2508 Amos Ridge Rd · Frenchburg, KY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.3/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Come check out the view this home and 2.17 Ac. has to offer! Located close to the Indian Creek Resort this 3 bedroom 2 bath home has the opportunity for a permanent residence or income producing nightly rentals. The home is a 2015 Clayton that has been converted to real property. Inside you will find a great floor plan with large master suit and walk-in closet. A spacious kitchen design with an island, lots of counter space , and a laundry nook just off to the side. New floor coverings will be needed. 2.17 Ac with a high cliff line and road frontage gives you the opportunity to expand. An old home structure is on site that can be refurbished into a nightly rental with high cash flow rentals
Key facts
- 2.17 ac
- High cliff line
- Septic tank
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water and cistern; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Phone connected; Water connected
- Home design: Manufactured house; Building area approximately 2,400
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Shingle roof; Block and concrete perimeter foundation; Built with manufactured home construction
- Exterior features: Shed(s); Workshop; Few trees on the lot; Views of trees/woods and mountains
Interior
- Kitchen: Includes dishwasher, refrigerator, and range
- Bedrooms: 2 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Dishwasher, Refrigerator, Range; Electric dryer hookup and washer hookup; No fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-118 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $133k (11.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (22.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $116k (22.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 1.8% in Frenchburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#298 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Menifee County (rural): math 21% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #113 of 165 in KY (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Menifee Central School (662 students, 82% FRL); Menifee County High School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #158 of 254 statewide, top 68%, 287 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 64% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Menifee County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.37%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $600,000
- List price
- $149,900
- Delta
- -75.02%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-31,776
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- -15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.11×
- Total profit
- $-37,260
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40322
- Home prices YoY
- -5.0%
- Active inventory
- 31
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,162 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$187 /mo · $2,248/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $-118
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-14 | -5% $-66 | +0% $-118 | +5% $-170 | +10% $-221 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-210 | -5% $-164 | +0% $-118 | +5% $-72 | +10% $-26 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-42 | -0.5pp $-80 | base $-118 | +0.5pp $-157 | +1.0pp $-196 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
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2026-06-21days on market $149,900 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $149,900 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $149,900 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 33 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 32 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 31 DOM
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2026-04-29$149,900 Active 1066-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,946
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$2,248
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,116
- − Management
- −$1,116
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable loss
- −$4,041
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$970
- After-tax cash flow
- $-444/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Menifee County
- NCES district ID
- 2104080
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,414
- Composite
- 24.86/100
- National rank
- #7587
- State rank
- #113 of 165 in KY
Livability — Frenchburg
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #298
- US rank
- #14283
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,207
Population outlook (Menifee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 6,403 people
- By 2030
- 6,264 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 5,790 · -9.6%
- By 2050
- 5,037 · -21.3%
- By 2075
- 3,738 · -41.6%
- By 2100
- 2,519 · -60.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Menifee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.7) · D 20.2% · R 77.9% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -62.6pp toward R · 2008: 4.9pp · 2024: -57.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.7 2020: R+50.3 2016: R+47.1 2012: R+16.8 2008: D+4.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -9.47%
- Current HPI
- 181.7483
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Listed $149,900 ImagineMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…