31 Woodcrest Dr · Marysville, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Cute mobile home in a quiet neighborhood. Many renovations completed. New roof, windows, plumbing, flooring and appliances.
Key facts
- New plumbing
- New flooring
- New appliances
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $60k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $830 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.9% vs local median 2.2% in Marysville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#157 in OH, #2,377 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Marysville Exempted Village (town): math 67% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #137 of 656 in OH (top 21%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 222 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,498 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (831 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Union County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 59.36%
- DSCR
- 3.64
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.75% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 55.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.37×
- Total profit
- $39,674
- Equity at exit
- $8,931
- IRR
- 59.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.31×
- Total profit
- $89,015
- Equity at exit
- $5,179
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43040
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 222
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,574 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $898/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$331
- Net cashflow
- $830
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $871 | -5% $850 | +0% $830 | +5% $809 | +10% $788 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $705 | -5% $767 | +0% $830 | +5% $892 | +10% $954 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $860 | -0.5pp $845 | base $830 | +0.5pp $814 | +1.0pp $798 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1000 Kenmore Xing Marysville, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 957 | $1,310 | $1.37 | 2d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $59,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $59,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-04-21$59,900 Active 350-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,891
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$898
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,511
- − Management
- −$1,511
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $9,572
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,297
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,659/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This mobile home is in good condition with recent renovations, including a new roof and windows. It is move-in ready with a good exterior and interior, and minor cosmetic improvements could further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marysville Exempted Village
- NCES district ID
- 3904547
- Math proficiency
- 67% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,329
- Composite
- 60.81/100
- National rank
- #819
- State rank
- #137 of 656 in OH
Livability — Marysville
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #157
- US rank
- #2377
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marysville, OH
- County
- Union County · 57,133 people
- City population
- 38,990
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,990
- Household income
- $99,321
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 437.0
Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 58,316 people
- By 2030
- 60,024 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 62,846 · +7.8%
- By 2050
- 64,195 · +10.1%
- By 2075
- 65,468 · +12.3%
- By 2100
- 60,748 · +4.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Union
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.6) · D 34.7% · R 64.3% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.6pp toward R · 2008: -28.0pp · 2024: -29.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.6 2020: R+31.5 2016: R+38.0 2012: R+29.7 2008: R+28.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -266.67%
- Current HPI
- 237.0968
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.75%
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $59,900 FSBO.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…