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31 Woodcrest Dr
B Composite 74.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

31 Woodcrest Dr · Marysville, OH 43040
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · Other · 23 Days on market
Built 1986 Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Cute mobile home in a quiet neighborhood. Many renovations completed. New roof, windows, plumbing, flooring and appliances.

Key facts

  • New plumbing
  • New flooring
  • New appliances

Tags

QUIET NEIGHBORHOODNEW ROOFNEW WINDOWSNEW PLUMBINGNEW FLOORINGNEW APPLIANCES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $60k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $830 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 22.9% vs local median 2.2% in Marysville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#157 in OH, #2,377 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Marysville Exempted Village (town): math 67% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #137 of 656 in OH (top 21%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 222 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,498 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (831 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Union County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $59,001 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.63%
Cap rate
22.91%
Cash-on-cash
59.36%
DSCR
3.64
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.75% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
55.5%
Equity multiple
3.37×
Total profit
$39,674
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
59.7%
Equity multiple
6.31×
Total profit
$89,015
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43040

Rents YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
222
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,574 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $898/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$331
Net cashflow
$830

Break-even live

Break-even rent $524
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 42%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $871 -5% $850 +0% $830 +5% $809 +10% $788
Rent -10% $705 -5% $767 +0% $830 +5% $892 +10% $954
Rate -1.0pp $860 -0.5pp $845 base $830 +0.5pp $814 +1.0pp $798

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1000 Kenmore Xing Marysville, OH 2.0 2.0 957 $1,310 $1.37 2d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,900 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,900 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $59,900 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,900 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-04-21
    listed $59,900 Active 350-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,891
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$898
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,511
− Management
−$1,511
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$9,572
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,297
After-tax cash flow
$7,659/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This mobile home is in good condition with recent renovations, including a new roof and windows. It is move-in ready with a good exterior and interior, and minor cosmetic improvements could further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marysville Exempted Village
NCES district ID
3904547
Math proficiency
67% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$65,329
Composite
60.81/100
National rank
#819
State rank
#137 of 656 in OH

Livability — Marysville

Score
78/100
State rank
#157
US rank
#2377

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Marysville, OH
County
Union County · 57,133 people
City population
38,990
Metro
Columbus, OH
Population (ZIP)
38,990
Household income
$99,321
Rent vs Own
25.7% rent · 74.3% own
Severe rent burden
437.0

Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
58,316 people
By 2030
60,024 · +2.9%
By 2040
62,846 · +7.8%
By 2050
64,195 · +10.1%
By 2075
65,468 · +12.3%
By 2100
60,748 · +4.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Union

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.6) · D 34.7% · R 64.3% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-1.6pp toward R · 2008: -28.0pp · 2024: -29.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.6 2020: R+31.5 2016: R+38.0 2012: R+29.7 2008: R+28.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -266.67%
Current HPI
237.0968
Rent YoY
▲ 0.75%
Metro
Columbus, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $59,900 FSBO.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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