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NW Lancaster Ln
B Composite 70.91
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

NW Lancaster Ln · Mountain Home, ID 83647
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 684 sqft · Manufactured · 10 Days on market
Built 1970

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Pleasant Acres Mobile Home Park 3190 N. W. Lancaster Lane #32 Mountain Home, Idaho 83647 1970 Single wide Manufactured home for sale $70,000. 1-bedroom, 3/4 bath 684 SQ FT. Newly remodeled inside. Home comes with brand new refrigerator, stove, microwave, washer and dryer. Located in a clean and well-kept park, with a community playground, BBQ area and large green space. Each lot includes a storage shed. Space fee is $320/month which includes water, sewer and trash. Homeowners are responsible for utilities. Seller Financing is available for qualified buyers. At closing $2,500 down is required. To Inquire: 986-200-8940 Voicemail only

Key facts

  • Brand new microwave
  • Brand new washer
  • Brand new dryer

Tags

BRAND NEW REFRIGERATORBRAND NEW STOVEBRAND NEW MICROWAVEBRAND NEW WASHERBRAND NEW DRYERCOMMUNITY PLAYGROUND

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $583 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 3.1% in Mountain Home — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#26 in ID, #3,741 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mountain Home District (town): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #78 of 92 in ID (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 347 active listings in the ZIP; 129 units permitted in Elmore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Elmore County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $70,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.93%
Cap rate
16.28%
Cash-on-cash
35.68%
DSCR
2.59
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$24,624
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1570 Sunset Strip #10 0.42mi 2/1.0 (+1) 672 (-2%) 6mo $24,000 $36 67

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.23% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.0%
Equity multiple
2.55×
Total profit
$30,324
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
43.4%
Equity multiple
5.80×
Total profit
$94,146
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Idaho
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; minimal tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 83647

Home prices YoY
-31.4%
Rents YoY
6.2%
Active inventory
347
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,350 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax est. 1.5%
$88 /mo · $1,050/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$284
Net cashflow
$583

Break-even live

Break-even rent $612
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $631 -5% $607 +0% $583 +5% $559 +10% $534
Rent -10% $476 -5% $529 +0% $583 +5% $636 +10% $689
Rate -1.0pp $618 -0.5pp $601 base $583 +0.5pp $565 +1.0pp $546

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $70,000 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $70,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $70,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $70,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $70,000 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $70,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $70,000 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    remarks 641-char remark
  9. 2026-06-09
    listed $70,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,200
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$1,050
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,296
− Management
−$1,296
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$6,251
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,500
After-tax cash flow
$5,493/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mountain Home District
NCES district ID
1602250
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$44,262
Composite
30.57/100
National rank
#6203
State rank
#78 of 92 in ID

Livability — Mountain Home

Score
76/100
State rank
#26
US rank
#3741

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Elmore County · 22,952 people
City population
22,952
Metro
Mountain Home, ID
Population (ZIP)
22,952
Household income
$63,760
Rent vs Own
28.5% rent · 71.5% own
Severe rent burden
317.0

Population outlook (Elmore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,644 people
By 2030
21,112 · -6.8%
By 2040
17,768 · -21.5%
By 2050
14,629 · -35.4%
By 2075
9,144 · -59.6%
By 2100
6,006 · -73.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 13% Asian 3% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 3%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Elmore

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.5) · D 24.5% · R 73.0% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-12.1pp toward R · 2008: -36.4pp · 2024: -48.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.5 2020: R+45.5 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+33.9 2008: R+36.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.42%
Current HPI
236.3087
Rent YoY
▲ 6.23%
Metro
Mountain Home, ID
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+169.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $70,000 FSBO.com
  • 2022-03-01 Listing Removed IMLS
  • 2021-08-25 Price Changed $42,000 IMLS
  • 2021-08-06 Listed $52,000 IMLS
  • 2018-01-23 Listing Removed IMLS
  • 2017-12-12 Price Changed $24,999 IMLS
  • 2017-10-09 Price Changed $25,800 IMLS
  • 2017-09-06 Listed $26,000 IMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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