Timms Plan · Converse, TX 78109

$191,999

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,500 sqft · SingleFamily · 447 Days on market

Good condition ↓ 11% since listing

---

Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +11.3/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• 1% rule +3.3/10.0
• DSCR +3.3/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Rent growth +2.2/5.0
• Schools +2.1/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

This new single-level home features a modern and low-maintenance design. Three bedrooms can be found off the foyer, leading to an open-concept floorplan that combines the kitchen, living and dining areas. The luxe owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner, complete with an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet.

Key facts

• Walk-in closet
• En-suite bathroom
• Listed 447 days

Tags

• OPEN-CONCEPT FLOORPLAN
• EN-SUITE BATHROOM
• WALK-IN CLOSET

🏗️ New construction. The $191,999 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $215,341.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $192k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-79 ($-947/yr) — negative.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $178k (7.1% below list).
• Recommended offer: $169k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.4% in Converse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#649 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
• East Central ISD (rural): math 16% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #758 of 826 in TX (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: East Central Heritage Middle (math 11% / reading 26%, grade F, #1,478 of 1,662 statewide, top 90%, 1,120 students, 44% FRL); East Central H S (math 21% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,264 of 1,632 statewide, top 82%, 3,252 students, 52% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 1754 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 71d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 447 days — a 12% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $168,959 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 447 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.83% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.85%
• Cash-on-cash: -1.57%
• DSCR: 0.93
• GRM: 10.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $215,341
• List price: $191,999
• Delta: -10.84%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
11581 Cinnamon Rose	0.23mi	4/2.0	1,500 (0%)	2mo	$173,449	$116	88
2122 French Rose	0.24mi	4/2.0	1,500 (0%)	3mo	$173,999	$116	86
11569 Cinnamon Rose	0.24mi	4/2.0	1,500 (0%)	3mo	$171,999	$115	86
11311 Evergreen Rose	0.28mi	4/2.0	1,500 (0%)	2mo	$172,099	$115	86
2101 French Rose	0.28mi	4/2.0	1,483 (-1%)	1mo	$200,999	$136	84
11331 Evergreen Rose	0.28mi	4/2.0	1,483 (-1%)	1mo	$201,999	$136	84
2126 French Rose	0.23mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,380 (-8%)	2mo	$186,749	$135	69
1941 Pasture Rose	0.30mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,411 (-6%)	2mo	$198,999	$141	69
2118 French Rose	0.25mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,380 (-8%)	3mo	$165,349	$120	68
1952 Pasture Rose	0.34mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,402 (-6%)	1mo	$197,999	$141	68
11561 Cinnamon Rose	0.25mi	4/2.5	1,692 (+13%)	1mo	$214,999	$127	64
11319 Evergreen Rose	0.28mi	4/2.5	1,692 (+13%)	3mo	$217,999	$129	61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -22.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.25×
• Total profit: $-45,121
• Equity at exit: $32,108

10-year hold

• IRR: -26.3%
• Equity multiple: -0.09×
• Total profit: $-65,857
• Equity at exit: $18,619

Cash invested: $60,296 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

• For sale now: 57 active · 34 under contract
• Months of supply: 9.0 mo (11%/mo absorbed)
• Median asking: $253,499 ($160/sqft)
• Median days on market: 321 d
• This list price: 11% of active listings are priced below it
• ARV vs active asking: -10.5% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 78109

• Home prices YoY: -17.8%
• Rents YoY: -1.1%
• Active inventory: 1754
• Price-to-rent: 9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,784 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,129
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$269 /mo · $3,230/yr
• Insurance: −$90
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$375
• Net cashflow: $-79

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,884

Max offer price $203,923

Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $70	-5% $-5	+0% $-79	+5% $-153	+10% $-228
Rent	-10% $-220	-5% $-149	+0% $-79	+5% $-8	+10% $62
Rate	-1.0pp $30	-0.5pp $-24	base $-79	+0.5pp $-135	+1.0pp $-191

