🏷️ Likely Rental
101 Humason Ave · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 101 Humason, located in the desirable Schiller Park neighborhood. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a functional layout with hardwood floors on the first level, first-floor laundry, and newer windows throughout. Major updates include a newer roof and a hot water tank installed in 2025. The property is currently tenant-occupied and rented well below market value at $675 per month, offering strong upside potential with cosmetic updates. The seller owns multiple properties on the street and prefers to sell as a package, though individual sales will be considered. Additional properties available include 12, 97, 101, 106, and 136 Humason. Please refer to commercial listing B1655331 for full package details.
Key facts
- Hot water tank
- Newer roof
- First floor laundry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $569 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 172 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($36k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $85k implies a 608% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.71%
- DSCR
- 2.28
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $164,742
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- -48.40%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59 Fisher St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (+8%) | 1mo | $195,000 | $177 | 77 |
| 54 Andrews Ave | 0.35mi | 3/2.5 | 1,062 (+4%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $66 | 68 |
| 40 Hedwig Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,029 (+1%) | 2mo | $162,000 | $157 | 64 |
| 141 Hagen St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 961 (-6%) | 8mo | $90,000 | $94 | 62 |
| 87 Hagen St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,121 (+10%) | 4mo | $120,000 | $107 | 61 |
| 281 Roslyn Ave Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,039 (+2%) | 8mo | $170,000 | $164 | 60 |
| 145 Hoerner Ave | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,112 (+9%) | 7mo | $190,000 | $171 | 54 |
| 42 Carol Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,112 (+9%) | 5mo | $220,000 | $198 | 52 |
| 47 Hedwig Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 940 (-8%) | 1mo | $133,250 | $142 | 51 |
| 1003 Walden Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,130 (+11%) | 0mo | $70,000 | $62 | 50 |
| 219 Hagen St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 893 (-13%) | 8mo | $90,000 | $101 | 48 |
| 149 David Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 940 (-8%) | 8mo | $220,000 | $234 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.78×
- Total profit
- $42,267
- Equity at exit
- $33,753
- IRR
- 34.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.41×
- Total profit
- $105,043
- Equity at exit
- $48,778
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14211
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 172
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,348 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$14 /mo · $174/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$283
- Net cashflow
- $569
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 Pine Ridge Ter Unit 3 Cheektowaga, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 16d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 56 Hagen St #2 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $950 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 61 Courtland Ave Unit Lower Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 249 Newburgh Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,300 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 85 Blake St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1022 | $1,000 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 11 Kaufman Dr Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 103 Preston Rd Unit Lower Cheektowaga, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,300 | $1.47 | 3d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 24 Euclid Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,700 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 160 Courtland Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,025 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 143 Reo Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1143 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 11d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1202 Walden Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1202 Walden Ave Unit 3 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 16d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 67 Moeller St Unit UPPER Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,000 | $1.04 | 3d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 67 Moeller St Unit LOWER Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 17 Proctor Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 74 Dorris Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2935 Genesee St Unit Up Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 10d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1777 Broadway Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 97 Davidson Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,495 | $1.62 | 1d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2025-12-31$85,000 Active 723-char remark
Show marketing remark (723 chars)
Welcome to 101 Humason, located in the desirable Schiller Park neighborhood. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a functional layout with hardwood floors on the first level, first-floor laundry, and newer windows throughout. Major updates include a newer roof and a hot water tank installed in 2025. The property is currently tenant-occupied and rented well below market value at $675 per month, offering strong upside potential with cosmetic updates. The seller owns multiple properties on the street and prefers to sell as a package, though individual sales will be considered. Additional properties available include 12, 97, 101, 106, and 136 Humason. Please refer to commercial listing B1655331 for full package details.
-
2009-10-22soldstatus $12,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $174 · $14/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $805 · $67/mo
- Expected delta
- +$631/yr (+$53/mo · 363.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,177
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$174
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,294
- − Management
- −$1,294
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $5,756
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,381
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,451/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,663
- Household income
- $36,300
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1804.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% Asian 20% Hispanic / Latino 9% White 9% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- Current HPI
- 357.6438
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+608.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-31 Listed $85,000 WNYREIS
- 2009-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $174 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…