4325 Issaquah Pine Lake Rd SE #704 · Sammamish, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +7.3/10.0
- Cash flow +6.6/30.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- DSCR +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$290,400
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
NO REPRESENTATION TO THE VALIDITY OF INFORMATION IS MADE, BUYER TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION WHEREIN. Interior inspections are not available; do not trespass!
Key facts
- $400 HOA
- Garage
- Built 2002
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-478 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $206k (29.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $236k (18.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $206k (29.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 1.3% in Sammamish — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 87/100 on livability (#13 in WA, #254 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- Issaquah School District (suburban): math 77% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #4 of 291 in WA (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Sunny Hills Elementary (559 students, 10% FRL); Pine Lake Middle School (900 students, 5% FRL); Skyline High School (2,170 students, 7% FRL) — zoned schools at 7% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 169 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 11% of the median local income ($250k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 290 days — a 12% lower offer ($256k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $62k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 290 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.05%
- DSCR
- 0.69
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $441,791
- List price
- $290,400
- Delta
- -34.27%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4081 224th Ln SE #211 | 0.63mi | 1/1.0 | 886 (-2%) | 7mo | $335,000 | $378 | 62 |
| 4266 221st Ct SE #1090 | 0.59mi | 1/1.0 | 940 (+4%) | 7mo | $395,000 | $420 | 60 |
| 4254 221st Pl SE #1088 | 0.62mi | 1/1.0 | 848 (-6%) | 2mo | $340,000 | $401 | 59 |
| 4228 221st Pl SE #1083 | 0.65mi | 1/1.0 | 848 (-6%) | 1mo | $355,000 | $419 | 58 |
| 4133 224th Ln SE #111 | 0.55mi | 1/1.0 | 886 (-2%) | 16mo | $325,000 | $367 | 58 |
| 4222 221st Pl SE #1081 | 0.67mi | 1/1.0 | 848 (-6%) | 1mo | $360,000 | $425 | 58 |
| 22142 SE 40th Ln #1121 | 0.74mi | 1/1.0 | 870 (-4%) | 2mo | $349,000 | $401 | 57 |
| 22539 SE 42nd Ter #1189 | 0.46mi | 1/1.5 | 1,012 (+12%) | 3mo | $415,000 | $410 | 54 |
| 4109 224th Ln SE #110 | 0.59mi | 1/1.0 | 832 (-8%) | 16mo | $330,000 | $397 | 46 |
| 22405 SE 42nd Ter #1174 | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 1,012 (+12%) | 3mo | $444,000 | $439 | 44 |
| 3941 226th Pl SE #111 | 0.66mi | 1/1.0 | 818 (-9%) | 15mo | $320,000 | $391 | 41 |
| 4152 Providence Point Dr SE #207 | 0.67mi | 1/1.5 | 1,012 (+12%) | 11mo | $350,000 | $346 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -32.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.03×
- Total profit
- $-84,155
- Equity at exit
- $43,300
- IRR
- -65.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.70×
- Total profit
- $-138,172
- Equity at exit
- $25,108
Cash invested: $81,312 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98075
- Rents YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 169
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,355 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,523
- Tax from tax record
- −$295 /mo · $3,535/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$400
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$495
- Net cashflow
- $-478
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-313 | -5% $-396 | +0% $-478 | +5% $-560 | +10% $-642 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-664 | -5% $-571 | +0% $-478 | +5% $-385 | +10% $-292 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-332 | -0.5pp $-404 | base $-478 | +0.5pp $-553 | +1.0pp $-630 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,600
- Closing costs
- $8,712
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4425 Issaquah Pine Lake Rd SE Sammamish, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1134 | $2,470 | $2.18 | 0d | 13 | 0.25mi |
| 4081 224th Ln SE #302 Issaquah, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1075 | $2,600 | $2.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4902 Issaquah Pine Lake Rd SE Sammamish, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,800 | $2.57 | 19d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 5105 Issaquah Pine Lake Rd SE Issaquah, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 907 | $2,480 | $2.73 | 1d | 8 | 0.89mi |
| 3070 230th Ln SE Sammamish, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 874 | $2,035 | $2.33 | 0d | 18 | 1.03mi |
| 22500 SE 56th St Issaquah, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1046 | $2,506 | $2.39 | 0d | 7 | 1.14mi |
| 22720 SE 29th St Sammamish, WA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $2,600 | $2.30 | 19d | 2 | 1.18mi |
| 23520 SE Issaquah Fall City Rd Unit R Issaquah, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $2,300 | $4.18 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 25025 SE Klahanie Blvd Unit C102 Sammamish, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,095 | $2.21 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 23425 SE Black Nugget Rd Issaquah, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1270 | $2,770 | $2.18 | 0d | 25 | 1.33mi |
| 25235 SE Klahanie Blvd Unit C201 Sammamish, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 719 | $2,100 | $2.92 | 26d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 25235 SE Klahanie Blvd Unit C204 Sammamish, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 719 | $2,100 | $2.92 | 7d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 906 NE Lilac St Issaquah, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1081 | $2,549 | $2.36 | 0d | 16 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $400 · $4,800/yr
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $290,400 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $290,400 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $290,400 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $290,400 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $290,400 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $290,400 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $290,400 Active 281 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $290,400 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $290,400 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $290,400 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $290,400 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $290,400 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $290,400 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $290,400 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $290,400 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-04-07price $290,400
-
2025-10-22price $325,600
-
2025-09-04$352,000 Active
-
2022-04-26soldstatus $503,000
-
2018-06-21soldstatus $405,999 Sold
-
2018-06-21soldstatus $405,989
-
2018-05-23status Pending
-
2018-05-17$400,000 Active
-
2003-07-25soldstatus $169,990
-
2003-04-15$169,990
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,535 · $295/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,535 · $295/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,262
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,267
- − Property taxes
- −$3,535
- − Insurance
- −$1,452
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,261
- − Management
- −$2,261
- − HOA
- −$4,800
- − Depreciation
- −$8,448
- Taxable loss
- −$10,761
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,583
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,152/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Issaquah School District
- NCES district ID
- 5303750
- Math proficiency
- 77% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 81% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $109,747
- Composite
- 73.35/100
- National rank
- #339
- State rank
- #4 of 291 in WA
Livability — Sammamish
- Score
- 87/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #254
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sammamish, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 56,259
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,498
- Household income
- $250,001
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 156.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Asian 35% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 2% Portuguese 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 35% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Chinese 11% Other Indo-European 10% Other Asian/Pacific 6%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -870.51%
- Current HPI
- 390.4984
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.39%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+70.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $290,400 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-22 Price Changed $325,600 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-04 Listed $352,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $503,000 Public Records
- 2018-06-21 Sold (Public Records) $405,989 Public Records
- 2018-06-21 Sold (MLS) $405,999 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-05-23 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-05-17 Listed $400,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-07-25 Sold (MLS) $169,990 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-04-15 Listed $169,990 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,535 · -20.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…