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $53,835
• Closing costs: $6,460
• Club membership (one-time): —
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
11767 Arctic Rose Converse, TX	3.0	2.0	1450	$1,500	$1.03	24d	1	0.08mi
11653 Dog Rose Converse, TX	4.0	2.0	1483	$1,449	$0.98	10d	1	0.13mi
11559 Field Briar Converse, TX	3.0	2.0	1380	$1,395	$1.01	10d	1	0.15mi
11602 Dog Rose Converse, TX	3.0	2.0	1354	$1,650	$1.22	119d	1	0.22mi
11507 Field Briar Converse, TX	3.0	2.0	1200	$1,450	$1.21	10d	1	0.24mi
11327 Evergreen Rose Converse, TX	4.0	2.5	1802	$1,500	$0.83	10d	1	0.26mi
2235 Camellia Rose Converse, TX	4.0	2.0	1500	$1,450	$0.97	6d	1	0.28mi
1937 Pasture Rose Converse, TX	4.0	2.0	1575	$1,545	$0.98	28d	1	0.33mi
11221 Hollinger Cir Converse, TX	3.0	2.5	1788	$1,900	$1.06	10d	1	0.86mi
4611 E 1604 N Converse, TX	1.0–4.0	1.0–2.0	990	$1,413	$1.43	0d	1	0.89mi
11151 Hollinger Cir Converse, TX	4.0	2.5	1859	$1,705	$0.92	119d	1	0.92mi
11130 Hollinger Cir Converse, TX	3.0	2.5	1689	$1,950	$1.15	97d	1	0.95mi
11130 Hollinger Cir Converse, TX	3.0	2.5	1709	$1,950	$1.14	117d	1	0.95mi
11131 Hollinger Cir Converse, TX	3.0	2.5	1628	$2,300	$1.41	84d	1	0.96mi
3106 Drayton Ests Converse, TX	2.0–5.0	2.0–3.5	1733	$2,293	$1.32	0d	1	1.05mi
11050 Eyelet Hbr Converse, TX	4.0	2.5	2205	$1,875	$0.85	139d	1	1.06mi
11046 Eyelet Hbr Converse, TX	3.0	2.0	1525	$1,750	$1.15	119d	1	1.07mi
11038 Chatham Ct Converse, TX	4.0	2.5	2205	$1,699	$0.77	28d	1	1.08mi
2822 Praline Fry Converse, TX	3.0	2.0	1525	$1,770	$1.16	67d	1	1.11mi
2818 Praline Fry Converse, TX	3.0	2.5	1428	$1,500	$1.05	84d	1	1.11mi
2810 Praline Fry Converse, TX	4.0	2.5	2204	$1,745	$0.79	139d	1	1.12mi
11019 Chatham Ct Converse, TX	3.0	2.5	1428	$1,425	$1.00	139d	1	1.13mi
11002 Eyelet Hbr Converse, TX	4.0	2.5	2204	$1,745	$0.79	139d	1	1.14mi
2815 Praline Fry Converse, TX	4.0	2.5	2204	$1,790	$0.81	60d	1	1.15mi
2826 Tybee Crk Converse, TX	4.0	2.5	2204	$1,830	$0.83	100d	1	1.16mi
3006 Citron Gdn Converse, TX	4.0	2.5	2198	$1,750	$0.80	10d	1	1.17mi
11030 Yonder Flts Converse, TX	3.0	2.5	1428	$1,500	$1.05	100d	1	1.17mi
11026 Yonder Flts Converse, TX	3.0	2.0	1525	$1,725	$1.13	74d	1	1.18mi
2838 Citron Gdn Converse, TX	4.0	2.5	2204	$1,825	$0.83	3d	1	1.21mi
2927 Citron Gdn Converse, TX	3.0	2.5	1428	$1,565	$1.10	7d	1	1.21mi
2927 Citron Gdn Converse, TX	3.0	2.5	1428	$1,565	$1.10	6d	1	1.21mi
10922 Chatham Ct Converse, TX	3.0	2.0	1525	$1,635	$1.07	24d	1	1.21mi
10918 Chatham Ct Converse, TX	4.0	2.5	2205	$1,789	$0.81	10d	1	1.22mi
10918 Chatham Ct Converse, TX	4.0	2.5	2205	$2,049	$0.93	40d	1	1.22mi
2939 Gastonian Ml Converse, TX	3.0	2.0	1525	$1,495	$0.98	139d	1	1.25mi
2927 Gastonian Ml Converse, TX	4.0	2.5	2205	$1,850	$0.84	97d	1	1.26mi
2927 Gastonian Ml Converse, TX	4.0	2.5	2205	$1,850	$0.84	94d	1	1.26mi
2927 Gastonian Ml Converse, TX	4.0	2.5	2205	$1,750	$0.79	70d	1	1.26mi
10950 Chippewa Trce Converse, TX	4.0	2.5	2205	$1,750	$0.79	94d	1	1.27mi
10950 Chippewa Trce Converse, TX	4.0	2.5	2205	$1,800	$0.82	119d	1	1.27mi

