2012 Balkan Pl · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.2/30.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- ARV discount +1.4/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Turnkey investment opportunity in West Toledo. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is currently rented for $1,200 per month, providing consistent rental income from day one. A great option for both seasoned investors and buyers looking to begin building a portfolio, this property offers the appeal of an occupied rental with solid long-term potential. With strong rental demand for affordable single-family homes, this could be a valuable addition to your investment strategy
Key facts
- 4,100 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1943
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $65 ($780/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $85k (5.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $85k (5.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 111 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $57k; list at $90k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.10%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $79,193
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- 13.52%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 Berdan Ave | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 | 712 (+6%) | 4mo | $45,198 | $63 | 84 |
| 1735 Barrows St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 664 (-1%) | 7mo | $94,900 | $143 | 77 |
| 1831 Talbot St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+7%) | 3mo | $52,000 | $72 | 75 |
| 1828 Brame Pl | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 716 (+6%) | 5mo | $56,000 | $78 | 70 |
| 1752 Marne Ave | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 640 (-5%) | 1mo | $47,600 | $74 | 67 |
| 1748 Georgia Ave | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 648 (-4%) | 2mo | $68,500 | $106 | 66 |
| 3821 Jackman Rd | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 736 (+10%) | 2mo | $62,000 | $84 | 64 |
| 4037 Commonwealth Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 686 (+2%) | 3mo | $106,000 | $155 | 62 |
| 1738 Berkshire Pl | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 624 (-7%) | 12mo | $35,000 | $56 | 61 |
| 1740 Marlow Rd | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 726 (+8%) | 11mo | $42,500 | $59 | 59 |
| 4025 Belmar Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 723 (+8%) | 2mo | $97,000 | $134 | 57 |
| 1744 Barrows St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 754 (+12%) | 14mo | $94,000 | $125 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-10,165
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- -1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-2,432
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43613
- Home prices YoY
- -20.7%
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 111
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $854 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$101 /mo · $1,210/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$179
- Net cashflow
- $65
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 Berkshire Pl Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $845 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1705 Marlow Rd Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 738 | $1,000 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 3940 Jackman Rd Unit B Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $650 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3801 Torrance Dr Unit 3801 4 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $600 | $0.80 | 23d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3640 Douglas Rd Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $784 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3160 Matson Apt 27 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 567 | $725 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3150 Matson Unit 17 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 567 | $799 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3433 Douglas Rd Unit 3 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $755 | $1.01 | 13d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4435 Jackman Rd Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $922 | $1.27 | 13d | 3 | 0.82mi |
| 2716 Hoehler Dr Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $600 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2650 Christie St Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $849 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2241 W Laskey Rd Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $695 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4836 Douglas Rd Unit 6 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $695 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3805 Berkeley Unit 3 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $735 | $1.05 | 13d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2255 W Laskey Rd Unit 14 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $775 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2255 W Laskey Rd Apt 10 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $775 | $1.19 | 13d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4912 Douglas Rd Unit 2459-2F Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 495 | $650 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3070 Carskaddon Ave Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 805 | $1,150 | $1.43 | 13d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3045 Ilger Ave Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 585 | $789 | $1.35 | 13d | 8 | 1.40mi |
