4701 Marshall St · Lubbock, TX 79416

$124,500

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market

Built 2019 8,347 sqft lot ↓ 29% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +20.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +6.6/10.0
• DSCR +6.3/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +3.1/5.0
• Schools +3.1/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Newer-build 3 bedroom, 1 bath home located in a desirable neighborhood! This well-maintained property offers a great opportunity for both homeowners and investors alike. Previously rented for $1,300 per month, the home is now vacant and ready for immediate occupancy. Featuring a functional layout, comfortable living spaces, and a convenient location, this property would make an excellent primary residence or addition to an investment portfolio. Don't miss this versatile opportunity!

Key facts

• 8,347 sq ft lot
• Built 2019
• Listed 24 days

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Driveway
• Security: 24-hour security
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Zoned for single-family
• Construction: Board & batten siding; Brick veneer; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built area approximately 1,120 above-grade
• Exterior features: Private yard; Fenced backyard; Concrete road access

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing electric range; Refrigerator
• Flooring: Vinyl
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s) (also listed under interior features)
• Interior features: Ceiling fans; Double-pane windows
• Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $124k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $152 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $124k).
• Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#37 in TX, #1,749 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
• Lubbock ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #481 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Centennial El (math 38% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,769 of 4,322 statewide, top 44%, 618 students, 84% FRL); Mackenzie Middle (math 19% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,327 of 1,662 statewide, top 81%, 515 students, 88% FRL); Coronado H S (math 34% / reading 38%, grade F, #930 of 1,632 statewide, top 57%, 1,960 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 60% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 464 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $861 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $122,632 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.16% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.76%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.25%
• DSCR: 1.23
• GRM: 7.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.21% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -9.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.67×
• Total profit: $-11,501
• Equity at exit: $18,563

10-year hold

• IRR: -0.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.95×
• Total profit: $-1,699
• Equity at exit: $10,764

Cash invested: $34,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 79416

• Home prices YoY: -20.0%
• Rents YoY: 2.2%
• Active inventory: 464
• Price-to-rent: 7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,441 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$653
• Tax from tax record: −$281 /mo · $3,376/yr
• Insurance: −$52
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$303
• Net cashflow: $152

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,248

Max offer price $124,500

Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $223	-5% $188	+0% $152	+5% $117	+10% $82
Rent	-10% $39	-5% $96	+0% $152	+5% $209	+10% $266
Rate	-1.0pp $215	-0.5pp $184	base $152	+0.5pp $120	+1.0pp $87

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $31,125
• Closing costs: $3,735
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
4530 Marshall St Lubbock, TX	4.0	2.0	1106	$1,600	$1.45	14d	1	0.09mi
4512 Lehigh St Lubbock, TX	2.0	1.0	720	$800	$1.11	44d	1	0.18mi
4605 Harvard St Lubbock, TX	3.0	2.0	1362	$1,400	$1.03	22d	1	0.29mi
4412 Kemper St Lubbock, TX	3.0	2.0	1157	$1,250	$1.08	44d	1	0.32mi
4615 Grinnell St Lubbock, TX	3.0	1.5	1446	$1,474	$1.02	44d	1	0.33mi
4615 Grinnell St Lubbock, TX	3.0	1.5	1446	$1,700	$1.18	14d	1	0.33mi
4638 Erskine St Lubbock, TX	2.0	2.0	949	$1,100	$1.16	22d	1	0.41mi
212 N Troy Ave Unit B Lubbock, TX	2.0	1.0	800	$775	$0.97	22d	1	0.86mi
201 N Troy Ave Unit A Lubbock, TX	2.0	1.0	818	$875	$1.07	44d	1	0.91mi
201 N Troy Ave Unit A Lubbock, TX	2.0	1.0	818	$875	$1.07	22d	1	0.91mi
139 N Troy Ave Unit B Lubbock, TX	2.0	1.0	818	$725	$0.89	22d	1	0.93mi
908 N Belmont Ave Unit A Lubbock, TX	3.0	3.0	1366	$1,175	$0.86	44d	1	0.94mi
906 N Belmont Ave Lubbock, TX	3.0	3.0	1366	$1,225	$0.90	44d	1	0.94mi
128 N Troy Ave Lubbock, TX	2.0	1.0	800	$899	$1.12	14d	1	0.97mi
602 N Belmont Ave Lubbock, TX	3.0	3.0	1370	$1,325	$0.97	14d	3	1.01mi
3701 Clovis Rd Lubbock, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	833	$1,400	$1.68	14d	19	1.04mi
5420 Kemper St Lubbock, TX	3.0	3.0	1381	$1,175	$0.85	44d	1	1.07mi
1217 N Chicago Ave Unit A Lubbock, TX	3.0	2.0	1375	$1,400	$1.02	44d	1	1.12mi
5501 Jarvis St Unit A Lubbock, TX	3.0	2.0	1445	$1,450	$1.00	22d	1	1.13mi
5504 Itasca St Unit B Lubbock, TX	3.0	3.0	1445	$1,500	$1.04	44d	1	1.13mi
1309 N Chicago Ave Lubbock, TX	3.0	2.0	1450	$1,745	$1.20	14d	1	1.13mi
1315 N Chicago Ave Lubbock, TX	3.0	2.0	1450	$1,745	$1.20	22d	1	1.13mi
1415 N Knoxville Ave Lubbock, TX	3.0–4.0	2.0	1291	$934	$0.72	14d	1	1.14mi
5506 Itasca St Unit A Lubbock, TX	3.0	3.0	1445	$1,500	$1.04	44d	1	1.15mi
5511 Itasca St Lubbock, TX	4.0	4.0	1348	$2,000	$1.48	14d	1	1.16mi
5513 Itasca St Lubbock, TX	3.0	3.0	1368	$1,500	$1.10	44d	1	1.17mi
1303 N Clinton Ave Unit A Lubbock, TX	3.0	2.0	1375	$1,495	$1.09	44d	1	1.18mi
5515 Kemper St Unit A Lubbock, TX	3.0	2.0	1350	$1,425	$1.06	44d	1	1.19mi
522 N Chicago Ave Unit B Lubbock, TX	3.0	3.0	1370	$1,200	$0.88	44d	1	1.19mi
516 N Chicago Ave Unit B Lubbock, TX	3.0	3.0	1370	$1,200	$0.88	44d	1	1.21mi
310 N Brentwood Ave Unit B Lubbock, TX	3.0	3.0	1400	$1,250	$0.89	44d	1	1.22mi
5516 Itasca St Lubbock, TX	3.0	3.0	1360	$1,500	$1.10	44d	1	1.22mi
503 N Brentwood Ave Unit B Lubbock, TX	3.0	3.0	1370	$1,200	$0.88	44d	1	1.22mi
1303 N Colton Ave Unit B Lubbock, TX	3.0	2.0	1445	$1,275	$0.88	44d	1	1.23mi
533 N Clinton Ave Unit B Lubbock, TX	3.0	3.0	1340	$1,300	$0.97	44d	1	1.24mi
5549 Lehigh St Lubbock, TX	2.0	2.0	1500	$1,550	$1.03	22d	1	1.26mi
523 N Clinton Ave Unit Clinton Side A Lubbock, TX	3.0	3.0	1435	$1,295	$0.90	22d	1	1.26mi
5524 Jarvis St Unit B Lubbock, TX	3.0	2.0	1445	$1,400	$0.97	44d	1	1.27mi
505 N Chicago Ave Lubbock, TX	3.0	3.0	1435	$1,425	$0.99	44d	1	1.27mi
505 N Chicago Ave Unit B Lubbock, TX	3.0	3.0	1435	$1,325	$0.92	44d	1	1.27mi

