Fourplex
1266 Westcliff Ct · Kettering, OH
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$400,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
Four Family with large three bedroom unit with Family Room + Living Room + so much more, two-two bedroom units and one efficiency. * * * * Two units have central air and two units have window a/c
Key facts
- Shared laundry room
- One car garage
- Minimal shared walls
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Gross rental income reported: $41,400; Tenant pays electricity and gas
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 4 spaces; Four or more total parking spaces
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Natural gas available; Sewer available (storm sewer)
- Home design: Brick construction; 2 stories; Zoned for multiple uses
- Construction: Brick exterior
- Exterior features: Porch; Patio; Storage; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One-bedroom units; Two-bedroom units; Three-bedroom units; Efficiency units
- Bathrooms: Five full bathrooms (total across property)
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning; Window unit(s)
- Interior features: Full basement; Smoke detectors
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 7-bed/5.0-bath units multifamily listed at $400k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($48k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $400k).
- Cap rate 18.6% vs local median 4.4% in Kettering — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#61 in OH, #922 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: commute F.
- Kettering City School District (suburban): math 54% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #277 of 656 in OH (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.8%/yr); 53 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $8,869/mo this rent would consume 122% of the median local household income ($87k/yr) (locally 185% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $112k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $175k; list at $400k implies a 129% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.84%
- DSCR
- 2.95
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 45.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.14×
- Total profit
- $239,358
- Equity at exit
- $59,641
- IRR
- 53.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.73×
- Total profit
- $753,801
- Equity at exit
- $34,585
Cash invested: $112,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45409
- Rents YoY
- 10.8%
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 15.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $8,869 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,098
- Tax from tax record
- −$651 /mo · $7,810/yr
- Insurance
- −$167
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,862
- Net cashflow
- $4,036
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $4,262 | -5% $4,149 | +0% $4,036 | +5% $3,923 | +10% $3,809 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $3,335 | -5% $3,686 | +0% $4,036 | +5% $4,386 | +10% $4,736 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $4,237 | -0.5pp $4,138 | base $4,036 | +0.5pp $3,932 | +1.0pp $3,827 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 7 | 5 | $8,868 |
| #1 | 7 | 5 | $2,217 |
| #2 | 7 | 5 | $2,217 |
| #3 | 7 | 5 | $2,217 |
| #4 | 7 | 5 | $2,217 |
| Total (4 units) | $8,869 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $100,000
- Closing costs
- $12,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-18days on market $400,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $400,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $400,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $400,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $400,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 409-char remark
-
2026-06-13$400,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,810 · $651/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,810 · $651/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $106,428
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,406
- − Property taxes
- −$7,810
- − Insurance
- −$2,666
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$8,514
- − Management
- −$8,514
- − Depreciation
- −$11,636
- Taxable income
- $44,881
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$10,771
- After-tax cash flow
- $37,659/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kettering City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3904418
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 68% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,353
- Composite
- 51.89/100
- National rank
- #1653
- State rank
- #277 of 656 in OH
Livability — Kettering
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #61
- US rank
- #922
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kettering, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 73,116
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,293
- Household income
- $87,283
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 185.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Italian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · China, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -199.63%
- Current HPI
- 225.554
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.84%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+175.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $400,000 Dayton MLS
- 2011-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
- 2011-12-06 Sold (MLS) $175,000 Dayton MLS
- 2011-12-06 Sold (MLS) $175,000 Dayton MLS
- 2011-10-29 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2011-04-08 Listed $179,500 Dayton MLS
- 1995-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $225,500 Public Records
- 1990-09-04 Sold (Public Records) $205,000 Public Records
- 1987-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
- 1985-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $7,810 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…