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57393 Lupine Dr Triplex
C Composite 58.34
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.9/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$525,000

57393 Lupine Dr · Yucca Valley, CA 92284
6 bd · 6.0 ba · 3,278 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 80 Days on market
Built 1987 0.77 ac lot $160/sqft · 14% below area Est $612k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Triplex. The front unit is a separate house. The back two units are attached at the garages. Each unit has a living room, kitchen and two bedrooms. There is also an additional room with a sliding glass door to a small patio. Some tenants use this room as a den, a dining room, a game room, a family room OR even an extra bedroom. Many possibilities! Each unit has two full baths and a one car garage. There are laundry hook-up in the garages. Located near shopping, banks, and Post Office.

Key facts

  • Separate house
  • Near post office
  • Near shopping

Tags

SEPARATE HOUSESMALL PATIOLAUNDRY HOOK-UPNEAR SHOPPINGNEAR BANKSNEAR POST OFFICE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $525k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $610 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $203/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $525k).
  • Recommended offer: $494k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.6% in Yucca Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#566 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, crime D-, amenities D-.
  • Morongo Unified (town): math 15% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #395 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Onaga Elementary (580 students, 58% FRL); La Contenta Middle (math 11% / reading 27%, grade F, #426 of 498 statewide, top 86%, 650 students, 72% FRL); Yucca Valley High (math 15% / reading 49%, grade F, #674 of 1,170 statewide, top 59%, 1,264 students, 64% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 573 active listings in the ZIP; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,537/mo this rent would consume 114% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 1132% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($494k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $70k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $429k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $493,500 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
7.97%
Cash-on-cash
6.01%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$612,238
List price
$525,000
Delta
-14.25%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.2%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-39,714
Equity at exit
$78,279
10-year hold
IRR
3.8%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$42,650
Equity at exit
$45,392

Cash invested: $147,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92284

Home prices YoY
-33.1%
Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
573
Price-to-rent
23.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,537 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,753
Tax from tax record
$667 /mo · $7,999/yr
Insurance
$219
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,163
Net cashflow
$610

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,764
Max offer price $525,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $908 -5% $759 +0% $610 +5% $462 +10% $313
Rent -10% $173 -5% $392 +0% $610 +5% $829 +10% $1,048
Rate -1.0pp $875 -0.5pp $744 base $610 +0.5pp $474 +1.0pp $336

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $5,537

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$131,250
Closing costs
$15,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $525,000 Active 80 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $525,000 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $525,000 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $525,000 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $525,000 Active 74 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $525,000 Active 72 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $525,000 Active 71 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $525,000 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $525,000 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $525,000 Active 66 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $525,000 Active 63 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $525,000 Active 62 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $525,000 Active 61 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $525,000 Active 60 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $525,000 Active 59 DOM
  16. 2026-05-19
    status Active 489-char remark
    Show marketing remark (489 chars)

    Triplex. The front unit is a separate house. The back two units are attached at the garages. Each unit has a living room, kitchen and two bedrooms. There is also an additional room with a sliding glass door to a small patio. Some tenants use this room as a den, a dining room, a game room, a family room OR even an extra bedroom. Many possibilities! Each unit has two full baths and a one car garage. There are laundry hook-up in the garages. Located near shopping, banks, and Post Office.

  17. 2026-05-19
    price $525,000 489-char remark
    Show marketing remark (489 chars)

    Triplex. The front unit is a separate house. The back two units are attached at the garages. Each unit has a living room, kitchen and two bedrooms. There is also an additional room with a sliding glass door to a small patio. Some tenants use this room as a den, a dining room, a game room, a family room OR even an extra bedroom. Many possibilities! Each unit has two full baths and a one car garage. There are laundry hook-up in the garages. Located near shopping, banks, and Post Office.

  18. 2026-05-18
    status Pending Sale 489-char remark
    Show marketing remark (489 chars)

    Triplex. The front unit is a separate house. The back two units are attached at the garages. Each unit has a living room, kitchen and two bedrooms. There is also an additional room with a sliding glass door to a small patio. Some tenants use this room as a den, a dining room, a game room, a family room OR even an extra bedroom. Many possibilities! Each unit has two full baths and a one car garage. There are laundry hook-up in the garages. Located near shopping, banks, and Post Office.

  19. 2026-04-10
    price $565,000 489-char remark
    Show marketing remark (489 chars)

    Triplex. The front unit is a separate house. The back two units are attached at the garages. Each unit has a living room, kitchen and two bedrooms. There is also an additional room with a sliding glass door to a small patio. Some tenants use this room as a den, a dining room, a game room, a family room OR even an extra bedroom. Many possibilities! Each unit has two full baths and a one car garage. There are laundry hook-up in the garages. Located near shopping, banks, and Post Office.

  20. 2026-04-02
    listed $595,000 Active 489-char remark
    Show marketing remark (489 chars)

    Triplex. The front unit is a separate house. The back two units are attached at the garages. Each unit has a living room, kitchen and two bedrooms. There is also an additional room with a sliding glass door to a small patio. Some tenants use this room as a den, a dining room, a game room, a family room OR even an extra bedroom. Many possibilities! Each unit has two full baths and a one car garage. There are laundry hook-up in the garages. Located near shopping, banks, and Post Office.

  21. 2006-06-12
    soldstatus $429,000
  22. 2006-05-04
    historical
  23. 2006-03-08
    listed $480,000
  24. 1987-09-23
    soldstatus $126,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$7,999 · $667/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,999 · $667/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$66,444
− Mortgage interest
−$29,408
− Property taxes
−$7,999
− Insurance
−$4,128
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,316
− Management
−$5,316
− Depreciation
−$15,273
Taxable loss
−$995
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$239
After-tax cash flow
$7,565/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Morongo Unified
NCES district ID
0625860
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$39,399
Composite
22.19/100
National rank
#8156
State rank
#395 of 517 in CA

Livability — Yucca Valley

Score
60/100
State rank
#566
US rank
#18584

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living D+ Crime D- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Yucca Valley, CA
County
San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
City population
25,415
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
25,415
Household income
$58,373
Rent vs Own
34.1% rent · 65.9% own
Severe rent burden
1132.0

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 18% Black 2% Native American 2% Asian 2% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -241.13%
Current HPI
486.7185
Rent YoY
▲ 4.12%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+315.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $525,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-05-18 Pending CRMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $565,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $595,000 CRMLS
  • 2006-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $429,000 Public Records
  • 2006-05-04 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2006-03-08 Listed $480,000 GPSMLS
  • 1987-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $126,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,999 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…