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127/129 N Washington St
D Composite 41.67
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +9.7/15.0
  • Appreciation +8.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.6/30.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • DSCR +1.7/10.0

$379,999

127/129 N Washington St · Athens, NY 12015
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,674 sqft · SingleFamily · 69 Days on market
Built 1989 1.30 ac lot $227/sqft · at area comps Est $400k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Expansive 1.3-Acre Riverfront Site with Potential! Located along the Hudson River waterfront in the Village of Athens, this property offers a unique setting with views of the river and distant hills. Discover a rare opportunity in the Village of Athens at 127-129 North Washington Street. This property features an expansive 1.30-acre lot--a significant land holding for the village--extending directly to the Hudson River waterfront. Direct shoreline frontage featuring a historic, partially submerged vessel visible just offshore, a unique maritime landmark that attracts local birdlife. The existing structure is a renovation project, offering a blank slate for those looking to rebuild or restore. Bring your tools and your vision to transform this unique site. Convenient to the Village of Athens amenities, including Riverfront Park, local dining, and the Hudson-Athens ferry. The property provides easy access to the Hudson Amtrak station and regional highways for efficient commuting. A unique combination of river views, substantial acreage, and creative potential. Property being sold strictly AS-IS.

Key facts

  • Expansive lot
  • 1.3 acre lot
  • Built 1989

Tags

1.3-ACRE RIVERFRONT SITEHUDSON RIVER WATERFRONTDIRECT SHORELINE FRONTAGEEXPANSIVE LOTUNIQUE MARITIME LANDMARK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $380k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-454 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $314k (17.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $275k (27.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $275k (27.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#785 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Coxsackie-Athens Central School District (town): math 43% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #384 of 590 in NY (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Edward J Arthur Elementary School (math 44% / reading 64%, grade C, #908 of 2,108 statewide, top 46%, 184 students, 40% FRL); Coxsackie-Athens Middle School (math 22% / reading 46%, grade F, #497 of 729 statewide, top 69%, 364 students, 41% FRL); Coxsackie-Athens High School (math 87% / reading 82%, grade A, #379 of 1,100 statewide, top 36%, 365 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools at 27% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 97 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $25k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
  • Greene County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($357k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $274,988 (27.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
4.86%
Cash-on-cash
-5.12%
DSCR
0.77
GRM
11.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$399,599
List price
$379,999
Delta
-4.90%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15 North Warren St 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,648 (-2%) 10mo $350,000 $212 54
106 N Washington St 0.11mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,907 (+14%) 17mo $313,100 $164 48
52 N Franklin St 0.47mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,438 (-14%) 3mo $334,900 $233 46
7 N Vernon St 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,606 (-4%) 15mo $250,000 $156 42
31 Constantine Ct 0.44mi 3/3.0 (+1) 1,545 (-8%) 13mo $370,000 $239 42
9 Constantine Ct 0.36mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,506 (-10%) 20mo $310,000 $206 40
37 N Vernon 0.48mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,876 (+12%) 18mo $375,000 $200 35
29 Constantine Ct 0.44mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,437 (-14%) 20mo $387,500 $270 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.93% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.0%
Equity multiple
1.74×
Total profit
$79,162
Equity at exit
$237,076
10-year hold
IRR
12.1%
Equity multiple
3.41×
Total profit
$256,005
Equity at exit
$428,375

Cash invested: $106,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12015

Home prices YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
91
Price-to-rent
11.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,750 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,993
Tax est. 1.5%
$475 /mo · $5,700/yr
Insurance
$158
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$577
Net cashflow
$-454

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,324
Max offer price $314,350
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-191 -5% $-322 +0% $-454 +5% $-585 +10% $-716
Rent -10% $-671 -5% $-562 +0% $-454 +5% $-345 +10% $-236
Rate -1.0pp $-262 -0.5pp $-357 base $-454 +0.5pp $-552 +1.0pp $-652

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$95,000
Closing costs
$11,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
227 Warren St Unit 3 Hudson, NY 3.0 1.0 1400 $2,600 $1.86 25d 1 1.26mi
210 Allen St Hudson, NY 2.0 1.0 1400 $2,900 $2.07 25d 1 1.27mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $379,999 Active 69 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $379,999 Active 66 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $379,999 Active 65 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $379,999 Active 64 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $379,999 Active 63 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $379,999 Active 61 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $379,999 Active 60 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $379,999 Active 58 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $379,999 Active 57 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $379,999 Active 56 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $379,999 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $379,999 Active 52 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $379,999 Active 51 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $379,999 Active 50 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $379,999 Active 49 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $379,999 Active 48 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $379,999 Active 47 DOM
  18. 2026-04-11
    listed $379,999 Active 1112-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1112 chars)

    Expansive 1.3-Acre Riverfront Site with Potential! Located along the Hudson River waterfront in the Village of Athens, this property offers a unique setting with views of the river and distant hills. Discover a rare opportunity in the Village of Athens at 127-129 North Washington Street. This property features an expansive 1.30-acre lot--a significant land holding for the village--extending directly to the Hudson River waterfront. Direct shoreline frontage featuring a historic, partially submerged vessel visible just offshore, a unique maritime landmark that attracts local birdlife. The existing structure is a renovation project, offering a blank slate for those looking to rebuild or restore. Bring your tools and your vision to transform this unique site. Convenient to the Village of Athens amenities, including Riverfront Park, local dining, and the Hudson-Athens ferry. The property provides easy access to the Hudson Amtrak station and regional highways for efficient commuting. A unique combination of river views, substantial acreage, and creative potential. Property being sold strictly AS-IS.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,999
− Mortgage interest
−$21,286
− Property taxes
−$5,700
− Insurance
−$1,900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,640
− Management
−$2,640
− Depreciation
−$11,055
Taxable loss
−$12,222
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,933
After-tax cash flow
$-2,511/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Coxsackie-Athens Central School District
NCES district ID
3608490
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 19.00%
Median HH income
$55,006
Composite
42.8/100
National rank
#3143
State rank
#384 of 590 in NY

Livability — Athens

Score
63/100
State rank
#785
US rank
#15102

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Athens, NY
Population (ZIP)
4,084

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,963 people
By 2030
43,126 · -4.1%
By 2040
38,756 · -13.8%
By 2050
34,913 · -22.4%
By 2075
28,156 · -37.4%
By 2100
22,296 · -50.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Iranian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
90% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
R (+17.0) · D 41.5% · R 58.5%
2008→2024 swing
-7.1pp toward R · 2008: -9.9pp · 2024: -17.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.0 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+11.1 2008: R+9.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.93%
Current HPI
426.3034
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-11 Listed $379,999 HVCRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…