Listing history 25 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $124,500 Active 24 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   price $124,500 Active 23 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $129,000 Active 23 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $129,000 Active 22 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $129,000 Active 21 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $129,000 Active 19 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $129,000 Active 18 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $129,000 Active 16 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $129,000 Active 15 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,000 Active 14 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,000 Active 13 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $129,000 Active 10 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,000 Active 9 DOM
14. 2026-06-03
    price $129,000 Active 8 DOM
15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 8 DOM
16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 7 DOM
17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 6 DOM
18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $135,000 Active 5 DOM
19. 2026-05-25
    listed $135,000 Active
20. 2025-12-18
    price $150,000
21. 2025-11-22
    price $170,000
22. 2025-07-28
    price $185,000
23. 2025-07-08
    price $190,000
24. 2020-07-07
    soldstatus
25. 1993-12-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $3,376 · $281/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,376 · $281/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,295
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,974
• − Property taxes: −$3,376
• − Insurance: −$622
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,384
• − Management: −$1,384
• − Depreciation: −$3,622
• Taxable loss: −$67
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$16
• After-tax cash flow: $1,846/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lubbock ISD
• NCES district ID: 4828500
• Math proficiency: 36% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $39,820
• Composite: 31.44/100
• National rank: #5984
• State rank: #481 of 826 in TX

Livability — Lubbock

• Score: 80/100
• State rank: #37
• US rank: #1749

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Lubbock, TX
• County: Lubbock County · 293,542 people
• City population: 283,030
• Metro: Lubbock, TX
• Population (ZIP): 36,442
• Household income: $63,896
• Rent vs Own: 51.5% rent · 48.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 2214.0

Population outlook (Lubbock County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 345,960 people
• By 2030: 371,449 · +7.4%
• By 2040: 424,539 · +22.7%
• By 2050: 481,150 · +39.1%
• By 2075: 633,467 · +83.1%
• By 2100: 746,853 · +115.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
• Race & ethnicity: White 49% Hispanic / Latino 35% Two or more races 14% Black 9% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 28%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 7% · Canada, China, South Korea
• Languages at home: 81% English-only · Spanish 13% Chinese 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lubbock

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.7% · R 69.2% · Other 1.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -2.8pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -39.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+39.5 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+38.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+36.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -56.94%
• Current HPI: 227.7841
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.21%
• Metro: Lubbock, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-28.9% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-25 Listed $135,000 LARMLS
• 2025-12-18 Price Changed $150,000 LARMLS
• 2025-11-22 Price Changed $170,000 LARMLS
• 2025-07-28 Price Changed $185,000 LARMLS
• 2025-07-08 Price Changed $190,000 LARMLS
• 2020-07-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1993-12-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+39.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,376 · +7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.