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1915 E Houston Ave
C- Composite 54.35
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

1915 E Houston Ave · Visalia, CA 93292
None bd · 1.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 729 Days on market
Built 1900 0.26 ac lot $147/sqft · 54% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

One building on this lot. Zoned High Density Multi Family. It is unlikely the city will grant a commercial use here but you can ask them. There is water service and electricity to the property not currently connected.

Key facts

  • Vacant down to studs
  • Two buildings on lot
  • 0.26 acre lot

Tags

TWO BUILDINGS ON LOTVACANT DOWN TO STUDS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a ?-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-158 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $147k (13.4% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Recommended offer: $147k (13.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.3% in Visalia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#196 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: amenities D, crime D-, cost of living F.
  • Visalia Unified (urban): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #273 of 517 in CA (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 309 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,447 units permitted in Tulare County in 2024 (307 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tulare County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 729 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $147,062 (13.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 729 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
8.19%
Cash-on-cash
6.78%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$372,381
List price
$169,900
Delta
-54.37%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2005 E Roosevelt Ct 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,171 (+2%) 0mo $337,000 $288 85
1029 N Gowdy St 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,120 (-3%) 5mo $299,000 $267 72
2238 N Gowdy St 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,148 (-0%) 1mo $310,000 $270 66
1301 N Enos St 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,015 (-12%) 3mo $305,000 $300 60
1441 E Sunnyview Ave 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,148 (-0%) 6mo $215,000 $187 59
1107 N Enos St 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,008 (-12%) 7mo $304,000 $302 54
1835 E Babcock Ave 0.51mi 2/1.8 1,051 (-9%) 6mo $270,000 $257 53
123 Omalley St Unit Mw123 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,298 (+13%) 3mo $387,700 $299 48
1315 E Vine Ct 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,295 (+12%) 6mo $359,000 $277 48
1908 N Cedar Ct 0.59mi 4/2.0 1,299 (+13%) 2mo $305,000 $235 46
233 N O'malley St Unit Mw131 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,298 (+13%) 7mo $403,943 $311 40
323 Omalley St Unit Mw136 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,298 (+13%) 8mo $389,900 $300 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.99% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-24.4%
Equity multiple
0.18×
Total profit
$-39,131
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
-23.7%
Equity multiple
-0.12×
Total profit
$-53,230
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93292

Rents YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
309
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,826 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax est. 1.5%
$212 /mo · $2,548/yr
Insurance
$71
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$384
Net cashflow
$-158

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,026
Max offer price $147,062
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2008 E Douglas Ave Visalia, CA 3.0 2.0 1171 $1,900 $1.62 43d 1 0.25mi
1630 E Knight Ct Visalia, CA 3.0 2.0 1419 $1,895 $1.34 43d 1 0.58mi
803 E Prospect Ave Visalia, CA 2.0 1.0 960 $1,495 $1.56 21d 1 0.73mi
907 E Oakridge Ave Visalia, CA 2.0 2.0 1009 $1,695 $1.68 21d 1 0.94mi
3510 E Roosevelt Ave Visalia, CA 3.0 2.0 1376 $1,800 $1.31 43d 1 1.01mi
723 N Simon St Visalia, CA 3.0 2.0 1450 $2,100 $1.45 13d 1 1.01mi
3822 E Four Creeks Ct Visalia, CA 3.0 2.0 1425 $1,895 $1.33 43d 1 1.20mi
711 E Noble Ave Unit 82504 Visalia, CA 2.0 1.0 792 $1,350 $1.70 43d 1 1.31mi
711 E Noble Ave Unit 711C5 Visalia, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,350 $1.50 21d 1 1.31mi
528 N Encina St Unit 530A Visalia, CA 3.0 1.0 1125 $1,795 $1.60 21d 1 1.34mi
2521 E Westcott Ave Visalia, CA 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,650 $1.57 43d 1 1.43mi
1113 S Pinkham St Visalia, CA 2.0 2.5 1450 $1,695 $1.17 21d 1 1.45mi
432 S Bridge St Visalia, CA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,895 $1.58 13d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,900 Active 729 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,900 Active 728 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,900 Active 727 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,900 Active 726 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $169,900 Active 724 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $169,900 Active 723 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $169,900 Active 721 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,900 Active 720 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,900 Active 719 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,900 Active 718 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $169,900 Active 715 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,900 Active 714 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,900 Active 713 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,900 Active 712 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Active 711 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $169,900 Active 710 DOM
  17. 2025-12-18
    price $169,900 217-char remark
    Show marketing remark (217 chars)

    One building on this lot. Zoned High Density Multi Family. It is unlikely the city will grant a commercial use here but you can ask them. There is water service and electricity to the property not currently connected.

  18. 2024-06-19
    listed $189,000 Active 217-char remark
    Show marketing remark (217 chars)

    One building on this lot. Zoned High Density Multi Family. It is unlikely the city will grant a commercial use here but you can ask them. There is water service and electricity to the property not currently connected.

  19. 2021-04-23
    soldstatus $255,000
  20. 2012-05-18
    soldstatus $65,000
  21. 2012-04-16
    soldstatus $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 67% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 40 unhealthy d/yr today · 43 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,917
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$2,548
− Insurance
−$5,968
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,753
− Management
−$1,753
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable loss
−$4,566
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,096
After-tax cash flow
$-798/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Visalia Unified
NCES district ID
0641160
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$51,672
Composite
30.47/100
National rank
#6223
State rank
#273 of 517 in CA

Livability — Visalia

Score
72/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#6351

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Visalia, CA
County
Tulare County · 323,826 people
City population
163,333
Metro
Visalia, CA
Population (ZIP)
45,780
Household income
$82,872
Rent vs Own
38.0% rent · 62.0% own
Severe rent burden
962.0

Population outlook (Tulare County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,681 people
By 2030
496,241 · +2.4%
By 2040
518,507 · +7.0%
By 2050
534,920 · +10.4%
By 2075
548,417 · +13.2%
By 2100
513,085 · +5.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 57% White 35% Two or more races 19% Asian 3% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 51%
Common ancestry
Russian 2% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
63% English-only · Spanish 33% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tulare

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.7) · D 38.5% · R 59.2% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.4pp toward R · 2008: -15.3pp · 2024: -20.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.7 2020: R+7.8 2016: R+12.1 2012: R+17.8 2008: R+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -238.10%
Current HPI
323.2649
Rent YoY
▲ 1.99%
Metro
Visalia, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+239.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-18 Price Changed $169,900 TCMLS
  • 2024-06-19 Listed $189,000 TCMLS
  • 2021-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $255,000 Public Records
  • 2012-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2012-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-42.2%/yr

Latest (2021): $12 · -94.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…