $35 72
2948 Fiddlewood Cir 0.47mi 2/2.0 1,280 (-4%) 1mo $122,000 $95 70
10 Padre 0.50mi 2/2.0 1,280 (-4%) 4mo $38,000 $30 66
8526 Lidflower Ct 0.33mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,404 (+5%) 6mo $70,900 $50 65
3033 Satinleaf Ln 0.54mi 2/2.0 1,248 (-7%) 4mo $195,000 $156 60
8394 Delphinium Ct 0.58mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,392 (+4%) 4mo $220,000 $158 58
8504 Gallberry Cir 0.65mi 2/2.0 1,264 (-6%) 4mo $178,000 $141 57
3792 Satinwood Ct 0.69mi 2/2.0 1,238 (-8%) 8mo $153,000 $124 49
3422 Feriwinkle Ct 0.63mi 2/2.0 1,184 (-12%) 4mo $205,000 $173 48
3700 Westchester Ct 0.72mi 2/2.0 1,480 (+10%) 8mo $130,000 $88 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.7%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$24,984
Equity at exit
$17,743
10-year hold
IRR
26.3%
Equity multiple
3.19×
Total profit
$73,085
Equity at exit
$10,289

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34952

Home prices YoY
-29.6%
Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
639
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,962 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$624
Tax est. 1.5%
$149 /mo · $1,785/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$412
Net cashflow
$728

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,041
Max offer price $119,000
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $810 -5% $769 +0% $728 +5% $687 +10% $645
Rent -10% $573 -5% $650 +0% $728 +5% $805 +10% $883
Rate -1.0pp $788 -0.5pp $758 base $728 +0.5pp $697 +1.0pp $665

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,750
Closing costs
$3,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
71 W Caribbean Port St. Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1417 $1,700 $1.20 24d 1 0.18mi
1811 SE Walton Lakes Dr Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 1.0–2.0 1117 $1,926 $1.72 14d 6 0.44mi
1810 SE Pinewood Trl Port Saint Lucie, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1013 $2,055 $2.03 14d 7 0.49mi
2082 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1524 $1,850 $1.21 24d 1 0.63mi
1900 Bella Vista Way Port Saint Lucie, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 995 $1,764 $1.77 14d 15 0.64mi
2058 SE Wild Meadow Cir #101 Port St Lucie, FL 2.0 2.5 1425 $2,200 $1.54 14d 1 0.66mi
1131 SE Parrish Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 1.0 902 $2,000 $2.22 24d 1 0.68mi
3784 Sapodilla Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1121 $2,300 $2.05 24d 1 0.69mi
2183 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1550 $1,900 $1.23 14d 1 0.72mi
2130 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1440 $1,695 $1.18 14d 1 0.73mi
2209 SE East Dunbrooke Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL 3.0 2.0 1212 $2,950 $2.43 14d 1 0.89mi
1455 SE Colchester Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 921 $1,795 $1.95 14d 1 0.91mi
1516 SE Royal Green Cir #202 Port St Lucie, FL 3.0 2.0 921 $2,100 $2.28 24d 1 0.96mi
1520 SE Royal Green Cir Unit K-203 Port St. Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 886 $1,800 $2.03 24d 1 0.98mi
1500 SE Tiffany Club Pl Port Saint Lucie, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 895 $1,922 $2.15 14d 7 1.07mi
1537 SE Royal Green Cir Unit E204 Port St. Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 886 $1,750 $1.98 14d 1 1.10mi
1548 SE Royal Green Cir Unit M-103 Port St. Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 886 $1,800 $2.03 24d 1 1.17mi
1618 SE Elkhart Ter Port Saint Lucie, FL 3.0 2.0 1176 $2,200 $1.87 24d 1 1.19mi
1350 SE La Haven Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1041 $2,100 $2.02 24d 1 1.46mi
1456 SE Rivergreen Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 921 $1,825 $1.98 14d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,000 Active 58 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,000 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,000 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,000 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $119,000 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,000 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $119,000 Active 50 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,000 Active 49 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,000 Active 48 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,000 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $119,000 Active 44 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,000 Active 43 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,000 Active 42 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,000 Active 41 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,000 Active 40 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $119,000 Active 39 DOM
  17. 2026-04-21
    listed $119,000 Active
  18. 2026-04-06
    historical
  19. 2026-03-12
    price $127,000
  20. 2026-01-31
    status Active
  21. 2026-01-28
    historical
  22. 2025-10-09
    listed $129,000 Active
  23. 2025-02-02
    historical
  24. 2024-11-05
    listed $130,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,545
− Mortgage interest
−$6,666
− Property taxes
−$1,785
− Insurance
−$595
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,884
− Management
−$1,884
− Depreciation
−$3,462
Taxable income
$7,271
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,745
After-tax cash flow
$6,987/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This fully remodeled and updated manufactured home offers a good condition with modern amenities and a prime location. Potential buyers and renters will appreciate the curb appeal and interior updates.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value.
  • Both Reorganizing interior spaces — Maximizes living space and improves flow for potential buyers/renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value.
  • Both Reorganizing interior spaces — Maximizes living space and improves flow for potential buyers/renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Lucie
NCES district ID
1201770
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,737
Composite
37.28/100
National rank
#4449
State rank
#51 of 73 in FL

Livability — Port St. Lucie

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Port St. Lucie, FL
County
Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
City population
221,051
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
Population (ZIP)
42,655
Household income
$61,628
Rent vs Own
25.8% rent · 74.2% own
Severe rent burden
1759.0

Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
338,016 people
By 2030
355,687 · +5.2%
By 2040
385,521 · +14.1%
By 2050
406,106 · +20.1%
By 2075
441,054 · +30.5%
By 2100
436,885 · +29.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Black 10% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 16% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -155.80%
Current HPI
371.0573
Rent YoY
▲ 1.92%
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $119,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2026-04-06 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $127,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2026-01-31 Relisted Beaches MLS
  • 2026-01-28 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2025-10-09 Listed $129,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2025-02-02 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2024-11-05 Listed $130,000 Beaches MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…