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21290 Seminole St
A- Composite 83.1
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$55,000

21290 Seminole St · Lockhart, AL 36442
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,264 sqft · SingleFamily · 25 Days on market
Built 1905 Fair condition 0.34 ac lot $44/sqft · 43% below area Est $96k · 43% under ↓ 21% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fixer-upper in Lockhart, AL. This property is being sold as-is, where-is, and is best suited for a cash buyer. The roof was replaced in 2023, adding a solid feature to build on. The yard is partially fenced, offering some privacy and potential for landscaping. Inside, the home features 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom and will need updates throughout. A blank canvas ready for your vision and value creation.

Key facts

  • Roof replaced
  • 0.34 acre lot
  • Built 1905

Tags

ROOF REPLACEDPARTIALLY FENCED YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Part of the Town of Lockhart community

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electric service; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Traditional-style home; One story; Built in 1905
  • Construction: Composite shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Partially fenced lot; Screened porch; Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 90 x 165; City street frontage with paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the first floor)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Electric heat controls
  • Interior features: Bonus room on the first floor; Covered porch on the first floor; Screened porch on the first floor; Living room on the first floor; Dining room on the first floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $450 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $54k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#183 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, amenities F.
  • Covington County (rural): math 27% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #32 of 129 in AL (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Covington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
  • Covington County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $48k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $54,175 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.91%
Cap rate
16.10%
Cash-on-cash
35.03%
DSCR
2.56
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$96,487
List price
$55,000
Delta
-43.00%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
21220 Cherokee Ave 0.13mi 3/2.5 1,344 (+6%) 1mo $225,000 $167 76
21082 Seminole St 0.12mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,448 (+15%) 12mo $115,000 $79 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.97% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
42.2%
Equity multiple
3.48×
Total profit
$38,158
Equity at exit
$27,796
10-year hold
IRR
41.1%
Equity multiple
6.99×
Total profit
$92,323
Equity at exit
$45,392

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36442

Home prices YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
58
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,050 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax est. 1.5%
$69 /mo · $825/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$221
Net cashflow
$450

Break-even live

Break-even rent $481
Max offer price $55,000
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    price $55,000 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Fixer-upper in Lockhart, AL. This property is being sold as-is, where-is, and is best suited for a cash buyer. The roof was replaced in 2023, adding a solid feature to build on. The yard is partially fenced, offering some privacy and potential for landscaping. Inside, the home features 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom and will need updates throughout. A blank canvas ready for your vision and value creation.

  2. 2026-05-13
    price $55,000 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Fixer-upper in Lockhart, AL. This property is being sold as-is, where-is, and is best suited for a cash buyer. The roof was replaced in 2023, adding a solid feature to build on. The yard is partially fenced, offering some privacy and potential for landscaping. Inside, the home features 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom and will need updates throughout. A blank canvas ready for your vision and value creation.

  3. 2026-05-13
    price $55,900 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Fixer-upper in Lockhart, AL. This property is being sold as-is, where-is, and is best suited for a cash buyer. The roof was replaced in 2023, adding a solid feature to build on. The yard is partially fenced, offering some privacy and potential for landscaping. Inside, the home features 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom and will need updates throughout. A blank canvas ready for your vision and value creation.

  4. 2026-04-28
    status Active 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Fixer-upper in Lockhart, AL. This property is being sold as-is, where-is, and is best suited for a cash buyer. The roof was replaced in 2023, adding a solid feature to build on. The yard is partially fenced, offering some privacy and potential for landscaping. Inside, the home features 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom and will need updates throughout. A blank canvas ready for your vision and value creation.

  5. 2026-04-28
    status Active 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Fixer-upper in Lockhart, AL. This property is being sold as-is, where-is, and is best suited for a cash buyer. The roof was replaced in 2023, adding a solid feature to build on. The yard is partially fenced, offering some privacy and potential for landscaping. Inside, the home features 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom and will need updates throughout. A blank canvas ready for your vision and value creation.

  6. 2026-04-28
    status Pending 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Fixer-upper in Lockhart, AL. This property is being sold as-is, where-is, and is best suited for a cash buyer. The roof was replaced in 2023, adding a solid feature to build on. The yard is partially fenced, offering some privacy and potential for landscaping. Inside, the home features 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom and will need updates throughout. A blank canvas ready for your vision and value creation.

  7. 2026-04-27
    historical Active Under Contract 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Fixer-upper in Lockhart, AL. This property is being sold as-is, where-is, and is best suited for a cash buyer. The roof was replaced in 2023, adding a solid feature to build on. The yard is partially fenced, offering some privacy and potential for landscaping. Inside, the home features 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom and will need updates throughout. A blank canvas ready for your vision and value creation.

  8. 2026-04-26
    listed $59,900 Active 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Fixer-upper in Lockhart, AL. This property is being sold as-is, where-is, and is best suited for a cash buyer. The roof was replaced in 2023, adding a solid feature to build on. The yard is partially fenced, offering some privacy and potential for landscaping. Inside, the home features 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom and will need updates throughout. A blank canvas ready for your vision and value creation.

  9. 2026-04-26
    listed $59,900 Active 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Fixer-upper in Lockhart, AL. This property is being sold as-is, where-is, and is best suited for a cash buyer. The roof was replaced in 2023, adding a solid feature to build on. The yard is partially fenced, offering some privacy and potential for landscaping. Inside, the home features 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom and will need updates throughout. A blank canvas ready for your vision and value creation.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,603
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$825
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,008
− Management
−$1,008
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$4,806
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,153
After-tax cash flow
$4,242/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This fixer-upper in Lockhart, AL, requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and value. Painting, flooring replacement, and landscaping are key updates to increase its resale and rental potential.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Painting — Siding appears faded
  • Major Flooring — Worn hardwood floors
  • Minor Paint — Interior walls show wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Flooring replacement — Improves living space and rental value
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances property's visual appeal and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Painting · Siding appears faded Minor $500–3,000
Flooring · Worn hardwood floors Major $15,000–50,000
Paint · Interior walls show wear Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $16,000–56,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Flooring replacement — Improves living space and rental value
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances property's visual appeal and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Covington County
NCES district ID
0100930
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$39,213
Composite
32.13/100
National rank
#5797
State rank
#32 of 129 in AL

Livability — Lockhart

Score
63/100
State rank
#183
US rank
#15412

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lockhart, AL
City population
284
Population (ZIP)
3,615

Population outlook (Covington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,007 people
By 2030
36,401 · -1.6%
By 2040
34,983 · -5.5%
By 2050
33,437 · -9.6%
By 2075
29,753 · -19.6%
By 2100
25,109 · -32.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 11% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Covington

2024 margin
Solid R (+72.4) · D 13.6% · R 86.0%
2008→2024 swing
-14.1pp toward R · 2008: -58.3pp · 2024: -72.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+72.4 2020: R+68.1 2016: R+68.5 2012: R+58.3 2008: R+58.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.97%
Current HPI
182.2844
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-20.7% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Sold (MLS) $47,500 CAOR
  • 2026-06-11 Sold (MLS) $47,500 ECAR
  • 2026-05-23 Pending ECAR
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $55,000 CAOR
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $55,000 ECAR
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $55,900 CAOR
  • 2026-04-28 Relisted CAOR
  • 2026-04-28 Relisted ECAR
  • 2026-04-28 Pending ECAR
  • 2026-04-27 Contingent CAOR
  • 2026-04-26 Listed $59,900 CAOR
  • 2026-04-26 Listed $59,900 ECAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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