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604 W Caffery Ave
B+ Composite 75.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

604 W Caffery Ave · Pharr, TX 78577
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,900 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1989 6,229 sqft lot $63/sqft · 38% below area Est $193k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming and well-located property at 604 W Caffery Avenue in Pharr, offering a great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. This residence features a functional layout designed for comfortable everyday living, with ample natural light and well-proportioned living spaces. Situated on a generously sized lot, the property provides plenty of outdoor space with potential for expansion, entertaining, or future improvements. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, dining, and with quick access to major roadways, this home combines accessibility with neighborhood charm. A solid opportunity in a growing area—schedule your private showing today!

Key facts

  • Ample natural light
  • Generously sized lot
  • Quick access

Tags

FUNCTIONAL LAYOUTAMPLE NATURAL LIGHTGENEROUSLY SIZED LOTOUTDOOR SPACEQUICK ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: 1 total parking space; Covered parking; 1-car carport; Garage faces front (no garage spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Brick construction; Composition shingle roof; Crawl space foundation with pillar/post/pier supports; Does not include owned lot
  • Construction: Brick exterior
  • Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Corner lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric water heater; No conveying appliances
  • Flooring: Granite flooring
  • Bathrooms: 4 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Granite countertops; Walk-in closet(s); No window coverings

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $480 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 3.4% in Pharr — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#245 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pharr-San Juan-Alamo ISD (suburban): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #740 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 451 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $116,400 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
11.09%
Cash-on-cash
17.15%
DSCR
1.76
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$193,161
List price
$120,000
Delta
-37.88%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
610 W Gore Ave 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,790 (-6%) 20mo $165,000 $92 64
117 W Hawk Ave 0.45mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,842 (-3%) 2mo $215,000 $117 64
307 W Boone Ave 0.41mi 3/2.0 2,065 (+9%) 10mo $205,000 $99 58
309 E Jones Ave 0.68mi 3/3.0 1,856 (-2%) 10mo $95,000 $51 52
401 E Gore Ave 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,738 (-8%) 6mo $138,000 $79 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.8%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$5,999
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
11.0%
Equity multiple
1.74×
Total profit
$24,771
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78577

Home prices YoY
-8.1%
Rents YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
451
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,782 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$248 /mo · $2,981/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$374
Net cashflow
$480

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,174
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $548 -5% $514 +0% $480 +5% $446 +10% $412
Rent -10% $339 -5% $410 +0% $480 +5% $551 +10% $621
Rate -1.0pp $541 -0.5pp $511 base $480 +0.5pp $449 +1.0pp $417

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
302 W Sam Houston Blvd Pharr, TX 3.0 2.0 2037 $2,100 $1.03 24d 1 0.41mi
1000 S Flag St Pharr, TX 4.0 3.0 2215 $2,275 $1.03 15d 1 0.52mi
1000 S Flag St Pharr, TX 4.0 3.0 2215 $2,350 $1.06 44d 1 0.52mi
134 W Daffodil Ave Pharr, TX 3.0 2.0 1684 $1,500 $0.89 24d 1 0.65mi
907 S Diplomat Dr Pharr, TX 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,750 $1.30 44d 1 0.75mi
518 E Kelly Ave Pharr, TX 2.0 2.0 1482 $1,300 $0.88 44d 1 0.84mi
900 E Dallas Ave #17 McAllen, TX 2.0 2.0 1367 $1,450 $1.06 44d 1 1.27mi
900 E Dallas Ave Unit UT3 McAllen, TX 3.0 2.0 1371 $1,550 $1.13 15d 1 1.27mi
901 E Dallas Ave #16 McAllen, TX 3.0 3.0 1940 $1,500 $0.77 44d 1 1.30mi
1506 S Bilboa St Unit 1 Pharr, TX 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,600 $1.07 44d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 47 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 46 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 45 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $120,000 Active 43 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 42 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $120,000 Active 40 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $120,000 Active 37 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,500 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,500 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,500 Active 31 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,500 Active 30 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,500 Active 29 DOM
  16. 2026-05-15
    price $129,500 663-char remark
  17. 2026-05-01
    listed $139,000 Active 663-char remark
  18. 2026-04-12
    listed $142,500 Active
  19. 2025-11-24
    soldstatus
  20. 2018-08-27
    historical Temporarily Off Market
  21. 2018-08-07
    status Active
  22. 2018-07-24
    historical Option
  23. 2018-05-01
    listed $80,000 Active
  24. 2016-01-12
    soldstatus
  25. 2005-01-06
    soldstatus
  26. 2005-01-06
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,981 · $248/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,981 · $248/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,384
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$2,981
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,711
− Management
−$1,711
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$4,169
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,001
After-tax cash flow
$4,761/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pharr-San Juan-Alamo ISD
NCES district ID
4834860
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -34.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$33,757
Composite
19.63/100
National rank
#8744
State rank
#740 of 826 in TX

Livability — Pharr

Score
72/100
State rank
#245
US rank
#5852

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pharr, TX
County
Hidalgo County · 623,128 people
City population
80,540
Metro
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
Population (ZIP)
80,540
Household income
$52,770
Rent vs Own
41.0% rent · 59.0% own
Severe rent burden
2161.0

Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
955,232 people
By 2030
1,009,774 · +5.7%
By 2040
1,120,332 · +17.3%
By 2050
1,225,036 · +28.2%
By 2075
1,439,189 · +50.7%
By 2100
1,533,429 · +60.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (95%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 95% Two or more races 45% White 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 92%
Foreign-born
29% · Canada
Languages at home
18% English-only · Spanish 81%

Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
2008→2024 swing
-41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -23.00%
Current HPI
261.1606
Rent YoY
▼ -0.24%
Metro
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+50.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $120,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $129,500 MCALLENMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $139,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2026-04-12 Listed $142,500 MCALLENMLS
  • 2025-11-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-08-27 Delisted MCALLENMLS
  • 2018-08-07 Relisted MCALLENMLS
  • 2018-07-24 Contingent MCALLENMLS
  • 2018-05-01 Listed $80,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2016-01-12 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2005-01-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2005-01-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,981 · +13.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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