123 E 12th St · Fairmont, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.8/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this charming 3 bedroom, 2 bath turn-of-the-century home situated on a corner lot. The main level features newer LVP flooring, while the natural woodwork and built-in hutch in the dining room add warmth and timeless character. All three bedrooms are located on the upper level and offer spacious layouts, along with a full bath featuring newer tile in the shower. Outside, you’ll appreciate the single attached garage, updated front step railing, and new shingles completed in 2023.
Key facts
- Natural woodwork
- Newer lvp flooring
- New shingles
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car, approximately 14 x 25)
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Natural gas; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Residential property; Two levels; Entry on main level
- Construction: Stone foundation; Asphalt roof (age 8 years or less)
- Exterior features: Porch; Stucco and vinyl exterior; Corner lot with medium tree coverage; City street frontage with curbs, paved streets and sidewalks; public maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all upper level)
- Bathrooms: One full bath (upper level); One half bath (main floor)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Full, unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $299 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 3.4% in Fairmont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#407 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, amenities F.
- Fairmont Area School District (town): math 45% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #148 of 301 in MN (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Martin County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $43k; list at $89k implies a 107% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.40%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $4,650
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $28,679
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56031
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,173 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$124 /mo · $1,490/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$246
- Net cashflow
- $299
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 493-char remark
-
2026-06-12$89,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,490 · $124/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,490 · $124/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,081
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$1,490
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,127
- − Management
- −$1,127
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $2,319
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$557
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,032/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fairmont Area School District
- NCES district ID
- 2700124
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,280
- Composite
- 40.76/100
- National rank
- #3648
- State rank
- #148 of 301 in MN
Livability — Fairmont
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #407
- US rank
- #9480
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fairmont, MN
- City population
- 11,800
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,800
Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,583 people
- By 2030
- 17,814 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 16,312 · -12.2%
- By 2050
- 15,021 · -19.2%
- By 2075
- 13,025 · -29.9%
- By 2100
- 11,311 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 11% Romanian 6% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Martin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.5% · R 69.1% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.4pp toward R · 2008: -15.2pp · 2024: -39.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.9 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+23.8 2008: R+15.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -143.34%
- Current HPI
- 191.514
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+107.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $89,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,490 · +85.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…