Triplex
2929 S Harvard Ave · Independence, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.2/30.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$682,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Excellent cap rate and one unit will be available if you would like to do owner occupant! This unit is very close to the highway and easy access to all things happening in Kansas City. It does stay rented! Please let me know if you have any questions. Showings will be scheduled upon seller availability.
Key facts
- 9,800 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 2004
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Gross income reported: $70,200; Operating expenses include maintenance and refuse collection
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $200
Exterior
- Parking: Garage parking (total 4 spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; High-speed internet available; Other utilities
- Home design: Residential income property (quadruplex); 2-story building
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Not in a flood plain
Interior
- Bedrooms: Four units with 4+ bedrooms total; individual units include 2-bedroom and 3-bedroom layouts
- Bathrooms: Units include full and half-bath combinations (some units have 2 baths and 1 half bath)
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating with heat pump; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Maintenance provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $682k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-636 ($-8k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-212/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $570k (16.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $501k (26.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $501k (26.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#10 in MO, #1,296 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Independence 30 (suburban): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #252 of 324 in MO (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Three Trails Elem. (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #676 of 1,115 statewide, top 66%, 317 students, 75% FRL); Clifford H. Nowlin Middle (math 13% / reading 29%, grade F, #342 of 391 statewide, top 88%, 875 students, 80% FRL); Van Horn High (math 13% / reading 27%, grade F, #472 of 521 statewide, top 91%, 1,047 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 58% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,012/mo this rent would consume 102% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 965% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($662k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.99%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $830,000
- List price
- $682,000
- Delta
- -17.83%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.43% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-138,444
- Equity at exit
- $101,688
- IRR
- -9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-118,539
- Equity at exit
- $58,967
Cash invested: $190,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64052
- Home prices YoY
- -34.6%
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 34.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,012 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,576
- Tax from tax record
- −$534 /mo · $6,414/yr
- Insurance
- −$284
- HOA
- −$200
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,053
- Net cashflow
- $-636
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-250 | -5% $-443 | +0% $-636 | +5% $-829 | +10% $-1,022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,032 | -5% $-834 | +0% $-636 | +5% $-438 | +10% $-240 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-292 | -0.5pp $-462 | base $-636 | +0.5pp $-812 | +1.0pp $-992 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 3 | — | $5,013 |
| #1 | 3 | — | $1,671 |
| #2 | 3 | — | $1,671 |
| #3 | 3 | — | $1,671 |
| Total (3 units) | $5,012 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $170,500
- Closing costs
- $20,460
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $200 · $2,400/yr
Listing history 37 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $682,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-18price $682,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $689,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $689,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $689,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $689,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $689,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $689,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $689,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $689,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $689,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $689,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $689,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $689,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $689,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-14$689,000 Active 305-char remark
-
2026-05-13historical $689,000 305-char remark
-
2023-12-12historical
-
2023-06-12$660,000 Active
-
2022-12-30historical
-
2022-10-31status Active
-
2022-10-04status Pending
-
2022-10-02price $642,500
-
2022-05-14price $630,000
-
2022-03-17price $650,000
-
2022-02-16price $1,325
-
2022-02-03status Active
-
2022-01-26status Pending
-
2021-12-30$630,000 Active
-
2016-07-20historical
-
2016-06-30status Active
-
2016-06-28historical Contingent - Accepting Backup Offers
-
2016-06-24status Pending
-
2016-06-16historical Contingent - Accepting Backup Offers
-
2016-01-25$349,000 Active
-
2011-08-19soldstatus
-
2011-01-28$1,205,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,414 · $534/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,615 · $551/mo
- Expected delta
- +$202/yr (+$17/mo · 3.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $60,144
- − Mortgage interest
- −$38,203
- − Property taxes
- −$6,414
- − Insurance
- −$3,410
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,812
- − Management
- −$4,812
- − HOA
- −$2,400
- − Depreciation
- −$19,840
- Taxable loss
- −$19,745
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,739
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,889/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Independence 30
- NCES district ID
- 2915480
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,843
- Composite
- 27.04/100
- National rank
- #7054
- State rank
- #252 of 324 in MO
Livability — Independence
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #10
- US rank
- #1296
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Independence, MO
- County
- Jackson County · 687,798 people
- City population
- 117,675
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,138
- Household income
- $59,007
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 965.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 719,589 people
- By 2030
- 731,456 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 746,689 · +3.8%
- By 2050
- 749,289 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 736,227 · +2.3%
- By 2100
- 668,210 · -7.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 15% Black 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 12% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -160.06%
- Current HPI
- 302.1124
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.43%
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
-42.8% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $689,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-13 Coming Soon $689,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-12 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-12 Listed $660,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-30 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-31 Relisted — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-04 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-02 Price Changed $642,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-05-14 Price Changed $630,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-17 Price Changed $650,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-16 Price Changed $1,325 RENT.
- 2022-02-03 Relisted — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-01-26 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-30 Listed $630,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-20 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-30 Relisted — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-28 Contingent — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-24 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-16 Contingent — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-01-25 Listed $349,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-08-19 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-01-28 Listed $1,205,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $6,414 · -21.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…