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2724 Avenue M
D- Composite 39.1
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.4/30.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,000

2724 Avenue M · Fort Madison, IA 52627
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,672 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 68 Days on market
Built 1900 9,583 sqft lot $83/sqft · 26% above area Est $111k · 26% over ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 3-bedroom home with a non-conforming 4th bedroom and 2 bathrooms. The main level features a bedroom, 3/4 bath, and laundry for added convenience and accessibility. Multiple living spaces—including a living room and separate family room, along with formal and casual dining areas, offer flexibility to fit your lifestyle. Situated on a large lot with a 2-car detached garage, this home offers space, function, and opportunity.

Key facts

  • 9,583 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1900

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $79 ($949/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (9.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $126k (9.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 5.3% in Fort Madison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#230 in IA, #4,353 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, employment D-.
  • Fort Madison Community School District (town): math 55% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #260 of 289 in IA (top 90%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $126,150 (9.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.98%
Cash-on-cash
2.44%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$110,694
List price
$139,000
Delta
25.57%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
600 Crescent Ln 0.55mi 4/2.0 1,680 (+0%) 0mo $235,000 $140 73
2419 Avenue J 0.31mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,643 (-2%) 13mo $95,000 $58 63
2111 Avenue J 0.54mi 4/2.0 1,566 (-6%) 4mo $178,000 $114 61
1017 34th St 0.57mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,728 (+3%) 11mo $163,000 $94 54
2004 Avenue G 0.70mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,620 (-3%) 4mo $144,950 $89 54
2635 Avenue H 0.34mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,477 (-12%) 11mo $135,000 $91 51
723 33rd St 0.57mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,750 (+5%) 12mo $165,000 $94 48
30 29th Pl 0.62mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,804 (+8%) 1mo $186,000 $103 48
501 21st St 0.74mi 4/1.5 1,758 (+5%) 12mo $30,000 $17 45
3033 Avenue C 0.73mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,556 (-7%) 11mo $100,000 $64 38
512 24th St 0.58mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,856 (+11%) 14mo $83,000 $45 38
405 Vica Ln 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,442 (-14%) 10mo $140,000 $97 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.4%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-17,495
Equity at exit
$20,725
10-year hold
IRR
-3.4%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-8,780
Equity at exit
$12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 52627

Home prices YoY
-28.6%
Active inventory
64
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,262 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax from tax record
$131 /mo · $1,568/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$265
Net cashflow
$79

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,161
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $139,000 Pending 68 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 68 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 67 DOM
  4. 2026-06-14
    days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 65 DOM
  5. 2026-06-12
    days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 64 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 61 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 60 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 59 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 58 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 55 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 54 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 53 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 52 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 51 DOM
  15. 2026-05-02
    historical Active Under Contract 440-char remark
    Show marketing remark (440 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom home with a non-conforming 4th bedroom and 2 bathrooms. The main level features a bedroom, 3/4 bath, and laundry for added convenience and accessibility. Multiple living spaces—including a living room and separate family room, along with formal and casual dining areas, offer flexibility to fit your lifestyle. Situated on a large lot with a 2-car detached garage, this home offers space, function, and opportunity.

  16. 2026-04-30
    price $139,000 440-char remark
    Show marketing remark (440 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom home with a non-conforming 4th bedroom and 2 bathrooms. The main level features a bedroom, 3/4 bath, and laundry for added convenience and accessibility. Multiple living spaces—including a living room and separate family room, along with formal and casual dining areas, offer flexibility to fit your lifestyle. Situated on a large lot with a 2-car detached garage, this home offers space, function, and opportunity.

  17. 2026-04-09
    listed $149,000 Active 440-char remark
    Show marketing remark (440 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom home with a non-conforming 4th bedroom and 2 bathrooms. The main level features a bedroom, 3/4 bath, and laundry for added convenience and accessibility. Multiple living spaces—including a living room and separate family room, along with formal and casual dining areas, offer flexibility to fit your lifestyle. Situated on a large lot with a 2-car detached garage, this home offers space, function, and opportunity.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,568 · $131/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,875 · $156/mo
Expected delta
+$307/yr (+$26/mo · 19.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,138
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$1,568
− Insurance
−$695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,211
− Management
−$1,211
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable loss
−$1,377
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$330
After-tax cash flow
$1,279/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Madison Community School District
NCES district ID
1911850
Math proficiency
55% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$46,801
Composite
47.87/100
National rank
#2218
State rank
#260 of 289 in IA

Livability — Fort Madison

Score
75/100
State rank
#230
US rank
#4353

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Madison, IA
Population (ZIP)
12,585

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,813 people
By 2030
32,835 · -2.9%
By 2040
30,690 · -9.2%
By 2050
28,777 · -14.9%
By 2075
25,568 · -24.4%
By 2100
21,983 · -35.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Portuguese 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.8) · D 35.0% · R 62.9% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-43.8pp toward R · 2008: 16.0pp · 2024: -27.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.8 2020: R+19.3 2016: R+16.1 2012: D+16.0 2008: D+16.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -70.32%
Current HPI
175.7708
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Contingent IAR
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $139,000 IAR
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $149,000 IAR

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,568 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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