Listing history 50 events

1. 2026-09-23
   days on market $191,999 Active 447 DOM
2. 2026-09-22
   days on market $191,999 Active 446 DOM
3. 2026-09-21
   days on market $191,999 Active 445 DOM
4. 2026-09-20
   days on market $191,999 Active 444 DOM
5. 2026-09-19
   days on market $191,999 Active 443 DOM
6. 2026-09-18
   days on market $191,999 Active 442 DOM
7. 2026-09-17
   days on market $191,999 Active 441 DOM
8. 2026-09-16
   days on market $191,999 Active 440 DOM
9. 2026-09-15
   days on market $191,999 Active 439 DOM
10. 2026-09-14
    days on market $191,999 Active 438 DOM
11. 2026-09-14
    price $191,999 Active 437 DOM
12. 2026-09-13
    days on market $191,799 Active 437 DOM
13. 2026-09-12
    pricedays on market $191,799 Active 436 DOM
14. 2026-09-11
    pricedays on market $189,799 Active 435 DOM
15. 2026-09-05
    days on market $189,599 Active 429 DOM
16. 2026-09-04
    days on market $189,599 Active 428 DOM
17. 2026-09-03
    days on market $189,599 Active 427 DOM
18. 2026-08-30
    days on market $189,599 Active 423 DOM
19. 2026-08-29
    days on market $189,599 Active 422 DOM
20. 2026-08-28
    days on market $189,599 Active 421 DOM
21. 2026-08-27
    days on market $189,599 Active 420 DOM
22. 2026-08-26
    days on market $189,599 Active 419 DOM
23. 2026-08-25
    days on market $189,599 Active 418 DOM
24. 2026-08-24
    days on market $189,599 Active 417 DOM
25. 2026-08-23
    price $189,599 Active 416 DOM
26. 2026-08-23
    days on market $189,399 Active 416 DOM
27. 2026-08-22
    days on market $189,399 Active 415 DOM
28. 2026-08-21
    days on market $189,399 Active 414 DOM
29. 2026-08-20
    days on market $189,399 Active 413 DOM
30. 2026-08-19
    days on market $189,399 Active 412 DOM
31. 2026-08-18
    price $189,399 Active 411 DOM
32. 2026-08-18
    days on market $189,199 Active 411 DOM
33. 2026-08-17
    pricedays on market $189,199 Active 410 DOM
34. 2026-08-16
    days on market $188,999 Active 409 DOM
35. 2026-08-15
    days on market $188,999 Active 408 DOM
36. 2026-08-14
    days on market $188,999 Active 407 DOM
37. 2026-08-13
    days on market $188,999 Active 406 DOM
38. 2026-08-12
    days on market $188,999 Active 405 DOM
39. 2026-08-11
    days on market $188,999 Active 404 DOM
40. 2026-08-10
    days on market $188,999 Active 403 DOM
41. 2026-08-09
    price $188,999 Active 402 DOM
42. 2026-08-09
    days on market $188,799 Active 402 DOM
43. 2026-08-08
    days on market $188,799 Active 401 DOM
44. 2026-08-06
    days on market $188,799 Active 399 DOM
45. 2026-08-05
    days on market $188,799 Active 398 DOM
46. 2026-08-04
    days on market $188,799 Active 397 DOM
47. 2026-08-03
    days on market $188,799 Active 396 DOM
48. 2026-07-31
    days on market $188,799 Active 393 DOM
49. 2026-07-30
    days on market $188,799 Active 391 DOM
50. 2026-07-28
    days on market $188,799 Active 390 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,407
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,062
• − Property taxes: −$3,230
• − Insurance: −$1,077
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,713
• − Management: −$1,713
• − Depreciation: −$6,264
• Taxable loss: −$4,652
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,117
• After-tax cash flow: $170/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $7,500–$22,500 screening

This single-family home is in good condition with a modern and low-maintenance design. It offers a good balance of updates and maintenance, making it a solid investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting the exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value. ↑
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
• Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more modern and convenient. ↑

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 22/100

Zoned Schools

Middle East Central Heritage Middle F TX #1,478/1,662 Nat'l #12,017/14,009 High East Central H S F TX #1,264/1,632 Nat'l #12,478/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

• District: East Central ISD
• NCES district ID: 4817850
• Math proficiency: 16% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 25% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $53,941
• Composite: 18.67/100
• National rank: #8887
• State rank: #758 of 826 in TX

C Composite livability gradescore 66/100

Livability — Converse

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #649
• US rank: #12250

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Bexar County · 2,336,851 people
• City population: 63,067
• Metro: San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
• Population (ZIP): 63,067
• Household income: $91,320
• Rent vs Own: 25.1% rent · 74.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 16% of renters

---

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,336,851 people
• By 2030: 2,560,728 · +9.6%
• By 2040: 3,020,569 · +29.3%
• By 2050: 3,493,522 · +49.5%
• By 2075: 4,668,459 · +99.8%
• By 2100: 5,533,242 · +136.8%

---

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 44% White 27% Two or more races 21% Black 21% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 29% Puerto Rican 4%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 11% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
• Languages at home: 71% English-only · Spanish 23% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

---

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -51.02%
• Current HPI: 236.4923
• Rent YoY: ▼ -1.08%
• Metro: San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

---

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-10.7% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-13 Price Changed $186,999 Zillow
• 2025-11-17 Price Changed $197,499 Zillow
• 2025-09-01 Price Changed $202,499 Zillow
• 2025-07-03 Listed $209,499 Zillow