| 2956 Central Ave Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 747 | $1,235 | $1.65 | 13d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2704 Kenwood Blvd Toledo, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,196 | $1.45 | 13d | 71 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending 468-char remark
Show marketing remark (468 chars)
Turnkey investment opportunity in West Toledo. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is currently rented for $1,200 per month, providing consistent rental income from day one. A great option for both seasoned investors and buyers looking to begin building a portfolio, this property offers the appeal of an occupied rental with solid long-term potential. With strong rental demand for affordable single-family homes, this could be a valuable addition to your investment strategy
-
2026-05-07price $89,900 468-char remark
Show marketing remark (468 chars)
Turnkey investment opportunity in West Toledo. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is currently rented for $1,200 per month, providing consistent rental income from day one. A great option for both seasoned investors and buyers looking to begin building a portfolio, this property offers the appeal of an occupied rental with solid long-term potential. With strong rental demand for affordable single-family homes, this could be a valuable addition to your investment strategy
-
2026-04-21$99,900 Active 468-char remark
Show marketing remark (468 chars)
Turnkey investment opportunity in West Toledo. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is currently rented for $1,200 per month, providing consistent rental income from day one. A great option for both seasoned investors and buyers looking to begin building a portfolio, this property offers the appeal of an occupied rental with solid long-term potential. With strong rental demand for affordable single-family homes, this could be a valuable addition to your investment strategy
-
2025-10-14price $57,000 602-char remark
Show marketing remark (602 chars)
This WILL be the BEST home you will tour! Let's start in the basement, you'll love the epoxy coated floor - very clean - you won't think twice about letting the littles play down there! Large living room with brand new carpet and paint! Kitchen w/new cupboards and countertops! Pantry & Extra Above Cupboards Stay - Use Where You Want! Large stainless farmhouse style sink! 2 beds on main floor and full bath! All carpet is new throughout! Upstairs is a generous dormer bedroom w/sitting area outside of it! Updated Bathroom! Back yard deck for enjoyment! Det. 1.5 Car Garage too! Home Warranty!
-
2025-10-09price $39,500
-
2020-09-22soldstatus $57,000 602-char remark
Show marketing remark (602 chars)
This WILL be the BEST home you will tour! Let's start in the basement, you'll love the epoxy coated floor - very clean - you won't think twice about letting the littles play down there! Large living room with brand new carpet and paint! Kitchen w/new cupboards and countertops! Pantry & Extra Above Cupboards Stay - Use Where You Want! Large stainless farmhouse style sink! 2 beds on main floor and full bath! All carpet is new throughout! Upstairs is a generous dormer bedroom w/sitting area outside of it! Updated Bathroom! Back yard deck for enjoyment! Det. 1.5 Car Garage too! Home Warranty!
-
2020-09-03$62,500 602-char remark
Show marketing remark (602 chars)
This WILL be the BEST home you will tour! Let's start in the basement, you'll love the epoxy coated floor - very clean - you won't think twice about letting the littles play down there! Large living room with brand new carpet and paint! Kitchen w/new cupboards and countertops! Pantry & Extra Above Cupboards Stay - Use Where You Want! Large stainless farmhouse style sink! 2 beds on main floor and full bath! All carpet is new throughout! Upstairs is a generous dormer bedroom w/sitting area outside of it! Updated Bathroom! Back yard deck for enjoyment! Det. 1.5 Car Garage too! Home Warranty!
-
2007-03-15soldstatus $39,500
-
2006-12-15$49,900
-
2006-12-06historical
-
2006-09-08$64,900
-
2002-05-23soldstatus $81,600
-
1997-10-22soldstatus $53,000
-
1990-01-30soldstatus $37,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,210 · $101/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,306 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- +$96/yr (+$8/mo · 7.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,249
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,210
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$820
- − Management
- −$820
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable loss
- −$702
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$168
- After-tax cash flow
- $948/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,780
- Household income
- $64,384
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 917.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 15% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.37%
- Current HPI
- 239.1345
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.30%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+143.0% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — NORIS
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $89,900 NORIS
- 2026-04-21 Listed $99,900 NORIS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $57,000 NORIS
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $39,500 NORIS
- 2020-09-22 Sold (MLS) $57,000 NORIS
- 2020-09-03 Listed $62,500 NORIS
- 2007-03-15 Sold (MLS) $39,500 NORIS
- 2006-12-15 Listed $49,900 NORIS
- 2006-12-06 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2006-09-08 Listed $64,900 NORIS
- 2002-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $81,600 Public Records
- 1997-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
- 1990-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,210 · -7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…