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4096 Chicory Ln
B Composite 70.85
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,000

4096 Chicory Ln · Garfield, MI 49685
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured public records · 140 Days on market
Built 2018 Good condition $53/sqft · 51% above area ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautifully done in the modern Farm House flair with netural tones. Located on a corner lot in Meadow Lane mobile home community is this 2018 16 x 76 Clayton single wide with 3 bedrooms and 2 full bath. Home offers a very open living space. Island kitchen with a deep sink, plenty of cabinets, appliance. Extras: Tall ceilings, walk-in shower, sconce lighting. Some furniture can stay. Current lot rent $951 includes trash water sewer. Pet friendly with restrictions, play areas, community room, easy in and out of park.

Key facts

  • Island kitchen
  • Open living space
  • Walk-in shower

Tags

CORNER LOTISLAND KITCHENOPEN LIVING SPACEWALK-IN SHOWERCOMMUNITY ROOMPET FRIENDLY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $64k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $724 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $64k).
  • Recommended offer: $56k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Traverse City Area Public Schools (town): math 45% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #94 of 540 in MI (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 229 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 883 units permitted in Grand Traverse County in 2024 (501 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $442 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Grand Traverse County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $56,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.31%
Cap rate
19.86%
Cash-on-cash
48.45%
DSCR
3.16
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$42,411
List price
$64,000
Delta
50.90%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
46.0%
Equity multiple
2.99×
Total profit
$35,734
Equity at exit
$9,543
10-year hold
IRR
51.8%
Equity multiple
6.05×
Total profit
$90,547
Equity at exit
$5,534

Cash invested: $17,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49685

Active inventory
229
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,476 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$336
Tax est. 1.5%
$80 /mo · $960/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$310
Net cashflow
$724

Break-even live

Break-even rent $560
Max offer price $64,000
Occupancy floor 46%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,000
Closing costs
$1,920
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4170 Lilac Ln Unit 905 Traverse City, MI 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,419 $1.27 43d 1 0.05mi
4418 E Daisy Ln Unit 156 Traverse City, MI 2.0 2.0 896 $1,649 $1.84 43d 1 0.24mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $64,000 Active 140 DOM
  2. 2026-06-14
    days on market $64,000 Active 138 DOM
  3. 2026-06-12
    days on market $64,000 Active 137 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $64,000 Active 134 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $64,000 Active 133 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $64,000 Active 132 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $64,000 Active 128 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $64,000 Active 127 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $64,000 Active 126 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,000 Active 125 DOM
  11. 2026-05-30
    days on market $64,000 Active 124 DOM
  12. 2026-04-10
    price $64,000 520-char remark
    Show marketing remark (520 chars)

    Beautifully done in the modern Farm House flair with netural tones. Located on a corner lot in Meadow Lane mobile home community is this 2018 16 x 76 Clayton single wide with 3 bedrooms and 2 full bath. Home offers a very open living space. Island kitchen with a deep sink, plenty of cabinets, appliance. Extras: Tall ceilings, walk-in shower, sconce lighting. Some furniture can stay. Current lot rent $951 includes trash water sewer. Pet friendly with restrictions, play areas, community room, easy in and out of park.

  13. 2026-04-10
    price $64,000 520-char remark
    Show marketing remark (520 chars)

    Beautifully done in the modern Farm House flair with netural tones. Located on a corner lot in Meadow Lane mobile home community is this 2018 16 x 76 Clayton single wide with 3 bedrooms and 2 full bath. Home offers a very open living space. Island kitchen with a deep sink, plenty of cabinets, appliance. Extras: Tall ceilings, walk-in shower, sconce lighting. Some furniture can stay. Current lot rent $951 includes trash water sewer. Pet friendly with restrictions, play areas, community room, easy in and out of park.

  14. 2026-01-26
    listed $79,000 Active 520-char remark
    Show marketing remark (520 chars)

    Beautifully done in the modern Farm House flair with netural tones. Located on a corner lot in Meadow Lane mobile home community is this 2018 16 x 76 Clayton single wide with 3 bedrooms and 2 full bath. Home offers a very open living space. Island kitchen with a deep sink, plenty of cabinets, appliance. Extras: Tall ceilings, walk-in shower, sconce lighting. Some furniture can stay. Current lot rent $951 includes trash water sewer. Pet friendly with restrictions, play areas, community room, easy in and out of park.

  15. 2026-01-26
    listed $79,000 Active 520-char remark
    Show marketing remark (520 chars)

    Beautifully done in the modern Farm House flair with netural tones. Located on a corner lot in Meadow Lane mobile home community is this 2018 16 x 76 Clayton single wide with 3 bedrooms and 2 full bath. Home offers a very open living space. Island kitchen with a deep sink, plenty of cabinets, appliance. Extras: Tall ceilings, walk-in shower, sconce lighting. Some furniture can stay. Current lot rent $951 includes trash water sewer. Pet friendly with restrictions, play areas, community room, easy in and out of park.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,709
− Mortgage interest
−$3,585
− Property taxes
−$960
− Insurance
−$320
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,417
− Management
−$1,417
− Depreciation
−$1,862
Taxable income
$8,149
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,956
After-tax cash flow
$6,727/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This modern mobile home in Meadow Lane mobile home community is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Replace the kitchen faucet — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value.
  • Both Install new flooring in the bathrooms — Improves the look and feel of the bathrooms, increasing both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Replace the kitchen faucet — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value.
  • Both Install new flooring in the bathrooms — Improves the look and feel of the bathrooms, increasing both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Traverse City Area Public Schools
NCES district ID
2633870
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$53,645
Composite
43.51/100
National rank
#2990
State rank
#94 of 540 in MI

Livability — Garfield

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
21,297

Population outlook (Grand Traverse County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
102,241 people
By 2030
107,172 · +4.8%
By 2040
115,676 · +13.1%
By 2050
122,377 · +19.7%
By 2075
136,554 · +33.6%
By 2100
137,871 · +34.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Lithuanian 4% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Grand Traverse

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.3% · R 50.1% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+1.3pp toward D · 2008: -3.0pp · 2024: -1.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.7 2020: R+3.0 2016: R+12.5 2012: R+11.8 2008: R+3.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -208.83%
Current HPI
351.3678
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-19.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $64,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $64,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-26 Listed $79,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-26 Listed $79,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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