512 Tyler Rd · Oakdale, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.0/30.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Appreciation +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This property listing describes a well-maintained manufactured 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home situated on a private, fenced-in 1-acre lot. The highlights include: Outdoor Living: A spacious 21x18 deck off the back of the house, great for entertaining, and a roomy front porch deck great for relaxing or socializing. Parking & Storage: A detached two-and-a-half-car carport provides ample space for vehicles or storage. Pet-Friendly Features: A separate fenced-in area designated for outside dogs. Privacy: No neighboring properties within sight offer unmatched seclusion. This property is an excellent option for those seeking a serene and self-sufficient lifestyle while enjoying the convenience
Key facts
- Front porch deck
- Detached carport
- Spacious deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $356 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#55 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Allen Parish (rural): math 26% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #36 of 98 in LA (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 46 units permitted in Allen Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
- Allen County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 199 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 199 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.27%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.02% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.77×
- Total profit
- $24,913
- Equity at exit
- $39,392
- IRR
- 18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.25×
- Total profit
- $72,454
- Equity at exit
- $52,452
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71463
- Home prices YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 24
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,313 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$30 /mo · $364/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$276
- Net cashflow
- $356
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $421 | -5% $389 | +0% $356 | +5% $324 | +10% $291 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $252 | -5% $304 | +0% $356 | +5% $408 | +10% $460 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $414 | -0.5pp $385 | base $356 | +0.5pp $326 | +1.0pp $296 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-04-13status Pending
-
2026-04-01price $115,000
-
2025-12-16price $120,000
-
2025-11-21price $130,000
-
2025-10-03price $135,000
-
2025-09-24$150,000 Active
-
2025-08-04price $155,000
-
2025-07-23price $120,000
-
2025-07-13price $130,000
-
2025-06-28price $137,500
-
2025-06-10price $145,000
-
2025-06-09price $155,000
-
2025-05-30$165,000 Active
-
2025-01-21price $150,000
-
2025-01-12price $155,000
-
2024-12-19price $160,000
-
2024-11-26$165,000 Active
-
2022-07-20soldstatus $105,000
-
2022-03-29$105,000
-
2020-10-30$99,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $364 · $30/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $632 · $53/mo
- Expected delta
- +$269/yr (+$22/mo · 74.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,759
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$364
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,261
- − Management
- −$1,261
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $2,512
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$603
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,672/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Allen Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200060
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -46.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -39.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,440
- Composite
- 28.45/100
- National rank
- #6751
- State rank
- #36 of 98 in LA
Livability — Oakdale
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #7566
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 9,007
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,007
Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,056 people
- By 2030
- 24,668 · -1.5%
- By 2040
- 23,964 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 23,166 · -7.5%
- By 2075
- 21,285 · -15.1%
- By 2100
- 15,904 · -36.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 10% Slovak 2% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 13% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Allen
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.0) · D 19.0% · R 80.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.7pp toward R · 2008: -36.4pp · 2024: -61.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.0 2020: R+55.7 2016: R+51.5 2012: R+41.7 2008: R+36.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.02%
- Current HPI
- 93.1157
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+16.2% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $115,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-12-16 Price Changed $120,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-11-21 Price Changed $130,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-10-03 Price Changed $135,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-09-24 Listed $150,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-08-04 Price Changed $155,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-07-23 Price Changed $120,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-07-13 Price Changed $130,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-06-28 Price Changed $137,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-06-10 Price Changed $145,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-06-09 Price Changed $155,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-05-30 Listed $165,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-01-21 Price Changed $150,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-01-12 Price Changed $155,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-12-19 Price Changed $160,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-11-26 Listed $165,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2022-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2022-03-29 Listed $105,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2020-10-30 Listed $99,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $364 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…